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@ChsSTRguy

Chs / east tn เข้าร่วม Şubat 2022
224 กำลังติดตาม252 ผู้ติดตาม
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Everyone is looking at $SMCI smuggling billions of dollars of AI chips to China. But nobody is answering the question: How do I make money off this, and is it a good buying opportunity? My answer: If $SMCI drops much lower than ~$24 overnight. It like a buying opportunity at a ~$14B MC. Everyone looks at the DOJ case and thinks Super Micro are cooked. But two things: 1. The company itself looks insulated, so far (not named a defendant) 2. $SMCI chip sales to China state actors was already known (just not to the $2.5B+ extent), by Hindenburg short seller reports in 2024. So a decent part of the China revenue stuff was already priced in, which is why $SMCI crashed from $100+ and is now trading at $24. Now if we strip away optics and some material revenue: -> $SMCI GAAP net income was $1.05B last year, and FY 2026 is estimated to be around ~$1.25B with some estimates going to $1.5B. And then we rip away an est ~$150M in smuggled in profit out of financials: ~$1.05 billion -> ~$900M? On a P/E basis, still looks relatively cheap as a growing company, maybe ~10-11x? Now the downside: -> Optics are still trash. You can add more trash to trash. But it's still trash regardless, doesn't change much? -> $NVDA distancing itself with $SMCI? (They already did in 2024). -> $SMCI not named a defendant, but in the case SEC/DOJ goes after them, then lot of regulatory fees and possibly fines. -> Maybe order cancellations, but if they didn't cancel orders for the problems they had in 2024, it looks fine now? Now... Are there a lot better opportunities than taking this regulatory leap of faith? 100%. Is there potential more downside from panicking? Yes. But if you strip away the noise, $SMCI as a company looks cheap ~$14B at roughly 10-11x forward earnings.
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@WOLF_Financial This is how the Chinese rip off the United States. No mercy on $smci. Take this pos to 0. Fuck them
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WOLF
WOLF@WOLF_Financial·
JUST IN: SUPER MICRO COMPUTER $SMCI CO-FOUNDER CHARGED WITH SMUGGLING NVIDIA $NVDA AI CHIPS TO CHINA • ~$2.5B in servers diverted since 2024 via Southeast Asian shell company • $510M shipped in a single month window (late Apr to mid-May 2025) • Fake paperwork, dummy servers used to fool compliance team • Co-founder Liaw controls $464M in $SMCI shares, arrested Thursday • One defendant a fugitive; contractor relationship terminated • Stock -12% after hours 🔴 Southern District of NY prosecution. No Commerce Dept. export license held.
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@StockMKTNewz Conspiring with the enemy. Short this shit to 0. $smci. Fuck this company.
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@RepCarlos He's the next big fish that has to go , hopefully there's a plan to remove him
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Rep. Carlos A. Gimenez
Rep. Carlos A. Gimenez@RepCarlos·
🚨#SOSVenezuela 🇻🇪 Thugs like Diosdado Cabello continue to operate at the highest levels of the Venezuelan regime, untouched and unaccountable. The United States has placed a $25 million reward for information leading to his arrest and conviction—one of the largest bounties for a narcotics trafficking case. There can be no real change or credibility while individuals accused of enabling corruption and drug trafficking remain in power. Diosdado Cabello must be turned over to U.S. authorities to face the serious charges against him. The Venezuelan people—and the world—deserve accountability.
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best of mafia cinema
best of mafia cinema@TheMafiaPoint·
Is Casino just as good as Goodfellas?
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WORLD NEWS
WORLD NEWS@_MAGA_NEWS_·
🚨 JUST IN: French President Emmanuel Macron just dropped a jaw-dropping statement, calling for "the fighting to stop for at least a few days to try to give negotiations a chance." He declared, "This escalation is reckless."
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Kevork Almassian
Kevork Almassian@KevorkAlmassian·
Donald Trump will go down in history as the worst President in the history of the United States.
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@FirstSquawk Ukraine's already done,, Poland andthe Baltics face a difficult situation now
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
ZELENSKIY: UKRAINE FACES A VERY DIFFICULT SITUATION NOW, HOPE EUROPE WILL FIND WAY TO CONTINUE SUPPORT
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@LasVegasFill Vegas is way down on my to-go list. Not even on the first page. And according to the latest tourism numbers, I'm not the only one who's not interested. Vegas needs to die and come back with a new strategy.
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LasVegasFill
LasVegasFill@LasVegasFill·
The new Sartiano's Italian Steakhouse at Wynn is freaking beautiful. We started strong with the $125 Tableside Fettuccine Alfredo with black truffle, aged Parmigiano, and burro di bufala. Are you down?
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@patriciajaniot There was Blanket amnesty from my understanding
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Patricia Janiot
Patricia Janiot@patriciajaniot·
Qué fácil es destituir a las fichas de Maduro, pero ¿y quién hará justicia por todo lo que hicieron? ¿O es que les permitirán retirarse cómodamente a descansar sin responder a los crímenes y torturas con las que abusaron a quienes pensaban diferente? #Venezuela
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
EUROPEAN UNION: WE NEED AN EXIT FROM THE WAR WITH IRAN, NOT ITS ESCALATION
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@JamieBonkiewicz Same thing that happened to the tariff check. You didn't actually believe that shit did you?
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Jamie Bonkiewicz
Jamie Bonkiewicz@JamieBonkiewicz·
Whatever happened to that 10% credit card interest rate we were promised?
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freedomfun
freedomfun@freedomfun25359·
@BarryRoland19 This man is a hero. We need more like him. Otherwise the rich would just rollover everyone like they often do.
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BarryRoland19
BarryRoland19@BarryRoland19·
Old enough to remember when this guy almost brought the entire U.S. economy to a screeching halt
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@ClownWorld That concrete still wet. the contractor fucked up.
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Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@retail_mourinho now at 86 is a buy again, 6 1/2 billion dollar market cap. This thing could easily double.
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Retail Mourinho
Retail Mourinho@retail_mourinho·
$AAOI free falling. Seems like the hype is over. Unfortunately a lot of people chased it and are down a lot..
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@Jhonffonseca He's gotta go ,I don't know why the US is waiting
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Jhonf Fonseca
Jhonf Fonseca@Jhonffonseca·
🇻🇪 ¡ATENCIÓN! El narcoterrorista Diosdado Cabello acaba de amenazar con meter en prisión a todos los venezolanos que se atrevan a salir a protestar en las calles. ¡Esto es dictadura pura y dura! El mismo matón de siempre, igualito a su jefe Maduro. Diosdado merece estar encadenado en una celda junto a Maduro, no dando órdenes desde Miraflores. ¿Hasta cuándo vamos a tolerar esto?
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Pate
Pate@ChsSTRguy·
@ChuckTownDaily Those New York numbers will only get bigger. South Carolina should pass a "Mamdani" tax on nyc residents moving here. They drive up our housing costs
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