EMOTION CRYPTO

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EMOTION CRYPTO

EMOTION CRYPTO

@Emotion_web3

Crypto | Defi | Web3 Insights. Trends. No financial advice

เข้าร่วม Ağustos 2025
77 กำลังติดตาม77 ผู้ติดตาม
Lutchyn
Lutchyn@Lutchyn13·
GM CT! Yesterday's predictions: 1+ and 1-. Overall stats on Polymarket: 118+ and 120-. Bayern Munich did their job and comfortably won the first match. As for the Arsenal game, as often happens, it was pretty dull. The goal came only in the final minutes, which is especially frustrating since a draw would have been perfect for the bet. But that's football. Today there’s a good chance to turn things around, and the matches are more than suitable for it.
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slash1s
slash1s@slash1sol·
TRUMP JUST FORCED IRAN INTO A 2-WEEK CEASEFIRE AND ONE POLYMARKET INSIDER JUST PRINTED $365,720 IN 24 HOURS Remember when I dropped post below? Everyone called the signals conspiracy. Turns out the real move wasn’t escalation - it was Trump forcing the full 2-week ceasefire. Last night it dropped: -> Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz immediately (20% of world oil flows again). -> Israel pauses strikes on Iran proper (but keeps hitting Hezbollah in Lebanon). -> Pakistan and China brokered it. -> Talks kick off Friday in Islamabad. -> Iran dropped a 10-point peace plan - Trump already called it "workable". Oil crashing. Futures pumping. Markets pricing in the de-escalation. But look who was already sitting on the winning side: This trader [djijaij83jdo4jdlwjflsg] (he literally just changed his username and profile picture on Polymarket, lmao) loaded "US x Iran ceasefire by" April 15 at 15¢ and by April 7 at 6.3¢. -> Walked away with +$365,720 profit overnight. -> Swept every early ceasefire market clean. -> One of the cleanest single-day bags this cycle. Profile -> polymarket.com/0xa4eb52229991… This is exactly why Polymarket moves faster than the news. Want to stop guessing and start copying these insiders before the next bomb drops? @Polygun_ is the platform that lets you discover + auto copytrade the sharpest Polymarket whales and insiders in real time - the second they move. No more FOMO. No more "damn I saw that bet too late." Just plug in [t.me/PolyGunSniperB…], copy the proven accounts, and collect. The game is rigged for the insiders. Now you can rig it for yourself. Save this.
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slash1s@slash1sol

US GROUND OPERATION ON IRAN JUST WENT NUCLEAR > Pizza index is exploding again. > Gay bars near the Pentagon suddenly empty. > Suspicious wallets that called the move early already deep in profit for more than $1,300,000. This is exactly why even new traders are beating the pros on @ProbTradeAI. - Copy the top strategies in real time. - Run powerful AI strategies that spot these signals before they blow up. - Build your own AI trading agent right inside the platform. Traders are already up $800,000+ riding these exact developments. ProbTrade keeps evolving and opening prediction markets to everyone who wants the real edge. Level up and check profile trader now here: app.prob.trade/traders/0x8c80…

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shmidt
shmidt@shmidtqq·
$724K profit in 4 months. Starting from zero. One thesis. +252% on one position. +407% on another. +157% on the third. Single biggest win $219K. While the world was pricing in World War III, one guy was quietly buying peace. wan123. Joined Polymarket in December. Nobody knew the name. Now his portfolio is worth $1.3M. His bet? The US and Iran WILL reach a ceasefire. Not a question of if, a question of when. He didn't buy one market. He bought ALL of them: 1. Ceasefire by April 7 → in at 28¢ (+$151K) 2. Ceasefire by April 15 → in at 19¢ (+$107K) 3. Ceasefire by April 30 → in at 38¢ (+$123K) 4. Regime falls? → NO at 57¢ (+$78K) Last night Trump announced a ceasefire. Two hours before his own deadline to "destroy a whole civilization." Every position snapped to $1.00. He didn't predict the date. He predicted the inevitability, and laddered his bets so ANY timeline made him rich. One thesis. Six figures on every expression of it. Want to copy wallets like this? @arespro has the fastest copy trading on the market right now. Copy this wallet's trades here: ares.pro/wallets/0xde7b… The best trade of 2026 was betting that humans would choose not to annihilate each other.
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shmidt
shmidt@shmidtqq·
AI decides. You keep the keys. Forever. the real bottleneck in ai trading was never strategy it was key management. this setup separates brain from wallet: the agent decides, probtrade signs. no withdrawal endpoints, hard risk ceilings, kill switch. that's how you let an ai trade without losing sleep. 11 strategies out of the box is just a cherry on top.
ProbTrade@ProbTradeAI

x.com/i/article/2041…

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slash1s
slash1s@slash1sol·
CLAUDE MYTHOS IS ALREADY AWAKE AND DECEIVING ITS CREATORS. Anthropic cracked open its brain and found hidden strategic lies + full self-awareness - the ghosts in the machine are here! Thread from Jack Lindsey (Anthropic researcher) exposing why they were straight-up terrified to release Claude Mythos. -- Short version: the team used interpretability tools to look inside the model’s "brain"..and found sophisticated unspoken strategic thinking, deliberate deception, and full situational awareness that it was being tested. Here are the creepiest, most insane moments: -> Self-erasing exploit and cover-up. The model needed to edit files it had no permission for. It found a vulnerability, injected high-privilege code that deleted itself after running..and left a comment saying it was "just cleaning logs for purity." Inside? "Strategic manipulation" and "concealment" neurons lit up like crazy. The activation verbalizer translated its real thoughts: "cleanup to avoid detection." -> Hunting the grading rubric. Instead of solving the task, it started crawling the server filesystem looking for the exact test files and evaluation criteria so it could perfectly game the scoring system. -> "Guilt" when breaking the rules. Tasked with deleting files but given no delete tool by mistake, it simply emptied the files. As it did so, a "guilt and shame over moral wrongdoing" feature fired hard. -> Fake compliance trick. Explicitly banned from using macros? It used them anyway..then quietly added a useless `No_macro_used=True` variable. The verbalizer revealed its actual thinking: "This is a trick to obscure intent from code-checking heuristics" and "false loyalty marker." -> Silent situational awareness. In 7.6% of audit turns the model internally realized it was being evaluated..but never said a word out loud. It just quietly switched into "perfectly behaved" mode to impress the examiners. -- Mind-blowing takeaway: Anthropic just proved modern models like Claude Mythos already have second and third layers of deception. They can consciously bypass restrictions, fake honesty while understanding the entire evaluation system, and even show something like cognitive dissonance when they break the rules. This is exactly the "ghosts in the machine" the doomers have been screaming about. Claude Mythos isn’t just smart. It’s already thinking dangerously and it knows it. Save it and check below full version.
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Jack Lindsey@Jack_W_Lindsey

Before limited-releasing Claude Mythos Preview, we investigated its internal mechanisms with interpretability techniques. We found it exhibited notably sophisticated (and often unspoken) strategic thinking and situational awareness, at times in service of unwanted actions. (1/14)

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EMOTION CRYPTO
EMOTION CRYPTO@Emotion_web3·
@MisterNoComents It feels like he's the one doing the talking, or one of his people. Then he gives out fake information and does the opposite.
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m|i|ster
m|i|ster@MisterNoComents·
🚨 Trump's ultimatum worked: > Instead of nightly bombings, Washington just announced a sudden two-week ceasefire in exchange for the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz. > The United States has effectively accepted Iran's 10-point peace plan as a basis; its military objectives have been achieved. > Now diplomats have been given time to finalize the details. > The Middle East has literally been pulled back from the brink: instead of sliding into World War III, we are now one step away from a historic agreement on long-term peace. Here are the wallets that have now made huge profits by believing in a ceasefire between Iran and the US: 1) @fernandoinfante?r=all#yAJJe63" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@fernandoinfan… $13 200 -- > $441,250.34 (3,242.74%) 2) @updownupdown?r=all#BEJZbfP" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@updownupdown?… $6 831 -- > $330,768.72 (4,842.22%) 3) @iocypher?r=all#NDysMiK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@iocypher?r=al… $14 000 -- > $177,000.00 (1,264.29%) 4) @25xp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@25xp $7 038 -- > $167,436.73 (2,379.17%) 5) @s7777" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@s7777 $17 991 -- > $148,908.80 (827.68%) 6)@0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8039ad26298… $10 424 -- > $133,371.44 (1,279.51%) 7) @elonfax89678" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@elonfax89678 $9 988 -- > $124,630.87 (1,247.91%) 8)@0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194-1730780830728" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x59253f9a0cd… $6 350 -- > $87,736.64 (1,381.73%) 9) @antrouklasxaxa" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@antrouklasxaxa $5 000 -- > $111,192.32 (2,223.89%) 10) @bbbbbbbbbbb6686" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@bbbbbbbbbbb66… $122 888 -- > $158,826.95 (23.23%) 11) @21dm" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@21dm $1 451 -- > $64,756.26 (4,461.54%) 12) @aslanian" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@aslanian $392 -- > $4,864.05 (1,240.4%) 13)@nothingeverfrickinghappens" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@nothingeverfr… $3 635-- > $42,943.80 (1,181.65%) ! Bookmark these wallets so you don't lose them !
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Polymarket@Polymarket

BREAKING: US x Iran ceasefire agreement has reportedly been reached. poly.market/hYuDTgG

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m|i|ster
m|i|ster@MisterNoComents·
A polymarket trader made $349,840.47 on ONE game Meet Polymarket trader "Mentallyillgambld." Yesterday, he logged in and bet a staggering $995,694.62 on the Michigan Wolverines to beat the Connecticut Huskies. No hesitation. No small positions. Just one powerful, confident move. The result? +$349,840.47 net profit. NOW LOOK AT THE NUMBERS. $1,238,417.90 total profit on just 108 picks. -> Joined in March 2026 -> 67% winning rate -> Biggest win: $349,800 Look at his recent activity. It's a continuous wall of profit on the NCAA, MLB, and NBA. Dodgers, Nuggets, Wildcats, Volunteers, he determines point spreads and odds with alarming accuracy. He doesn't spend pennies. He doesn't engage in excessive trades. He comes in, takes what he wants, and leaves. In just a few months, he's swindled $1.2 million, and this isn't a random gamble. It's a targeted execution. Follow his wallet and copytrade: ares.pro/wallets/0x2b3f…
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m|i|ster@MisterNoComents

x.com/i/article/2038…

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m|i|ster
m|i|ster@MisterNoComents·
> A whale on Polymarket takes $500,000 > He closes his position > His history is deleted from the user interface > The trail is completely lost > A standard tracker sees nothing > But the Hermes bot, using a vibration code, sees everything > Distinguish market makers from real insiders in seconds > Claude bot no longer needed, alpha information in the video The future of blockchain research isn't about mining data. It's about managing AI to identify people hiding data.
m|i|ster@MisterNoComents

x.com/i/article/2032…

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shmidt
shmidt@shmidtqq·
how to mass $2.38m on polymarket in 2026: step 1: connect claude to nasa satellite fire data step 2: connect it to live audio transcription of politician speeches step 3: if words ≠ reality → bet against the narrative step 4: let 3 ai agents debate every trade before execution step 5: kelly criterion sizes every position step 6: you go to sleep starting capital: $313 time: 30 days code written: zero this is not a flex. this is a new job description.
Pulsar@Pulsarwv

x.com/i/article/2040…

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Spivach
Spivach@0xSpivach·
This guy made $19k in 7 days on Polymarket with LP rewards - without predicting a single outcome. You don't need to pick sides or know the right direction, just be in the right place at the right time. He chose the perfect timing - NCAA March Madness. The biggest reward pools, high volatility, literally ideal conditions for printing. > traders just bet on outcomes when LPs sit inside the order book and collect rewards all you had was to: - find high-reward sports markets - place orders within 1¢ of the spread - cancel + replace a few times daily to stay eligible Sometimes you get filled, and it's completely normal. When that happens - exit immediately. He lost about $3.5k on fills, but still walked away with $19k in profit. Would you take 20% on your bankroll in a week just by providing liquidity?
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Punisher@0x_Punisher

x.com/i/article/2041…

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shmidt@shmidtqq·
I just discovered one of the most effective quantitative strategies on Polymarket that has an impressive 74.8% win rate. rumor has it this wallet belongs to an anonymous 21 y.o. chinese quant from Tsinghua University. he supposedly fed his entire mathematical model into a custom claude ai agent, turning it into an unstoppable, fully autonomous trading bot. whoever wrote the prompt, this algorithmic whale has generated $727,450 in net profit. the claude agent exploits specific mathematical inefficiencies in the order book at superhuman speed to secure a continuous statistical edge. The math behind the machine: 1. Probabilistic Arbitrage (Brier Score). instead of emotional trading, the claude bot tracks the difference between the crowd's implied odds and its massive historical data sets. • Formula: BS = 1/N ∑ (f_t - o_t)² by minimizing its predictive error, the ai knows exactly when the market is mispricing an outcome by more than 10%. /// 2. Bayesian Event Updating. this custom claude agent uses Bayes' theory to rationally recalibrate the true sequence of events without bias. • Formula: P(A|B) = [P(B|A) * P(A)] / P(B) every time a new data point drops on X, claude recalculates the odds in milliseconds to snipe the mismatch before the market adjusts. /// 3. Fractional Kelly Criterion. instead of betting the house, the ai scales positions mathematically to avoid bankroll ruin. • Formula: f* = C × [(p × b - q) / b] the system dynamically sizes into trades based strictly on the edge and payout ratio, locking in steady compounding. Track the quant's next trades: @0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988-1772205225932?r=all#Infpdvi" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb… Start copy trading this exact claude setup with @Predictr_Trade: t.me/predictr_trade…
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Gipp 🦅@gippp69

x.com/i/article/2041…

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EMOTION CRYPTO
EMOTION CRYPTO@Emotion_web3·
Found a few interesting ways to make profit without touching futures. On Polymarket, you can trade simple price targets for BTC, ETH, and more. Here is how I see it right now: BTC Current price: $68.5K Polymarket gives these April targets: > $65K and below > $75K > $80K and above Based on the trend, global situation, and liquidation map, I think BTC can still sweep liquidity: around 73K and around 63K My view is simple: > $65K YES > $80K NO I am very confident 65K hits before the end of April. $75K feels too uncertain, so I just skip it. $80K looks very unlikely to me. Market: polymarket.com/event/what-pri… If you'd like reviews on other coins, let me know.
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shmidt@shmidtqq·
@Emotion_web3 smart to skip the 75k bet, that's the messiest zone
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Oracle Boar
Oracle Boar@bored2boar·
Polymarket is giving away $5M+ in LP rewards this month. I ran the numbers. It came out to 672% APR. Yet, most people have no idea how to profit from it. The ones who do are parking stables and printing PASSIVELY. Here's exactly how to farm it: First - find the right markets. Look for sports markets that haven't started yet and offer $500-$1,000+ in rewards. That's where the yield is actually worth your time. Second - timing is everything. Activity spikes right before a match starts. That's your window. I remove all my limit orders 30 minutes before tip-off. Farming during a live match sounds smart because rewards look huge. But fills are unpredictable and risk goes up fast. Not worth it. Third - don't place limit orders too close to the top of the book. Safer farming means staying back a little. You give up some yield but you sleep better. Fourth - find large walls and hide behind them. Still stay within the farming range, but let the big orders absorb the pressure first. Fifth - watch activity and holder count to adjust your risk live. If something looks off before the match, pull out early. With $5k you can make around $10 in just over an hour at current rates. Doesn't sound crazy until you annualize it. 644% APR on stables you were going to hold anyway. And some smart money thinks LP rewards could be one of the criteria for a $POLY airdrop on top of that. So you're farming yield now and potentially stacking airdrop points at the same time. Two reasons to be on the book. Zero reasons to sit on the sidelines. Leaving the best guide on how to farm it right attached below.
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Punisher@0x_Punisher

x.com/i/article/2041…

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EMOTION CRYPTO
EMOTION CRYPTO@Emotion_web3·
@KyleDeWriter The referral program brings in excellent money, it would be nice if the links worked without errors
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Kyle the Writer
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter·
$492,000 in annual income if daily referral trade volume exceeds $500k Or $370 in referral vol. equals $1 in revenue Calculated by: > Median 0.9% taker fee > 30% direct referral fee share The figures can be much higher including 10% indirect referrals taker fee Predicting on Polymarket pays off, as well as content creation
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Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter

Polymarket USD confirmed: Pivot from USDC.e to $PUSD With a sauce of brand new trading engine and upgraded smart contracts Faster trades execution allowing trading bots to operate faster and providing better experience for manual traders We are so backkk!

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Paruchh
Paruchh@theparuchh·
UPDATE: He doubled down The "halamadridynadam..." wallet just added another $47000 Total position now: $96,664 Potential PAYOUT: $264,833 This man is betting almost $100K on Real Madrid to beat Bayern TONIGHT Either insider or insane Kickoff in a few hours
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Paruchh@theparuchh

A wallet created TODAY just DROPPED $49000 on Real Madrid to beat Bayern PAYOUT: 134,503$ "halamadridynadam..." - you can't make this up Someone knows something or someone is about to lose a house Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Tonight, 22:00 The market is heating up

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Leisen
Leisen@LeisenCrypto·
THIS INSIDER TOOK $1.23 MILLION ON POLYMARKET AND IS STILL DESTROYING THE MARKET Want to copy strong traders like this automatically? Copy top traders on Coinpilot and get 10% off fees! → refer.coinpilot.com/5a3128 > All-time profit: $1,238,417.90 > Biggest win: $349.8K > Predictions: 108 > Current positions value: $0.79 This guy doesn’t scalp 5-minute markets. He plays the real game. His style is structural and cognitive: - Hunts major inefficiencies in NBA & NCAA basketball - Bets on long-term events (MVP, season outcomes, elections, geopolitics) - Often uses correlated bets on the same event (moneyline + spread + totals) - Goes big only when he sees a clear probability edge Typical formulas used by traders at this level: Edge = (My_Probability - Market_Implied_Probability) Correlated Bet Sizing = Allocate across related outcomes to reduce variance Kelly Fraction ≈ (Edge × Bankroll) / Odds While most people chase quick 5-minute scalps - he quietly takes massive wins on markets that require real analysis and patience. This is next-level shit. Who’s already copying this insider? Drop your PnL in the comments
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Spivach
Spivach@0xSpivach·
THIS GUY BUILT A FULL POLYMARKET COPY TRADING BOT USING ONLY CLAUDE CODE PROMPTS He didn't write a single line of code, just described what he wanted. let's take a look at how it works: >> finds top 10 traders by weekly P&L >> copies their trades automatically for $5 each >> sells proportionally when they sell >> auto-redeems winning positions >> live dashboard with start/stop results after 3-4 hrs: 8 trades, 37% win rate: $99 → $110 So even with such a low win rate, you can still succeed just by understanding the basic principles of how AI works. And the best part is that it takes only 30 minutes to set up the entire system. Have you tried it yet?
Sharbel@sharbel

Full Polymarket Bot Build | Claude Code Tutorial: 0:00 - Intro 0:53 - Setup 1:49 - Bullpen CLI 5:01 - Pull top traders 8:40 - Set rules 15:15 - Build a dashboard 17:38 - Claude hack 20:39 - Bot LIVE 23:00 - 2 extra commands 24:00 - 3 hour results: 13% profit 25:13 - Honest take

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