Crayfish

3.3K posts

Crayfish

Crayfish

@CrayfishFpl

Bumbling along on fantasy premier league. EV Addict.

เข้าร่วม Kasım 2021
876 กำลังติดตาม663 ผู้ติดตาม
Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW31 64 points all out and a nice little green up to 740
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW31 OR: 900 Bruno (C) Lacroix + Rice -> Andersen + Gordon Roll 3 FTs Playing it pretty safe here and leaving my options open. Probably on WC32 but we'll see. Good luck all and enjoy your weekends 🫡
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
@StingFPL Yeah, or if you have all 4 chips left TC33/WC34/BB35/FH36...
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FPL Sting
FPL Sting@StingFPL·
@CrayfishFpl For this potential, FH33 / WC35 / BB36 might end up the strongest strategy
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
Haven't shared a lot of chip strategy stuff this season as there are lots of different routes and paths given the fixtures, but anyone who hasn't should go listen to the GW31 Solio pod. Worth keeping in mind that DGW36 could end up being juicier than we might have thought...
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
@nufcwillwinthpl depends on rest of your team but yeah probably if otherwise would be mean fielding 10
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW30 71 points all out and a nice green arrow up to 900ish Couple of FTs to be used this week to make an 11, hopefully Tarky gets the all clear
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Max Marmor
Max Marmor@MaxMarmor·
@CrayfishFpl Formidable week! How do you plan to navigate the blank?
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW30 Bruno (C) OR: 2000 Roll to 5 FTs Was tempted by the Salah switcheroo but mins issues with him and DCL meant I'll play it boring and save the FTs for next week. Good luck all 🫡
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
Watch Lacroix score again for a 30 odd point bench
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
I think Bruno is becoming close to default captain at this point, was only 1 DefCon off another 10 pointer in a game Man Utd shat the bed.
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW29 73 points all out and a green arrow up to 1900. A good week that could have been an excellent week. The Everton boys and Senesi let down by the front line. Sad to bench the Anderson haul but he's been a trooper anyway.
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW29 OR: 3300 Roll 3/3 FTs Haaland (C) If you can't beat 'em, join 'em (Bruno VC will bail me out). Looked at the Salah switch but remembered he is washed and Pep never lies. Good luck all 🫡
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
@calm_strategy @LetsTalk_FPL How do you factor in EO here? Obviously after VCs this week it didn't really matter but would you have captain Haaland if you owned Semenyo despite saying 160% EO vs. Bruno's 110? Seems like the EO (and EV) are an order of magnitude more impactful on relative variance.
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Calm
Calm@calm_strategy·
@LetsTalk_FPL When its close. Close decisions dont really matter as its consumed by noise. It just skews your risk - so your xpts is ~the same, but the real pts outcomes are spread to the highs and lows. Its the same thing as e.g. tripling on a defence v 3 x equal expectation players.
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Calm
Calm@calm_strategy·
GW28: 89 Rank: 16 Fernandes was a clear captain for me this week as I also own Mbeumo (so I'm already betting on MUN to do well). If I had Semenyo instead I would have gone for Haaland. Timber over Andersen was for the same reason (a bet on ARS DEF). I had 2 FTs and £2.8m ITB. That money was originally intended as an Enzo to Wirtz upgrade, but with his injury, I needed a new plan. There were a lot of other MIDs available but after looking at my team for a while I decided I was more worried about bench depth with the quick fixtures. Guiu *doesnt* blank in GW31, but he might as well considering he doesnt get onto the pitch. As such, I decided to use the money ITB to upgrade Guiu to Ekiteke, which allowed to me to get a piece of the LIV attack like before, but also getting that deeper bench. Enabling this was Enzo to Stach (exact money). I had no intention of playing Stach this week v MCI, but thought that he was a decent cheap playing option after this week until WC time. My first bench then became Andersen and I was happy with this as he had higher xpts than Timber anyway. For this coming gameweek I have 3 flagged players so only having 1 FT is not great, but this depth of bench is at least saving me a bit. If Rice is ruled out I will be looking to move him on for someone who plays in GW31. If hes ok, I'll try to roll the transfer and sell him GW31 to have a full playing 11. I'm not considering a Haaland to Salah switch as I don't have the free transfers for it.
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
@FPLSopho that's what we call robust optionality!
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW28 80 points and a nice green arrow up to 3300!
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
@Fpl_Moris I wouldn't with Burnley next week
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
GW28 Roll 2 FTs. OR: 4400 Bruno (C) Bonne chance à tous and enjoy your weekend 🫡
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Crayfish
Crayfish@CrayfishFpl·
entertained the idea of moving Lacroix to Thiaw or Andersen but seemed kinda thin value and so I'll suffer with Tarky instead!
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