Daniel the survival
3K posts

Daniel the survival
@DanieldontLai
Nothing is Perfect in Life ! Life is Great If You Cherish It ! Just Do It, There is Nothing is Impossible ! If You Believe You Can, Just Do It !
เข้าร่วม Mayıs 2012
329 กำลังติดตาม76 ผู้ติดตาม

把预期降低,下半年美股进入了中等难度模式(上半年算高难度,所以散户和机构都踏空了3月的底):三家万亿级别公司上市,和债券市场融资需求的大幅上升,对流动性是很大的冲击。然后再加上宏观影响。
Xiaoyu Wang@XiaoyuW68637263
@TJ_Research 一颗雷算是排掉了。可能只算是半颗吧。毕竟没有更多更大的惊喜。期指原地起飞。
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@JPATrades Last week u said this and it pump and dump 3rd day
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@unusual_whales Everytime he said this....market flood red
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@preetkailon Im nervous with my july 395 call. Paper loss 35% now
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$GOOGL didn’t raise $80 billion because they needed a lifeline.
They raised it because customer demand for AI compute is outpacing what they can physically supply. Power, land, data centers they can’t scale fast enough. Sundar Pichai literally said compute capacity is what keeps him up at night.
In April they revised capex guidance to $180-190B for the year. Now they’re going back to markets for more. Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon combined are expected to spend over $700B on capex this year alone.
And we’re still in the early innings. $1 trillion in AI capex by 2027 isn’t a prediction anymore it’s a roadmap.
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@amitisinvesting @grok is this bullish or bearish for google
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Google just opened up the floodgates for the Mag 7 to begin doing ATM offerings.
The Mag 7 used to buy back stock. Now they are dumping shares in the open market.
Why? AI infrastructure.
As long as the capex delivers an ROI, the market may reward it, but it looks like Google feels they have tapped the debt markets enough and now need to visit the equity markets.
They also got Berkshire to buy $10B at $350, showing that Berkshire is supporting the move.
This is incredible to witness...but my question is...will this give the other Mag 7 companies the freedom to do ATM offerings if the market is willing to let them?
This incredible to witness.
$GOOGL $META $AMZN $MSFT

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$PLTR
The biggest concern around Palantir over the past 2 years has been its valuation.
That concern should not be that relevant anymore.
If we are looking at other companies in Software, $SNOW and $CRWD are trading at HIGHER multiples on a NTM EV/EBITDA yet they are growing 2x LESS than Palantir and at 2x WORSE margins, as shown in the chart below by Arny.
You want to know what’s even worse?
The TTM GAAP profits for all 3:
Palantir did $2.28B in GAAP net income, actual profit coming down to the bottom line.
Snowflake LOST $1.33B and Crowdstrike LOST $162M!
$SNOW and $CRWD can’t produce a GAAP profit, have significantly worse margins and have significantly less growth but are getting a HIGHER multiple.
This is not to say that Snowflake or Crowdstrike are overvalued or don’t deserve the premium they are getting, but it is to say there is a massive valuation disconnect and anyone screaming that Palantir is expensive cannot make that argument relative to every other company in SaaS.
Better margins, faster growth, profitable…and basically guided to 100% topline growth next year.
This is obvious.
If the market is willing to continue giving these premiums to software companies as the “AI destroying software” narrative goes away, Palantir should continue to gain momentum.
Arny Trezzi@arny_trezzi
$PLTR is cheaper than $SNOW $CRWD despite growing 2x faster and at 2x margins. Just saying.
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我光通信里也最看好 $MRVL 和 $NOK ,这两个逻辑确实互补。
$MRVL 是机房内部的数据流动层,吃的是 DSP、光互连、custom ASIC、memory interconnect; $NOK 是机房外部和边缘侧的骨干管道,吃的是 AI-RAN、DCI、运营商网络和 InP 光芯片整合。
两家都有 NVIDIA 加持,不是纯概念股。 $MRVL 现在估值相比别的光的标的依然算便宜,但后面还是要看revenue proof; $NOK 更像传统通信股被低估,重定价可能会慢一点,但赔率更舒服。
川沐|Trumoo🐮@xiaomustock
$MRVL 谷歌内存芯片和推理芯片设计,同时通过dsp芯片为中枢卡位芯片内部光电互连系统设计,二者结合会成为芯片内部的光通信未来王者。 $NOK 诺基亚有自己美国本土的搞inp芯片的产线,又有深厚的基站间通信技术,二者合一起是芯片外部光通信未来王者。 $NOK , $MRVL 这俩个会是光通信的最终受益者。 仓位再搭配 $DRAM 存储吃周期到成长股转变和未来AI无尽的存储消耗行情。 这样玩美股完全不可能输。 大道至简,不用持仓太多股票,三个就够了。
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Never sell covered calls on growth stocks ! I have warned many many times. I see so many people sell covered call on NVDA, PLTR, FTNT, PANW etc… and missing the significant upside when these stocks become multi baggers ( I made this mistake in my early years)
It’s like marrying the woman ( or man ) of your dreams and pimping her out to your friends for a few hundred bucks a night
Soon , one of your friends is going to steal her away from you
It’s so difficult to find a great business and person of your dreams , why do you want to risk losing them over a few bucks when they can make you millions over the years
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谷歌:我们看到的需求太大了。2027年的资本开支会在26年1850亿的基础上继续大幅增长。😂
华尔街你凭啥盘后上涨呢?不是担心资本开支吗?
投资TALK君@TJ_Research
@SV_Nomad 如果你有听所有大科技财报会议,绝对得不出他们会降资本开支的可能性。 可能做出的调整GPU在研发和传统业务的比重,就像Meta上季度做的
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@realMeetKevin Inflation up....market down for the next drawdown..
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TRUMP SIGNALS PROLONGED IRAN CONFLICT
Trump’s latest speech points to several more weeks of fighting, with analysts warning the risk of US ground involvement remains high.
They cite the ongoing military buildup and broad war objectives as key factors, and note the timing before the holiday leaves room for potential escalation in the coming days.
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@DeItaone Can they just fking nego for real? Fking kids
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