
Nick Colletta
772 posts

Nick Colletta
@CollettaNick
Bitcoin | Treasurer @SemlerSci | Alum @deloitte
เข้าร่วม Haziran 2025
703 กำลังติดตาม879 ผู้ติดตาม
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

While everyone is focused on CLARITY, I can confidently say that the Bitcoin Policy discussion in DC is changing quickly.
In the past few weeks we’ve had multiple discussions with members of Congress laser focused on the strategic implications of winning the bitcoin race as a matter of national security.
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

@BitcoinPierre This time is different (will delete if wrong)
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

Strive has increased our Annual Dividend on SATA to 13%
On our balance sheet today, we have:
Assets:
1. $1.02 Billion in Bitcoin
2. $89.7 Million in cash
3. $50.5 Million in $STRC
Liabilities:
1. $10M Senior Convertible Notes (1% leverage ratio)
Mezzanine Equity:
1. $437M in SATA outstanding (44% amplification ratio)
Our annual interest from SATA at 13% is ~ $56.8 Million
As of today, Strive has 20+ years of annual dividend coverage currently on balance sheet.
In a world moving VERY fast with advancements in AI, we believe future cash flows of the enormous existing credit market to be at risk (insert any article on Private Credit).
We believe Bitcoin remains the best form of Digital Capital to withstand these changing market dynamics, and Digital Credit (such as SATA) to be the most transparent & interesting credit risk instruments in the capital markets.
Please see our recent SEC filings. (use your favorite AI tool to summarize).
Our website strive.com has an analytics dashboard that updates every 15 seconds with metrics

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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

It’s race week 🏁
We’re heading to Donington Park for the opening rounds of the MINI Challenge.
It’s been a serious journey to get here.
Time to deliver. Powered by @vexl.

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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

Really appreciate the shoutout Joe Joe Burnett @IIIcapital — this means a lot. 🙏
There’s a difference between:
building something that works for me → cool
building something others can use → powerful
Seeing @Strategy historical Bitcoin acquisition work evolve into a 1 million BTC Date tracker on @TNorth
tnorth.com/tools/strategy…
…and hearing you walk through it is really gratifying. 🙏
Joe Burnett, MSBA@IIICapital
What happens when $MSTR hits 1,000,000 BTC?
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

But I was told by random crypto entrepreneurs that “sophisticated financial institutions would never consider investing in bitcoin treasury companies”
BitcoinTreasuries.NET@BTCtreasuries
JUST IN: $15 billion investment bank TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza has initiated buy rating on #Bitcoin treasury company Strive $ASST with a price target of $26. The valuation is tied to projected BTC dollar gains of about $142 million for fiscal 2026.
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

You’re solving for terminal return and ignoring how capital actually behaves.
A 70/30 BTC/Treasury portfolio is not a substitute for Digital Credit. It still carries 70% of $BTC volatility. Since the October highs, that exact mix is down ~30%. That’s a significantly larger drawdown than the S&P 500 over the same period. Meanwhile $STRC has generated a positive return over that period from its yield.
That alone explains why your comparison breaks. Significant pools of capital cannot tolerate that path, regardless of long-term assumptions.
Second, your math assumes a smooth 20% BTC CAGR and treats real return as static without addressing volatility. We both agree 20% is conservative. I believe Bitcoin compounds north of 30% over the next decade.
But even with that view:
- Volatility is a primary constraint for many allocators
- Behavior matters more than models
- Many investors require income, not just appreciation
The “simple trade” only works if the investor can and will actually hold through that volatility. Many won’t.
Third, “zero counterparty risk” is not a free lunch. It comes with full exposure to BTC price volatility. Digital Credit introduces structured risk in exchange for:
- Contractual cash flow
- Lower volatility
- Positive carry through drawdowns
That trade-off is the foundation of credit markets.
Fourth, you’re ignoring risk-adjusted returns. For a large portion of capital, Sharpe ratio matters more than raw return. Lower volatility with consistent yield will attract more capital than a higher-return, higher-volatility alternative. Digital Credit will likely have a higher Sharpe ratio than both Bitcoin and amplified Bitcoin equities, while lagging both in total return.
Fifth, capital structure matters. If Bitcoin compounds above the cost of capital, financing structures around Bitcoin create positive spread that accrues to equity. $MSTR is the clearest example of this dynamic, having outperformed Bitcoin since adopting its Bitcoin strategy. If Bitcoin compounds at 20–30%+, that dynamic becomes more powerful, not less.
For my own capital, given that view and my risk tolerance, I prefer to hold Bitcoin and amplified Bitcoin exposure. That’s the exposure I want.
But that’s not how most capital is wired.
The largest TAM across this ecosystem may ultimately be Digital Credit. Most investors cannot tolerate Bitcoin’s volatility and are more than satisfied with a double-digit, lower-volatility return.
Bottom line:
- Everyone should own $BTC
- Digital Credit serves yield-oriented and volatility sensitive capital
- Levered equity amplifies $BTC upside for volatility insensitive Bitcoin bulls
- A mix of the above can create a blended portfolio to better meet the risk/return objectives of different investors
Digital Credit, Bitcoin, and amplified Bitcoin equity are complementary, not substitutes.
Capital will ultimately allocate based on risk tolerance and objectives, not ideology. The opportunity set expands as more solutions are built, not fewer.
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว

If @nytimes misidentifies Satoshi after an 18-month investigation that selectively attends to only confirmingevidence… What are the odds they get it right on bitcoin’s energy use, utility, value, security, etc.? Wrong on all of those too.
What about everything else? The news?
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Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว
Nick Colletta รีทวีตแล้ว












