Crayfish
3.3K posts

Crayfish
@CrayfishFpl
Bumbling along on fantasy premier league. EV Addict.
เข้าร่วม Kasım 2021
876 กำลังติดตาม663 ผู้ติดตาม

@CrayfishFpl For this potential, FH33 / WC35 / BB36 might end up the strongest strategy
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@nufcwillwinthpl depends on rest of your team but yeah probably if otherwise would be mean fielding 10
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@CrayfishFpl Formidable week! How do you plan to navigate the blank?
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Hahaha completely forgot there's another match tomorrow, leaving it up cos it's funny
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl
GW29 73 points all out and a green arrow up to 1900. A good week that could have been an excellent week. The Everton boys and Senesi let down by the front line. Sad to bench the Anderson haul but he's been a trooper anyway.
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@calm_strategy @LetsTalk_FPL How do you factor in EO here? Obviously after VCs this week it didn't really matter but would you have captain Haaland if you owned Semenyo despite saying 160% EO vs. Bruno's 110? Seems like the EO (and EV) are an order of magnitude more impactful on relative variance.
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@LetsTalk_FPL When its close. Close decisions dont really matter as its consumed by noise. It just skews your risk - so your xpts is ~the same, but the real pts outcomes are spread to the highs and lows.
Its the same thing as e.g. tripling on a defence v 3 x equal expectation players.
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GW28: 89
Rank: 16
Fernandes was a clear captain for me this week as I also own Mbeumo (so I'm already betting on MUN to do well). If I had Semenyo instead I would have gone for Haaland. Timber over Andersen was for the same reason (a bet on ARS DEF).
I had 2 FTs and £2.8m ITB. That money was originally intended as an Enzo to Wirtz upgrade, but with his injury, I needed a new plan. There were a lot of other MIDs available but after looking at my team for a while I decided I was more worried about bench depth with the quick fixtures. Guiu *doesnt* blank in GW31, but he might as well considering he doesnt get onto the pitch.
As such, I decided to use the money ITB to upgrade Guiu to Ekiteke, which allowed to me to get a piece of the LIV attack like before, but also getting that deeper bench. Enabling this was Enzo to Stach (exact money). I had no intention of playing Stach this week v MCI, but thought that he was a decent cheap playing option after this week until WC time. My first bench then became Andersen and I was happy with this as he had higher xpts than Timber anyway.
For this coming gameweek I have 3 flagged players so only having 1 FT is not great, but this depth of bench is at least saving me a bit. If Rice is ruled out I will be looking to move him on for someone who plays in GW31. If hes ok, I'll try to roll the transfer and sell him GW31 to have a full playing 11. I'm not considering a Haaland to Salah switch as I don't have the free transfers for it.


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Never publicly declaring a roll and bench boost plan ever again…
Haaland injured
Lacroix banned
Andersen ill
Barry dropped
🤦
Sopho@FPLSopho
GW28. Sarr -> Szobo (1/4FTs). 61k 🌎 Plenty of routes available with Wilson/Dango accessible in 1FT and Gordon/Schade in 2FT. Thin call, but I’ve gone with the robust path that gives me flexibility on chip strategy post GW29. Plan to roll GW29 with BB under consideration. #FPL
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