buddhaPJS

13 posts

buddhaPJS

buddhaPJS

@ATXPeter

เข้าร่วม Haziran 2014
7 กำลังติดตาม0 ผู้ติดตาม
Tarek Mansour
Tarek Mansour@mansourtarek_·
@NathanMeininger My first message was unclear. To clarify, all positions, no matter when they were opened, will first be paid out on the last-traded price before his death. On top of that, if you bought a position today for a higher price, we'll make you whole.
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Tarek Mansour
Tarek Mansour@mansourtarek_·
On Khamenei: We don’t list markets directly tied to death. When there are markets where potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death. That is what we did here. I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these markets without a death carveout because it keeps the rules simple and because many traditional markets, like oil futures, can be proxy markets for war and death. But we believe that’s different than having a market directly settling on someone’s death, which is not allowed for US regulated entities. What’s the point of the market, then? A market on Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader was important because leadership changes in Iran have major impact on the world order: • geopolitical implications • economic consequences • national security considerations • oil and commodity prices, many of which move based on news and expectations around this outcome And it’s always possible for a ruler to step down or transition power without death, even in autocracies. It just happened in Venezuela. In these instances, we make the caveat clear in the rules and in the market page, but today is a good learning that we can do more in terms of improving the UX and adding more ways to surface the rules. We are committed to improving. In the meantime, here’s what we’re going to do: • We are reimbursing all fees from this market • If you have a position from before Khamenei died, you will be paid out on the last-traded price before his death. (This was clear in our rules) • If you have a position from after he died, we’re going to fully reimburse your cost of entry
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@simonasvaitk @Kalshi @mansourtarek_ holds the position for life. what was kalshi expecting trump to politely ask him to step down? the only way he was leaving his position was by death. this was always a death market.
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GojirAfan
GojirAfan@simonasvaitk·
@Kalshi @mansourtarek_ He is the religious supreme dictator of Iran who has been in power for 30+ years, in what situation does he leave his postition without death. Were people supposed to expect Khamenei to all of a sudden announce a free and fair election while there are missles flying? Be fr
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
BREAKING: The odds Ali Khamenei is out as Supreme Leader have surged to 68% Reminder: Kalshi does not offer markets that settle on death. If Ali Khamenei dies, the market will resolve based on the last traded price prior to confirmed reporting of death.
Kalshi tweet mediaKalshi tweet media
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@LanceupperPI @palexcomesalive they should have closed the market when they got word that strikes began instead of posting it on X. they left the market open and continued to take bids, manipulate the rules mid way and Iran still claims he is alive.
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Lance Uppercut
Lance Uppercut@LanceupperPI·
@palexcomesalive Pretty clear to me that he died when the strikes began. Compound was hit immediately, resolution should be the pre-strike trading price.
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Lance Uppercut
Lance Uppercut@LanceupperPI·
Kalshi letting their Khamenei market twist in the wind after confirmation of his death + recovery of the body by Israeli media. People continue to smash into 'YES' without reading the clarification that the market price resolves to last traded before he died (~1AM).
Lance Uppercut tweet media
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@AraRawr11 @kmedved actually it wasn't even his death. it was just that his compound was bombed
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@AraRawr11 @kmedved the issue is they left the market open after his death was announced. then halted it. reopened and it started running up. halted it. changed the rules and ran it down before halting it again.
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Kostya Medvedovsky
Kostya Medvedovsky@kmedved·
Kalshi promoting a Khamenei "leaves office" market while everyone thinks he's dead, knowing that if he is dead they freeze the market and pocket the fees. Just incredibly cynical stuff. I'm a big fan of Kalshi and prediction markets generally, but this is really horrible behavior.
Kostya Medvedovsky tweet media
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@lynkrcrypto @Kalshi they were getting too much money coming in saying YES to him being gone so they halted the market, changed the rules, and then pushed it down while buying the NOs
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lynkr
lynkr@lynkrcrypto·
@Kalshi kalshi's wording is key. last traded price prior to confirmed reporting of death is a clever hedge. effectively they're saying market can be wrong but still get paid out if khamenei dies and it's not immediately reported.
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@jaeb3ll @LizCrokin The Largest donor to Hamptons International Film Festival (HIFF) is Len Blavatnik, named in the Epstein files. HIFF is a film festival for children between ages 8-18.
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jaebell
jaebell@jaeb3ll·
@LizCrokin I have a feeling this email would tell us who Snow White was
jaebell tweet media
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LIZ CROKIN
LIZ CROKIN@LizCrokin·
Was Britney Spears Jeffrey Epstein’s Snow White? I can’t help but wonder if Britney Spears was one of Jeffrey Epstein’s trafficking victims they referred to as Snow White. - In Britney’s 2021 court testimony she compared her illegal and corrupt conservatorship to “sex trafficking.” - In 2008 when she was trying to escape the grip of her demonic handlers she checked into a hotel under the alias Snow White & had just recently named her new puppy Snow White. Shortly after, she was thrown in an illegal 5150 hold that led to her years long imprisonment under the guise of a conservatorship. The media especially TMZ, her family and her handlers all lied about her true whereabouts during those years. What we do know is she was thrown into shady facilities where she was forced to strip down & her blood was constantly taken. - Jes Staley e-mailed Epstein about Snow White in 2010 while Britney was still enslaved under her conservatorship. - In 2010 Dr. Mark Tramo wrote Epstein about sending Britney the “Neonatal ICU Project” and again she was still enslaved during this time. - And then there’s the photo of Britney with Epstein’s alleged other sex trafficker Rachel Chandler. If Britney was trafficked to Epstein or his sick pedo pals, it would be quite the red pill and everyone who has viciously mocked the fake videos of her on her social media accounts that she still doesn’t control would shut up real fast! @SlavePrincess_
LIZ CROKIN tweet mediaLIZ CROKIN tweet mediaLIZ CROKIN tweet mediaLIZ CROKIN tweet media
LIZ CROKIN@LizCrokin

Who or what is Snow White? The code word referenced by former JP Morgan executive, Jes Staley, in the latest unsealed court documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. #Pizzagate Source: msn.com/en-us/news/oth…

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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@BittrexExchange any updates on how long the HIVE wallet will be under maintenance on your platform?
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buddhaPJS
buddhaPJS@ATXPeter·
@BittrexSupport Any status updates on the Hive/HBD wallet maintenance on Bittrex platform?
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