Billson
277 posts

Billson
@CheungBillson
@venturesintern @AnimocaVentures NFA & DYOR Maintaining a macro view is crucial for long-term success


The LLM Cheat-Sheet for OpenClaw and Hermes agents The goal is to choose the right models that best fit your agents' needs for as little cost as possible. Do this and you can build a proficient agent that will never die. Here's the full landscape on popular models for AI agents: 12 models, 4 tiers, every one earning its place. Tier 1 - Frontier Models - Claude Opus 4.6: #1 agentic terminal coding - GPT-5.4: superhuman computer use, real planning - Gemini 3.1 Pro: best price/intelligence at frontier, native multimodal Tier 2 - Execution - MiniMax M2.7: 97% skill adherence, built for agents - Kimi K2.5: long-horizon stability, agent swarm - DeepSeek V3.2: frontier reasoning at 1/50th the cost Tier 3 - Balanced - Claude Sonnet 4.6: 98% of Opus at 1/5 the cost - GPT-5.4 mini: 93.4% tool-call reliability - Qwen3.6 Plus: near-frontier coding, completely free - Llama 4 Maverick: open-weight, self-host at zero marginal cost Tier 4 - Local / $0 - Qwen3.5-9B: always-on subconscious loop, 16GB RAM, beats models 13x its size - Qwen3.5-27B: stronger instruction following, 32GB RAM - Gemma 4 31B: best local reasoning, Apache 2.0, commercial-ready - DeepSeek R1 distill: best chain-of-thought at $0 - GLM-4.5-Air: purpose-built for agent tool use and web browsing, not a trimmed general model Full breakdown with benchmarks, costs, and use cases in the table 🔽











Couple higher conviction views of informed parties in the Gulf: 1) The US will launch a ground operation within the next week or so, as evidenced by much higher troop numbers than reported in the UAE with numbers recently accelerating. 2) Even considering the above, traffic through the Strait will continue to rise. Gradually and dependent on developments, but it will not go back to being fully closed as it was before the Larak channel opened up. Countries will continue making deals. 3) Hormuz fried chicken is 5/5 stars.











