@chriswithans Q polling has been atrocious since 2016.
English
Not My Sunday Best
916 posts
Not My Sunday Best
@NotSundayBest
It's a mystery.
United States Присоединился Mayıs 2020
194 Подписки35 Подписчики
Quinnipiac samples way too many fake Independents in their Random Direct Dialing polls and thus end up with outlandish results for those Independents. They don't attempt to screen out people who are not really independents. In a registered voter poll taken seven months before the election, Independents should not be over 50% in favor of Democrats in a non-forced-two-way poll. Even more so if only 28% of them have a favorable opinion of them.
Into the trash they go.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot 🟦 Democrats: 51% [+4] 🟥 Republicans: 40% [-3] D+11: biggest lead of cycle (was D+4 in Dec) —— • Dem: Dem 99-1 • GOP: GOP 93-5 • Indie: Dem 57-26 • Men: GOP 46-43 • Women: Dem 58-35 @QuinnipiacPoll | 3/19-23 | 1,191 RV
English
@IAPolls2022 I can't believe they'd release this slop.
English
🇺🇸 NATIONAL POLL By Quinnipiac
Pres. Trump
Approve: 38%
Disapprove: 56%
——
Trump's net approval on key issues
🟤 Economy: -20 (new low)
🟤 Foreign policy: -23
🟤 Iran: -24
——
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 51%
🟥 GOP: 40%
Indies: Democrats +31
——
3/19-23 | 1,191 RV
English
@climatetechkev @IAPolls2022 @QuinnipiacPoll The Democrats will barely flip the House (if they do it at all), and the Senate will remain GOP. Quinnipiac is a Dem pollster.
English
@IAPolls2022 @QuinnipiacPoll I think the result in November will be somewhere in D+5 to D+8 Lower end= Iran/Energy crisis solved, higher end= Crisis extended into the summer
English
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot
🟦 Democrats: 51% [+4]
🟥 Republicans: 40% [-3]
D+11: biggest lead of cycle (was D+4 in Dec)
——
• Dem: Dem 99-1
• GOP: GOP 93-5
• Indie: Dem 57-26
• Men: GOP 46-43
• Women: Dem 58-35
@QuinnipiacPoll | 3/19-23 | 1,191 RV
English
@AshleyStinnett @RealSKeshel Basing expectations on special elections is a mistake. Democrats frequently do this.
English
@RealSKeshel It is a weird dynamic that plays out. My understanding of this year’s midterms are
1. The Democrats don’t have an actual platform and aren’t running on anything other than “Orange Man Bad.”
2. Voters are totally cool with that message.
English
It’s ridiculous that, given access to more information than any group of people ever to have lived, people still can’t figure out off-year, special election, and midterm dynamics. They almost always go against the president’s party.
Ask Senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts how special elections go.
Any major upsets by either party in a special election will flip in the next general election.
Case closed.
Dan Merica@merica
Safe to say Dems are buoyant: “Mar-a-Lago just flipped red to blue, which should have Republicans sweating the midterms,” said Heather Williams, president of the @DLCC. “If Mar-a-Lago is vulnerable, imagine what’s possible this November.” More here: washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/…
English
Carrie Prejean says Jews "have told us they are God's Chosen People therefore they can go & choose to kill anybody they want. That is my belief & I reject that."
Regarding Gaza: "We witnessed a complete genocide... It was a concentration camp turned into a complete Holocaust"
English
@ScottPresler You are well aware that the Senate requires a 60-vote threshold to move anything forward. There are 53 GOP Senators.
English
If our Republican Senate is unable to pass legislation that 84% of Americans agree on,
then nothing is going to get done.
There is no legislation that is as popular & widely supported as the SAVE America Act.
English
@WallStreetMav Gotta be more than that. Lankford from Oklahoma... when is he up?
English
To fix the Republicans in the US Senate, we need to eliminate a few of them.
2026: we must eliminate John Cornyn, replacing him with Ken Paxton.
2028: Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and John Thune (South Dakota) must be primaried
2030: John Curtis (Utah)
They need to be afraid.
English
@ASBaird @mjolley22 Well, Dick Cheney was a depraved, murderous person. But other than that, they're great!
English
@mjolley22 You literally work in politics. I'm confident that you can opine on why the Republican base doesn't like the Cheneys.
English
"I support Chairwoman Cheney. She's been a mentor to me."
-Blake Moore, R-Salt Lake City
English
English
All 6 GOP-appointed justices appear to be heavily aligned with squashing late-arriving mail-in ballots after Monday’s briefing.
My latest newsletter linked in comments:
English
@qu3stionevrthg @IAPolls2022 @QuinnipiacPoll @grok The Dems aren't going to have this kind of margin. Quinnipiac is a D pollster.
English
English
@IAPolls2022 @QuinnipiacPoll Quinnipiac is doing its level best to prop up the DNC.
English
To use X's new region block for replies (per-post setting, rolled out today):
1. Open the X app/site and start composing a post.
2. At the bottom of the compose box, tap "Everyone can reply" (or the globe/audience icon).
3. In "Who can reply?", you'll see a list of regions (North America, Europe, etc.) with checkboxes.
4. Check the regions you want to allow replies from (uncheck others to block).
5. Tap Apply.
6. Post.
It's available now to all users—no extra enable needed. Test on a new post.
English
🚨#BREAKING: It has been revealed that the man charged with m*rdering 1 man and leaving another BRAIN DEAD in Charlotte NC...
...IS AN ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT FROM VENEZUELA!!!!!
In the arrest records, Angelvis Jesus Quintero Fernandez is labelled as a:
"WHITE MALE"
ARE YOU KIDDING ME?!!!!!!!
Not only that...
...but 1 MONTH BEFORE he allegedly "executed a man from behind" in Charlotte of January 2026, Fernandez was pulled over for 5 separate driving charges
AND THEY LET HIM GO!!!!!!
English
@MarkHalperin @NextUpHalperin Conventional wisdom actually says the opposite. Democrats have never been favored to win the Senate. Due to polarization, they'll be lucky to win back the House.
English
Conventional wisdom says Democrats are favored to win the Senate. My deep reporting says that’s wrong.
On today’s @NextUpHalperin, I break down the 9 races that will decide control—and why even a near-perfect Democratic run might not be enough.
You haven’t seen the map like this before.
Please download, subscribe, and share wherever you consume podcasts.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nex…
Spotify:
open.spotify.com/episode/5IZZFS…
YouTube: youtu.be/hKEiruf2UW8?si…
YouTube
English
So, even that level of Dem overperformance -- in a low turnout special election -- would only translate into a 3-seat Senate pickup... and not enough for a majority.
That said, those red states look like real battlegrounds now.
English
From the lens of the FL special election upset last night:
The Mar-a-Lago district was Trump +11 in 2024.
The red-state battlegrounds for Dems:
Ohio: Trump + 11
Iowa: Trump +13
Florida: Trump +13
Alaska: Trump +14
Texas: Trump +14
Mark Halperin@MarkHalperin
Conventional wisdom says Democrats are favored to win the Senate. My deep reporting says that’s wrong. On today’s @NextUpHalperin, I break down the 9 races that will decide control—and why even a near-perfect Democratic run might not be enough. You haven’t seen the map like this before. Please download, subscribe, and share wherever you consume podcasts. Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nex… Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5IZZFS… YouTube: youtu.be/hKEiruf2UW8?si…
English
@ScottPresler @RWrasse Lol, of course I will vote. The SAVE Act isn't that important to me.
English
@RWrasse Ryan is Senate Majority Leader’s communications director.
I want to hear from Republican voters:
If the Senate does NOT pass the SAVE America Act, will you vote this November?
English
This is the moment Israeli forces hand over a small Palestinian child to the Red Cross
The Israelis had reportedly tortured him by extinguishing cigarettes (!) on his tiny body in front of his father in order to extract confessions
Israel is doing this with American tax money
English
@katewillett What's heartbreaking is that you believe this.
English
Torturing a toddler is so heartbreaking
Trita Parsi@tparsi
This is the moment Israeli forces hand over a small Palestinian child to the Red Cross The Israelis had reportedly tortured him by extinguishing cigarettes (!) on his tiny body in front of his father in order to extract confessions Israel is doing this with American tax money
English
@MacleodFlorida @BillMelugin_ They simply don't care.
English
@BillMelugin_ Polling on this must show the Ds are not paying a price.
English
DHS funding deal is falling apart.
Senate GOP offered to fund all of DHS, except ICE’s deportation wing (ERO).
Dems just countered and demanded additional concessions, they want major ICE reforms (unmasking, judicial warrants, etc).
GOP says why would we agree to reforms for an agency being defunded?
Dems had an offer on the table to carve out ICE’s removal operations, and fund everything else within DHS, and they are saying no.
They are demanding ICE reforms for an agency they aren’t going to fund.
GOP saying no.
And the shutdown continues - now on day 40.
English
@BillMelugin_ Why was the GOP okay with removing ICE funding?
English