Ben Joseph
6.7K posts
Ben Joseph
@hookk
politically creative and creatively political
Присоединился Kasım 2008
1.9K Подписки500 Подписчики
There are actually only a few audited with proof of reserve stablecoins out there.
USD1 is one of them and while I usually use Aave for stablecoin yield, USD1 isn't yet on it.
It is however in the process of being supported (recognized and being onboarded).
In the meantime however just holding it on Binance gives a very generous APR (usually limited campaigns but good to take advantage off as there's virtually no risk in holding an audited stablecoin).
Even if the campaign ends you can always reevaluate where the best yields are from there (maybe even Aave is already available by then or other options).
Binance@binance
New from the USD1 airdrop campaign. 🔸 Base APR: 6.99% 🔸 Boosted APR: 8.39% Now’s your chance to earn up to 8.39% (variable) APR on rewards with no individual reward cap! 👉 binance.com/en/support/ann…
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If the elites wanted to create a black swan event on trad markets, they've already had plenty of ammo to do so. The sentiment and FUD couldn't get any worse short of actual global war and/or nukes dropping
What's potentially coming on the horizon is the dissolution of FUD as a scapegoat for a rally, not increased fear (it's already at max) and turbo dumping (we've already turbo dumped in crypto for 5 months straight). The majority has just now realized we may be in the bear market, when legit traders were exiting spot and shorting near the top. If you go back in the history of crypto, you won't find a single example of the level of FUD we currently have resulting in significant continuation of downside. It was always a great time to be buying and creating plans for longs
The psychology plays a much larger factor than many realize IMO. Herd consensus is bear market, and much lower is guaranteed. That really isn't debatable. And the fact that all we've done is move sideways, we're seeing more and more time capitulation, giving up, increased fear on any drop and disbelief on any rally. Hatred of any bullish thesis, funding rates deeply negative for months now. Combine all that with how the major charts stand at their current levels (given these updates weeks ago, not much has changed besides Bitcoin deleting it's 2d resistance) and there's much more evidence for upside than downside
My primary idea here is corrective upside towards the 🔑 swings followed by macro bearish continuation. Reclaim $98k on Bitcoin and I'll expect sweeps of liquidity near ATHs
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The timing confluence is getting eerie. 🧩🕰️
The next 22-day candle for Bitcoin starts this Sunday, March 8th. Add 22 days to that, and the second candle starts on March 30th. Take a look at the quoted post below regarding the Netflix teaser re Bitcoin: it points to that very same date
This 22D view also highlights an external oscillator flashing an "X cross" based on Ichimoku mechanics. Its track record for spotting macro trend reversals in the last two cycles has been spot on📉
We’ll soon find out what follows after March 8th
ilay (aka VP)@ilay_vp
This teaser puts March 30 in focus. Direction is anyone’s guess for now, but the date is not random imo (the end of Q1)
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@ourcryptotalk The big thing you're missing here is that tradfi also crashed in every one of these scenarios. Lets see next week what the true fallout is
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@mr_abundance_ @Sykodelic_ It's easy to be contrarian. It's hard to be contrarian and correct
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@Sykodelic_ People lose like this.
It’s called contrarian heuristic (“if the crowd is bullish → short; if bearish → long”)
When the crowd is all trying to be contrarian, the contrarian is just the crowd.
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I find it baffling how this market works.
We have right here, the most clearly and obviously bullish setup for the entire altcoin market that we have had throughout the whole duration of this cycle so far.
And all I am seeing is people stable up and go into cash?
This trend on the TOTAL3 chart has been building ever since its inception.
And it is on the precipice of a breakout into new highs...
That when it happened last time, lasted for 273 days.
Which would take us to June next year.
In addition to this, the kind of pump a market gets during a range is totally different to the pump it gets breaking into new highs.
The breakout that is about to happen with TOTAL3 will dwarf anything we have seen this cycle...
And we have almost everyone collectively in agreement that its over and to stable up?
Mf'ers... there is time to be cautious and time to be risk the fuck on...
And now is not the time to be cautious.
It is always a twilight zone style vibe when I see market participants behaving in the exact opposite way they should at key pivot points.
And this situation is no different.
TOTAL3 has quite literally never been more bullish.
Even though it is bewildering how most people are interpreting this...
It's also comforting because as we well know by now...
The masses are always wrong.
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@i_am_jackis Funny how every post he made was the naked low before the bottom. If he's consistent, one more sweep and reverse
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One of the best Bitcoin bottom indicators just flashed out! 💥
"The coming crypto apocalypse"
Whenever certain economists, such as Nouriel, which are known to be an infamous BTC haters start to get loud about crypto prices crashing (especially after being silent for the prior years of market upside), the bottom has been historically very close
The signals are popping from everywhere
JACKIS@i_am_jackis
I wonder what could go wrong 🤔🫡
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@MulderSonny Look at BTC.D ES . Excluding stables. they skew this badly
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Sinec our BTC peak in october 2025, the BTC dominance has been ranging flat.
No money has rotated into altcoins as we see in other cycles.
This phase has been complete delayed or is non present.
There is still a possibility I believe that BTCD drops to that 50-52% range at least certainly after it has broken its uptrend since mid 2025
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@_MaxO22_ Yes but it's a big one. Not a small imperfection. KLs shift to lower when spx wants to tumble. Last April was easier as everything aligned. This time is different
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@CryptoChase02 Id also say if one person is a single source of truth tweet or no tweet, you're doing it wrong..
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I’m going to tell you straight.
If you feel relieved just because MT has tweeted now, then you still have a long way to go.
It’s a fun journey and it will be worthwhile if you put in the hard work. I think many need to reflect on their emotions and risk management instead of the charts this time round because I’m sure many already knew where the KLs were at.
CryptoChase@CryptoChase02
Slingshot.
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@ilay_vp This is the scariest part.. these levels are melting like butter and spx hasn't really budged
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Now is the right moment to see how much the stock market is capable of pushing crypto lower
ilay (aka VP)@ilay_vp
What is so surprising about crypto right now? The S&P barely moved, just 1.3%. The really interesting stuff is still ahead. I can’t say for sure that it will immediately move 10% and that the top is already behind us. The 51–2 count below suggests that the top "might" have been in January, but we need the confirmation. And, please do not forget that a 10% drop for the S&P may result in 30% for BTC; a 5–6% drop could be around 20% for BTC
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@CryptoGirlNova If it doesn't bounce here and stocks go for a tumble, low 60s almost certain
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Reached all the way to $70,000 last night.
Basically the entire bottom of the range I always expected would near the end of the current downturn ($70-74k).
While we are HEAVILY due for some relief any moment now, it's still wild to see so much weakness.
Still so much sell pressure after what we have already had.
If I didn't know any better I would say it always looks and feels like a bearm...
Well likely because it is and we've been in one. The only difference here is that I believe this one will be shorter and less severe (aka more like 2019 vs 2018/2022).
I know most groups are either extremely persistent in calling this still a bull market and the other group in calling this a bear market.
I don't really like to put things in terms of the bulls vs the bear.
For me we're somewhere in between. A quicker bearmarket (the current downturn) but that won't last 2 years either.
Yet I always believe the markets still require study on a month by month base. Not necessarily each day but still further action on what it's telling us.
My target has always been 70-74k in this downturn and yes we'll find a local bottom here soon.
BUT I'm not arrogant either to say we couldn't go lower. Or we really HAVE TO.
In the markets there is no we can't and we won't. I still don't like the current weakness.
Meaning my thesis on a local bottom bounce is still here. But without significant signs of strength on the next bounce there's no guarantee we'll hold here.
The markets owns us nothing.
Yet I'm still hopeful for the market. I know these times are tough and full of dispair but these phases are also a natural part of the market.
As there are times we seem like we go endlessly down today. So will there be times it seems we go endlessly up (at least for Bitcoin. Alts need a more nuanced take and inspection)
We take the market how it comes. Both good and bad.
Crypto Nova@CryptoGirlNova
We should be close to a local bottom and I don't say this often. The only other time I said this during this entire downtrend was in November. "Not necessarily the lowest bottom but a local one at least" This time however I do think we're getting closer to a true bottom. Nothing is off the table however. I am no predictor. I am a confirmer. Bottoms take time to form and unlike what most people think, they don't V-shape recover and go to infinity and beyond in a matter of days. Many will make you believe you need to buy buy buy. Very quickly because you'll be to late tomorrow. I don't and I believe many have started to regret doing that. A true new uptrend won't end after 10%. Don't worry. For now we'll already make a local bottom soon. $74k is another huge demand like $80k was in November. We'll make a local bottom soon regardless whether the market remains bearish or turns bullish again. In both scenarios. The difference is that one of them will be a relief wave and the other the start of an uptrending one. Now ideally for me personally I would like to see the start of some sort of Wyckoff accumulation pattern here. If you're not familiar with those it looks like sideways price with small fake drops in between. But mostly back and forth in a range on a strong higher time frame level. Likely to create plenty of bounces here for now already and move back within the $80k range back and forth soon. When the trend is down I don't like to predict to much and call things to early. But at the very least we'll already locally bounce here very soon.
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@CryptoError369 The strange thing is stocks haven't moved so I'd imagine even though these are optimal levels, tight risk management is required?
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@Sykodelic_ @mars2035_ The markets don't care about the market nakers do and pain is what they seek
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@mars2035_ The market doesn’t care what you think is painful or not.
You must prepare for posible scenarios and have a strategy.
I’m bullish because we’re in a bull market, but that does not mean straight up in one candle mate.
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This has been a decent push from Bitcoin.
However, we need to pay attention to levels now more than ever.
We currently have $16bn in long liquidations down to $86k... that is a lot.
There is a high enough chance that the market makers will take it, so we have to entertain that outcome.
And in an ideal world, we want them to take it before we move too much higher, because there will always be a chance they will go back for it.
We have broken 96k which is a great start.
If we can get above $100k and the 50SMA then both downside scenarios are invalidated...
But the whole time we are below $100k, they are a possibility we have to entertain.
Either way though, higher is the main direction.
My advice is simple....
If you're holding, just continue, and dont be swayed by any retraces.
If you're buying, continue to DCA your high conviction bags for cheaper.
New highs are coming, but as with anything in this market...
It wont be an easy path there.
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@ourcryptotalk Expecting sociopathic behavior to change is the definition of insanity.
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If you held $VRA through 2025… you already know the pain.
It’s been trading 99% below its ATH territory, and trust got nuked along with price.
Now Verasity is pushing a new story: $PLRL
🧵 👇
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@Donjim95 But we really didn't have that much bearish news at the bottom. Id say even at best
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News doesn’t move price ,it just accelerates pre-planned moves
By the time you hear the news:
Positions are already built
Liquidity is already collected
Direction is already decided
News is used to:
Justify the move emotionally
Force retail participation at the wrong time
Create urgency (FOMO or panic)
That’s why:
Bullish news appears at tops
Bearish news appears at bottoms
Not coincidence. Timing.
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What a show in ZCASH last week
Price is the cause, news is the excuse 🔑
Welcome to reality if you are new
While the chart made a HH and BOS mid Dec, left over a MTF BB cluster with perfect 618 fib, got taken on 17-18 Dec ( Basic Moneytaur trade )
From there it made a new HH targeting the 520$ Daily supply. I would say, there the chart had 90+% to reject and start a retrace
Why ? Because above the 1D supply, it's the most valuable area
- 0.5 fib from ATH to the recent low
- negative fibs
- Multiple low MTF OBs at ~550
- Potential SFP ( done )
- 4D BB EQ lining up there. The EQ is taken from above on November but I have a sector on my discord why it's still valid and as you see got taken from under also
All these stuff near an area makes it very valuable with very high chances for the chart to reject and retrace. The news announced after the important move, just to accelerate the PA, the news are the excuse for the red candles
After this show and with the herd going heavy into shorts the chart reacted on left over MTF bbs ( +sfp ) in the same area the whole TRAP started
Welcome to crypto
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@Osemka8 You should have just asked are you holding or not? Same outcome
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BTC bout to rug after that stablecoin statement, mark my words
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Ben Joseph ретвитнул
@BigTrout300 It's something while you wait to deploy. Better than nothing as long as it's not time locked
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This is 1 part of Crypto I've never humbly explored & am more keen on learning.
Why stake ETH/BTC/USDC if you have capital below $100M or greater.. isn't the APY like 2%?
So someone stakes $10,000 for 2%.. annually, is that even worth it?
Perhaps I am wrong here, uninformed.
If anyone wants to enlighten me on why its beneficial or useful for low capital players, please enlighten me. Would love to learn more.
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