Lance Uppercut

🫡 Thanks to the @Kalshi guys for the payday!

Should go without saying this poll, while not clearly disclosing sponsorship, reeks of some kind of pro-Pratt funding with the language and "informed ballot" questions favoring Pratt.

Same day a loony tune acquires 3.88M shares of Spencer Pratt on @kalshi, ripping through the book whilst eating slippage and paying ginormous fees, Cygnal drops a poll of LA Mayor showing: -Bass 47-33 over Pratt in a H2H - 25/22/18 for Bass/Pratt/Raman - Favorables of -50 / -20 / -12 for Trump / Bass /Pratt. So lots of room in the fall for a concentrated Dem campaign to tie Trump to Pratt and sink him lower than Bass. Not to mention he could miss the runoff entirely to Raman if she overperforms the primary electorate. So people are paying through the nose for Pratt when he may not even be there in the Fall.

@BrandonMH1 @Kalshi Naughty Stork 7605 still has $465k that he needs filled immediately, if he's impatient enough there's no wall he can't climb...

@LanceupperPI @Kalshi I feel really dumb that I didn’t have a 60c N resting order up

The OI on the Spencer Pratt strike for LA Mayor on @kalshi just increased by about 1.4M in the last hour after some giant market buy.

A long and arduous road...

@PeterHamby Matt Mahan for LA Mayor

Very much doubt Rick Caruso endorses anyone here.

@alch3my101 Didn't know this was going on or I would have been pounding YES.

TONIGHT'S MENTION DEBATE Market: What will the announcers say during Diaz vs Perry? Strike: NETFLIX Situation: The announcer begins saying "Netflix" before the bell strikes for the first round and completes the word after the bell finishes ringing. The rules on the market say, "Commentary will count once the 1st round has begun." Video below. This traded around 50c for close to half an hour after the incident going as high as 88c NO before reversing. The strike finally found stability at 9c NO / 91c Y. Arguments vary. The original consensus in the Mentions community was Y as shown by price. The main argument being it was a vibe determination and the ref signaled the start of the fight BEFORE the announcer began saying NETFLIX. BUT Upon further investigation, @rigatohni discovered that BEFORE all of this, the ref clearly stated the rules as shown in the video: "The rules are protect yourself at all times. Obey my commands at all times. Touch gloves now if you want. At the sound of the bell, come on out." This clearly establishes that the fight starts at "the sound of the bell." This means "Netflix" was NOT said during the fight. A counter argument is that "FLIX", which was said during the fight, counts for the strike anyway. Upon revealing the new news to the mentions community, price for Y went down to as low at 83c Y due to some sharps selling out. Most people are asleep, so it's unknown if price would have moved more or if it will move more when people wake up and consider this evidence. On my end, when I first saw this LIVE, I thought it was a sure NO. Then I became convinced of the vibe determination so I flipped on Y. I never bought any shares during this time as I generally stay out of edge cases that don't seem obvious to me. Once I heard Riga's argument and watched the playback for myself, I went NO and took a NO position at 9c. What do you think? Should this go N or Y? I'd love to hear your thoughts. Market link: kalshi.com/markets/kxfigh…

SecondWindCapital has their WHOLE LIFETIME PNL bet on Khamzat Chimaev to beat Sean Strickland tonight Is this the biggest UFC bet Polymarket has ever seen? They will make $400,000 if Chimaev wins

@DustinGouker what about all those viral trades of combos that don't exist (trump to say XYZ + sporting event outcome ABC)

Kalshi told me that this was a mistake to post and that the trades promoted did not happen.

@luanalopeslara Congrats!

Life update - Married the love of my life today ♥️

@KFILE Believe all Matts

Matt Mahan says he he won the CNN debate last night though its only source on that seems to be his campaign.

@ksusys @rpyers I will never give up on my hero stealing ballots.

@rpyers first poll i've seen where voters seem to have given up on bianco.

CA Governor Poll (Impact Research/Mahan internal) 🟥23% Hilton 🟦23% Becerra 🟦14% Steyer 🟦10% Mahan 🟦9% Porter politico.com/newsletters/ca…

@cthrin Need some one-button comments like: "Will this cash" "Com on man" <GIF of guy holding money stacks to his head>

Only week 1 and over 30% of people in live chat don’t hold a position. They’re here because Kalshi is where the action lives.

@teddyschleifer Teddy you must work the Matt Mahan humiliation beat even harder, this is prime content

A few days after Sergey Brin donated $1 million to boost Matt Mahan, Mahan blew up his schedule to meet with Brin and his girlfriend at Tahoe. Mahan took a private jet belonging to a different tech titan. The dinner did not go as Mahan expected — no new money came his way. A few days later, Brin's girlfriend was calling him "boring" with the "personality of a wooden spoon."

@DeItaone this should be labeled as paid partnership

US SOLDIER INDICTED FOR MADURO BETS ON POLYMARKET WAS BLOCKED FROM OPENING KALSHI ACCOUNT, SOURCE SAYS

Huge missed opportunity by @kalshi team to not make a modern graphics hub similar to elections for the NFL Draft. Should have paired it with a mock draft contest like March Madness and had a 'Kalshi Mock Draft' derived from their odds to compare to experts post-draft.

@AndrewSolender man it is weird to be alive in 2026 seeing a reporter tweeting smth like this

@bronerp4p @peanut_bettor If he can make it to the fight, he's begging to get sued for breach of contract.

@peanut_bettor He also dropped that Floyd's already taken an advance out on his purse. Phew. But it's gonna be in The Sphere, so that's something.

Great story. Flup is real deal. Yes, he has built legitimately the best operation I am aware of when it comes to moving bets for size. HOWEVER, on Jake Paul fight. Funny how he seems to forget the CAPPER who gave him the play (for free).