Patrick.om
5.5K posts

Patrick.om
@PatrickVB0001
Husband and dad, economist, with way too many interests to list



Trump just published his longest? Truth Social post of the war. The objective has changed. “WE GOT HIM! My fellow Americans, over the past several hours, the United States Military pulled off one of the most daring Search and Rescue Operations in U.S. History… This brave Warrior was behind enemy lines in the treacherous mountains of Iran, being hunted down by our enemies, who were getting closer and closer by the hour… WE WILL NEVER LEAVE AN AMERICAN WARFIGHTER BEHIND! The fact that we were able to pull off both of these operations, without a SINGLE American killed, or even wounded, just proves once again, that we have achieved overwhelming Air Dominance and Superiority over the Iranian skies…” The war that was supposed to end Iran’s nuclear program, collapse the Islamic Republic, install a friendly government, and result in the total military defeat of Iran has produced its greatest declared victory — retrieving the crew of a jet Iran shot down. Cast your mind back. The Epstein coalition’s objectives on February 28th: regime change, nuclear disarmament, Iran defeated militarily, Gulf states secured, Israeli dominance cemented. 37 declared victories later... BAPCO on fire, EGA shut for a year, Kuwait’s power grid hit, Saudi exports halved, Hormuz still closed, Dated Brent at $141, the global economy fracturing, US bases being struck from Iraq to Kuwait with US military being evicted from the region, much of Israel burning under Iranian missile waves, and Europe quietly cutting its own deals with Tehran behind Washington’s back.

The US bases in the Gulf do not turn the Gulf into satellite states or strip their sovereignty. They’re part of mutually agreed upon defense partnerships similar to those between the US and other states in Europe and Asia. That said, this model requires a reset and the same is true regarding the Gulf’s relationship with Iran.


🇮🇷🇧🇭 Iranian missiles hit Bahrain's BAPCO oil refinery in Sitra hard. Hello $200 oil. The war is going so well! 🙈


!!! HUMANITARIAN EMERGENCY CALL !!! As of yesterday, German authorities seized the bank accounts of my wife. She is not sanctioned and has committed no crime. As of now we have only ca. 104 euros left — with two newborn babies and one 7-year-old child!!! @yanisvaroufakis @ClareDalyIRL @wallacemick @kennardmatt @Stella_Assange @PLottaz @Miquel_R @irezugasti @RSF_inter @amnesty_de @amnesty @_ZachFoster @CasparShaller @AliAbunimah @MaryKostakidis @der_neukoellner @SevimDagdelen @mkhalili @LaBase_TV @PabloIglesias @falasteen47 @EyeonPalestine @newscord_org @FWarweg @jungewelt @FuocoSavinelli @AlanRMacLeod @MintPressNews @wallacemick @_jneumann @amnesty_de @ChrisLynnHedges @IJFMedia @Fidias0 @johnnyjmils @goldi @CPJ_Eurasia @fehimtastekin @georgegalloway @euobs @AssalRad @OrenZiv_

‼️🇺🇲🇮🇷 BREAKING | At this moment, reports are emerging that U.S. evacuation teams have entered southwestern Iran, specifically in the Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad province, where they are conducting a highly risky and dangerous search-and-rescue operation to recover an American pilot. Iranian sources report that intense exchanges of fire have already been recorded. U.S. evacuation teams have reportedly engaged Basij and IRGC fighters from helicopters, targeting forces attempting to interfere with the operation and disrupt safe air movement. See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231




The oil shock has yet to arrive in the west. Blue line = Global Oil in Transit (left axis, Drops from 1.7B barrels to 1.4): This tracks the total volume of crude physically sailing on tankers globally. It rose steadily through 2025, then in March 2026, there is a cliff-edge collapse of roughly ~300 mb, as empty tankers cannot be reloaded. Red line = OECD Europe + Americas Commercial Crude (right axis, 0.95B barrels): This tracks commercial crude inventories held by Western buyers. Despite the tanker collapse, this line has barely moved — when it finally does, the physical shock will have arrived.
















