Blanca

3K posts

Blanca

Blanca

@_bicv

robots in medicine, eventually; @apple @cyngn @stanfordmed @stanford

New York, Madrid, Hong Kong Присоединился Eylül 2012
1.9K Подписки320 Подписчики
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Matt Vinson
Matt Vinson@mattmvinson·
@thecsguy p(doom) would be a great winery name.
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Daniel Jeffries
Daniel Jeffries@Dan_Jeffries1·
I agree this is a dumb move but it was easily foreseeable. I've been saying for half a year that all of our subscriptions are heavily, heavily subsidized and that the agent economy will be freaking incredible but freaking expensive too. All those posts inevitably filled up with "for now" and "AI will be able to do all the jobs 'for pennies'." In your dreams. Grade school math says otherwise. The agent economy is not cheap. Anyone who thinks we will be running superintelligent agents, around the clock, on the most expensive chips ever made, chips that depreciate to worthless in three years, while running in datacenters on nuclear power is not doing the math. Things do get cheaper over time but the key is "over time." The best models are more and more costly to build and run and will be for a long time barring some kind of revolutionary architecture that replaces the transformer with something much more memory efficient or wetware style chips that sip power or both. Intelligence going up and to the right keeps eating the bleeding edge of the best chips and memory as fast as we can make them. Older tasks will get easier/cheaper and on-device models will be able to do cool things but those machines are not "cheap" either unless you think four Mac Studios networked together is cheap. This smashes the "AI does all the jobs theory" to little bitty pieces. Good. It's terrible PR for the industry to keep babbling on about it anyway. True intelligence will be like paying a full time salary to people and then the calculation of whether it's just cheaper and less error probe to throw more people at the problem comes into play. Hint, it's usually not cheaper to use the machine. All this is not to say that agents are not incredible and valuable, but the subsidy era is coming to an end. It always was. And everything just happens faster in the age of AI. The playbook of "get people with a loss leader" is as old as commerce itself. The loss leader getting rug pulled for us is zero surprise if you've been paying attention. Frankly at this point I burn through my $200 subs faster than I burn through a tasty burger and don't even know why I have them anymore or why anyone thinks this is the real cost of running these things.
Peter Steinberger 🦞@steipete

woke up and my mentions are full of these Both me and @davemorin tried to talk sense into Anthropic, best we managed was delaying this for a week. Funny how timings match up, first they copy some popular features into their closed harness, then they lock out open source.

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Blanca@_bicv·
I agree that the sort of bottoms-up legibility you are describing is net good, but Seeing Like a State defines legibility as a tool for top-down state control, not human flourishing. Legibility and state control aren't the book's heroes, Jacobs and mētis are.
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy

Something I've been thinking about - I am bullish on people (empowered by AI) increasing the visibility, legibility and accountability of their governments. Historically, it is the governments that act to make society legible (e.g. "Seeing like a state" is the common reference), but with AI, society can dramatically improve its ability to do this in reverse. Government accountability has not been constrained by access (the various branches of government publish an enormous amount of data), it has been constrained by intelligence - the ability to process a lot of raw data, combine it with domain expertise and derive insights. As an example, the 4000-page omnibus bill is "transparent" in principle and in a legal sense, but certainly not in a practical sense for most people. There's a lot more like it: laws, spending bills, federal budgets, freedom of information act responses, lobbying disclosures... Only a few highly trained professionals (investigative journalists) could historically process this information. This bottleneck might dissolve - not only are the professionals further empowered, but a lot more people can participate. Some examples to be precise: Detailed accounting of spending and budgets, diff tracking of legislation, individual voting trends w.r.t. stated positions or speeches, lobbying and influence (e.g. graph of lobbyist -> firm -> client -> legislator -> committee -> vote -> regulation), procurement and contracting, regulatory capture warning lights, judicial and legal patterns, campaign finance... Local governments might be even more interesting because the governed population is smaller so there is less national coverage: city council meetings, decisions around zoning, policing, schools, utilities... Certainly, the same tools can easily cut the other way and it's worth being very mindful of that, but I lean optimistic overall that added participation, transparency and accountability will improve democratic, free societies. (the quoted tweet is half-ish related, but inspired me to post some recent thoughts)

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Blanca@_bicv·
@martinvars Mainframe > PC > cloud > edge… centralized > edge > centralized > edge…
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Martin Varsavsky
Martin Varsavsky@martinvars·
We are all watching the giant AI models in the cloud. But underneath there is a revolution happening: AGI on your laptop, in your pocket, in your robot, no internet needed. The future isn't only models in which you have one big brain owned by X, Google, Anthropic or OpenAI; it's also a billion private, sovereign brains that you personally own.
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Michał Nedoszytko MD, PhD
“Physicians building with Claude”. A live webinar organized by @AnthropicAI - join us on Thursday April 23rd at 10am PT Together with @grahamwalker we will showcase our journeys of building for healthcare. Daisy Sophia Hollman from Claude code team will join us to discuss how to use @claudeai and Claude Code to bring your next big ideas to life - while respecting safety, privacy and compliance. Thank you @PollyIsrani and Neel Patel for organizing. Looking forward to this great event - register here! anthropic.com/webinars/claud… @nosajab @bcherny
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Blanca@_bicv·
“You have a fiduciary duty to your shareholders to take care of yourself. Some people treat a startup as an all-nighter. They don't do a good job taking care of their health. They don't sleep, they don't maintain their personal relationships.” @sama
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer

The human body can only be pushed so far, and I think a lot of us are pushing ourselves too far, me included. We do need to worry about: 1. Sleep and exercise 2. Eating right 3. Getting off of our devices 4. Having analog experiences This AI world has sped up our lives and put a lot of pressure on us to keep our agents busy. Something on my mind this Friday afternoon.

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Eric Bahn 💛
Eric Bahn 💛@ericbahn·
I learned that we're seeing above-average premium increases as a company because a few teammates have some chronic issues. I spent 7 years seriously ill during my 20s due to a chronic issue that almost killed me (15% survival rate, I made it!). I was also a founder during that time. My number one worry as a founder back then? LOSING MY HEALTHCARE. That was 20 years ago, and it's wild that our healthcare system is still so broken today.
Eric Bahn 💛@ericbahn

Just saw that our healthcare premiums we're paying as a company will increase by 12.09% YOY...

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Colton Ortolf
Colton Ortolf@ColtonOrtolf·
Apple Watch convinced millions of people that their health data should live on their phone. Now those same people are asking why their doctor's records are trapped behind a portal login. Consumer expectations around data ownership are driving broader changes in healthcare
Victoria Song@vicmsong

As part of this week’s Apple 50 package, today’s Optimizer is all about how the Apple Watch shaped so much of modern health tech — and in some ways, stands in opposition to where wellness trends are headed. theverge.com/column/906391/…

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nxthompson
nxthompson@nxthompson·
Pretty wild. The first image represents objects in Earth’s orbit at the end of the 1950s. The second is Earth’s orbit now. theguardian.com/science/ng-int…
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Blanca@_bicv·
@mcuban @Babar1B What about building a lean, AI-native one from scratch? 👋🏼
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Mark Cuban
Mark Cuban@mcuban·
@Babar1B I've looked at buying or investing. They didn't know in all but one
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Pedro E. Cosculluela, MD
You know the answer to all of this. Of course they know the numbers. I have sat in countless meetings where we discuss all of this and come up with ways in which to continue to increase profits. They are acting dumb because they know the answers are not popular and would expose the scam further.
Mark Cuban@mcuban

Most hospitals don't know their costs. Things I've asked for that made them roll their eyes : A BOM for surgeries P&L for each insurance carrier P&L for Medicaid or Medicare business Why do they need consultants for everything. Why doesn't their CSuite know how to do any of it Why do they use GPOs when prices are insane Why do they work with carriers that underpay, late pay, deny everything, waste docs time with denial committees run by 97 yr old pediatricians. Why do they make no effort to sell direct to employers (excluding those on costpluswellness.com to avoid all the carrier abuse , and avoid being sub prime lenders for patient OOP Why do they abuse 340b Why do facilities fees exist Why do they abuse site neutrality Why do they abuse patients with charge master based bills Why do they not push for standard contract templates to reduce admin. Why do they accept so many different ins plans Anyone want to add more And for context, remember I think the biggest insurance companies are worse

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Blanca@_bicv·
@agingroy @NatureMedicine @Kasparov63 The goal used to be to get computers to talk like humans and now it’s to get humans to speak English in a way that the computer “understands”. Human + AI is a spiky knowledge surface that needs to be regularized correctly.
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Avi Roy
Avi Roy@agingroy·
New @NatureMedicine trial: 1,298 people got an AI to help with medical diagnosis. They did worse than the AI alone. AI solo: 94.9% accuracy. Human + AI: below 34.5%. Chess had this exact arc. For 20 years, human + computer beat computer alone. @Kasparov63 called them "centaurs." Then engines got too strong and humans just added noise. Radiology, clinical decision support, now general diagnosis. Same pattern every time. The centaur era in medicine might be shorter than anyone expects.
Nature Medicine@NatureMedicine

In a randomized controlled study of 1,298 participants, performance of humans when assisted by an #LLM was inferior to the LLM alone when assessing 10 medical scenarios. nature.com/articles/s4159…

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Jenny Fielding
Jenny Fielding@jefielding·
Right now, VCs care about one thing only…defensibility / moats so don’t bother pitching anything else. Like throw away the entire deck and just have one slide on that.
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Arthur MacWaters
Arthur MacWaters@ArthurMacwaters·
first torch. now coefficient. the labs aren't buying short-term revenue as much as - proprietary clinical dataset - user value in ways chat alone can't already do - regulatory wedge - sandbox for faster builds in a $5T/yr market wild time to be a healthcare AI company.
Arthur MacWaters tweet mediaArthur MacWaters tweet media
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi

Anthropic making its own splash with an acquisition today $400M for Coefficient Bio, started last fall, developing an AI drug R&D platform

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Blanca@_bicv·
@adamlevitan I believe the term of art is courtsiding
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Zhengdong
Zhengdong@zhengdongwang·
The idea for Demis's work on memory and imagination (a Science top 10 breakthrough of the year) he had on his honeymoon in Italy. This plus David Silver’s thinking of AlphaZero on his honeymoon in Sri Lanka makes me think we should also go on more honeymoons. 8/
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Blanca@_bicv·
@JTLonsdale @mcuban Building out hospital-level infra is a non-starter for surgery centers and rural sites, but care gaps won't be filled by hospitals. 'Question, delete, simplify, accelerate, automate' is necessary for healthcare abundance that actually serves patients.
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Mark Cuban
Mark Cuban@mcuban·
Why aren’t any of these at risk hospitals publishing their full accounting so everyone can see where they spend their money ? All but one group of hospitals that I have looked at potentially investing in, spend so much on consultants and fees that it’s no wonder they are at risk Plus, I have NEVER seen an industry that is worse than hospitals when it comes to buying medications and items like implants, screws, other devices. They overpay for everything. And then when you show them how to save money, their “supply chain” employees resist any change. They are so set in their ways, it’s a shock more don’t go out of business. Prove me wrong.
NBC News@NBCNews

More than 400 hospitals across the U.S. are at high risk of closing or cutting services because of the Medicaid cuts in President Trump’s “big, beautiful bill,” according to an analysis from the progressive watchdog group Public Citizen. nbcnews.com/health/health-…

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