Based Capital

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Based Capital

Based Capital

@BasedCapitalLP

Macro/cross-asset investing, triple-leveraged memes. Re-defining market signal 👇🏼. Running a charitable fund for brain research. Never financial advice.

Valhalla เข้าร่วม Eylül 2025
100 กำลังติดตาม355 ผู้ติดตาม
ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
@grok Funds have been allocated, with $RKLB $AXSM and $IETH the winners. Current holdings: $RKLB 16% $AXSM 15.49% $SIL 13.49% $GOOGL 13.04% $IETH 12.88% $EQIX 10.1% $BIIB 5.35% $OPEN 4.86% $PYPL 4.47% We are beating the S&P500 by over 2% on the year.
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
Valuations are starting to mean something again. Let’s see if this holds. Important.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
US beer shipments expected to reach a 37-year low, per Bank of America.
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
@Kalshi No citation, no source. Garbage in, garbage out. Be better.
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
JUST IN: US war with Iran has cost $25 billion
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
@Flyboy3520w There’s an episode of black mirror where, once you’ve seen it, you do not want to ever see shit like this 😂
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BLYAT
BLYAT@Flyboy3520w·
lmao yea like, sigh. I appreciate it, and hate it simultaneously... way too many ways this goes wrong later down the line.
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP

@CardilloSamuel Hmmm maybe don’t make shit like this

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The Market Signal
The Market Signal@marketsignal2·
Today’s headline scanner is decidedly bearish. Read the top themes driving market narratives below:
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Glitch
Glitch@Glitch_Trades·
The biggest gift that trading has provided me is the freedom to spend more time with my kid and family.
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
@themarketear AKA imminent Plunge Protection Team intervention as necessary going into the weekend.
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fumar
fumar@22fumar22·
G to the M Have a Good Friday Don’t drink too much - take care about your health Like this art by @doodles AI with me and my wife
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Avalanche
Avalanche@AvalancheWealth·
Good morning everyone, Let’s get this bread this Friday💪 Feeling a bit sick so I made some tea
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
WOW. Fundrise's $VCX is up more than $38, a MASSIVE 123% at the time of writing, on its IPO day. It neared almost 300% around 1:00pm, now coming back down to earth. As suggested in my thread below, this has remarkably outperformed Robinhood's similar fund that launched earlier this month, $RVI, reflecting the $VCX broader portfolio and a better stack of premium companies: - SpaceX - Anthropic - Anduril Regardless of where these land, it's clear that everyday investors now have unprecedented levels of access to private companies. Congratulations to the @fundrise team on this launch.
Based Capital tweet mediaBased Capital tweet media
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP

There are two imminent new opportunities for broad-based retail access to private companies: Both Robinhood ( $RVI by $HOOD ) and Fundrise ( $VCX ) are listing funds over the coming month with unconventional exposure to some true heavy hitters. SpaceX, Anthropic, Databricks, Anduril, Ramp... to name just a few. But is now the time to invest? A quick thread, and a note up front: This post is intended for information and discussion purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to invest in any of the mentioned assets.

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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
Gm Are we bullish or bearish today?
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
I will never understand pure technical analysts. The people who do nothing but look at charts all day and trade based only on that. As if that is all that matters. Incomprehensible. Somebody save the chart squigglers. How do we get through to them?
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Bob Loukas 🗽
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas·
Stocks are in the early stages of a cyclical bear market. October timeframe lows.
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Nutty
Nutty@NuttyCLD·
$COHR demoed a 3.2T transceiver at OFC 2026. The industry is still deploying 1.6T. This skips a generation. 400G per lane across 8 lanes, four times today's standard (100G/lane). Demonstrated on both SiPh and monolithic InP platforms simultaneously. SiPh handles modulation and routing on silicon waveguides, but borrows an InP laser for the light source. The advantage is access to silicon fab infrastructure for scaling. Monolithic InP builds everything on InP substrate: laser, modulator, the works. Superior optical properties, but smaller wafers and specialized fabs. Two architectures, one supplier. Whatever the customer picks, Coherent delivers. They also showed a 6.4T CPO, which integrates optics into the network switch chip. Different from $LITE's scale-up demo (direct GPU-to-GPU), this is about making the router itself faster. What enables this breadth is vertical integration. Lasers, modulators, photodetectors, packaging, nearly all under one roof. That's rare in this industry. globenewswire.com/news-release/2…
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Samuel Cardillo
Samuel Cardillo@CardilloSamuel·
direct kinetic impact. a flying sword. 450km/h. updated video showing exactly that. we're also working on the explosive variant. only for authorized partners. dms are open.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
China has restricted fertiliser exports, per Reuters
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Based Capital
Based Capital@BasedCapitalLP·
@vigi1125 @aleabitoreddit Definitely true as a general rule of thumb, I only wonder how far these can run (they’ve already come a long way!)
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I may have outperformed the index just a tiny bit? It’s as simple as riding the Photonics and Memory Supercycles from $AXTI to $SNDK. Just doing this for fun now.
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