#Bitcoin is grinding sideways for weeks…
Is it grinding towards capitulation?
👇Full breakdown in the report below:
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/time-pressur…
#BTC #Crypto
Powered by date from @ResearchBTCNow
English
Bitcoin Regime
326 posts
Bitcoin Regime
@BitPrintzz
Bitcoin regime intelligence. Value anchors & behavioral flows. Probabilistic risk framework.
Decentralized เข้าร่วม Kasım 2024
54 กำลังติดตาม56 ผู้ติดตาม
#BTC is holding support.
But support alone is not confirmation.
Profitability is still lagging, macro is still restrictive, and the market remains stuck between repair and breakout.
👇New report:
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/decision-zon…
English
That’s the key question right now: repaired base or delayed breakout? ⚠️
In this week’s report, I break down the regime, holder behavior, cost-basis structure, and the most likely forward paths for BTC.
Read the full report here:
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/decision-zon…
English
The structure isn’t broken. 📊
Support is still holding, long-term conviction remains firm, and this does not look like fresh capitulation. But it also isn’t a confirmed expansion yet. Macro pressure is still leaning against follow-through.
English
🧵Is #Bitcoin repairing… or just stalling under macro pressure? 🤔
Price is holding up better than many expected, but the real issue is under the surface: profitability still hasn’t cleanly flipped, and that keeps rallies vulnerable to supply release.
English
#Bitcoin has repaired, but not yet confirmed?
Macro pressure continues to cap breakout attempt.
👇Full breakdown in the report:
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/decision-zon…
Powered by @ResearchBTCNow
#BTC #Onchain #Crypto
English
@glassnode There’s also ~$3B+ in leveraged long liquidations clustered around $69–70k.
If the $73k pivot breaks, the market could easily run a classic liquidity sweep:
74k → 72k → 70k
Once that zone is tagged, a liquidation cascade could accelerate the move very quickly.
English
A large pocket of negative gamma sits near the $75k strike in $BTC options markets.
Market makers appear structurally short calls at this level. As spot approaches, hedging flows could intensify, potentially amplifying upside price moves.
📈glassno.de/471O35p
English
@100trillionUSD S2F worked when Bitcoin was a small reflexive asset.
Once derivatives, ETFs, and macro liquidity entered the system, price formation changed.
Supply is deterministic, demand is not.
That’s why the model keeps drifting.
English
📊 #Bitcoin Profitability is attempting a recovery.
Historically when this metric flips back above its mean:
• bear phases end
• accumulation begins
• trend structure improves
Right now BTC is testing that level again.
The next few weeks may define the next regime.
Full analysis below ↓
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/bitcoin-at-t…
English
👇So the key question becomes:
Repair… or rejection?
Full behavioral breakdown here ↓
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/bitcoin-at-t…
English
⚠️ #Bitcoin is approaching a decision point.
Several on-chain signals are starting to shift.
But one key question remains:
Is profitability returning… or about to reject again?
A short thread 🧵
English
However the market is not fully out of danger yet.
If profitability fails to hold:
BTC usually revisits lower liquidity zones before the next expansion phase.
English
Second signal: STH-SOPR
Short-term holders are the emotional traders.
When STH-SOPR flips above 1 and holds, it means:
loss sellers are exhausted.
This is one of the earliest signals of trend repair.
English
First signal: Supply in Profit
Historically when BTC moves back above the mean level of profitability:
• seller pressure drops
• market structure stabilizes
• rallies begin
Right now we are testing this level again.
English
📈Most investors think #Bitcoin moves because of:
• news
• geopolitics
• headlines
But historically BTC moves for a much simpler reason: profitability cycles.
When holders return to profit → markets expand.
When they fall into loss → markets compress.
Right now Bitcoin is sitting exactly at that line.
My breakdown ↓
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/bitcoin-at-t…
#BTC #Onchain #Crypto #BitcoinETF
English
If rejected again → we likely revisit lower liquidity pockets.
English
Is #Bitcoin at a decision point?
That’s where breakouts are born or rejected!
👇New report below.
bitcoinregime.substack.com/p/bitcoin-at-t…
Powered by @ResearchBTCNow
#BTC #OnChain #Crypto
English
Key level to watch: $67k–$72k
If profitability holds above this zone → structure improves.
English
@glassnode Accumulation is forming but the real trigger isn’t accumulation.
It’s profitability.
When supply flips back into profit and holds, the market shifts from:
weak hands 👉confident holders.
That’s when ranges become launchpads, not ceilings.
English
An accumulation cluster is forming in the $62k–$72k range. However, its intensity is modest relative to prior phases that preceded sustained expansions.
Conviction is building, but the foundation for a mid-term breakout remains thin so far.
📉 glassno.de/3P2i7rr
Bitcoin Vector@bitcoinvector
Bitcoin Price Momentum + Impulse define market phases. When both align, BTC moves from transition into expansion. When they fail, rallies fade and bearish phases extend. Momentum Transition (Light blue) is the early ignition window. Momentum Expansion (Dark blue) marks when impulse and momentum align for cleaner rallies. In January, BTC attempted a bullish shift but failed. Now it is back in transition, with slight positive impulse. Ignition is emerging, but sustained positive momentum is what confirms the shift.
English
@PositiveCrypto Yeah this is always interesting to watch.
Price grinding up while funding goes negative usually means people are fighting the move. Could get a squeeze if it keeps going.
English
Funding rates have been increasingly negative over the past few days...though price has climbed higher. Those traders going short likely feeling some pain.
Will be interesting to see how this one resolves.
English