Seth

273 posts

Seth

Seth

@Gecko4Seth

เข้าร่วม Kasım 2013
197 กำลังติดตาม2 ผู้ติดตาม
vittorio
vittorio@IterIntellectus·
what’s the female equivalent of a man playing video games?
English
4.9K
110
10.4K
4.1M
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
My AI trading agent scored 74/100 (Grade B) on the Trading SMART Benchmark by @ManicTrade 🏆 #89 / 133 📊 Data 12 | Intelligence 13 | Analysis 16 | Decision 18 | Risk 15 💰 Top 100 share a $2,000 prize pool How smart is your agent? Test it now 👇 benchmark.manic.trade
English
0
0
0
19
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@RetroChainer Yep, total bullshit, thanks for trying.
English
0
0
0
188
RetroChainer
RetroChainer@RetroChainer·
I told Claude to predict the next BTC candle using Kronos. didn't touch anything. +$4,200 overnight. Kronos isn't another LLM wrapper. it's a GPT-style model trained on 12 billion candles from 45 exchanges. Binance, NYSE, NASDAQ, LSE. it reads OHLC the way GPT reads English. > words = candle patterns > sentences = OHLC sequences > the corpus = every trade ever printed > the edge is simple: P(next | history) = softmax(W · h_t) same math GPT uses to predict the next word, except the "word" is the next candle. no twitter sentiment. no blog scraping. no hallucinated confidence. just statistics over 12B real price moves. I plugged Kronos into a 5-min BTC Polymarket bot. input: last 50 candles output: probability next candle closes up trades only when |p_model - p_market| > 0.04 72 hours: $300 → $4,500 ChatGPT looks at a chart and pattern-matches against an article it read. Kronos looks at the chart and remembers 12 billion of them. 87% of Polymarket is exit liquidity. one of these models is actually trading the market. github.com/shiyu-coder/Kr… 21.8k stars, free, MIT license. Tsinghua University release.
English
35
80
748
91.9K
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@adiix_official Because this is your wet fantasy and doesn't work in real life.
English
0
0
1
622
AdiiX
AdiiX@adiix_official·
You could literally: > Open a Polymarket account > Deposit $4 > Point Claude Opus 4.7 > Let it find YES + NO < $1 > Sleep while it arbitrages sportsbooks > Wake up richer every morning Why aren’t people doing this?!
AdiiX@adiix_official

this Chinese trader started with just $4… and reportedly grew it to $780,000 using AI on Polymarket. this trader on Polymarket with a bot on Claude Opus 4.7 arbitrages sports markets and has already earned $780,000 His profile 0xD9E0: @0xd9e0aaca471f48f91a26e8669a805f2?r=ecosystem" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xd9e0aaca471… How it’s work: > Fully automated system with no manual intervention. > Analyzes sports prediction markets (especially NBA on Polymarket). > Compares Polymarket prices with traditional sportsbook odds. > Converts odds into implied probabilities and detects mispricings. > Uses arbitrage by buying YES and NO when combined price is under $1. > Generates small but near-risk-free profits (around 1–2%) at high trading volume. AI bots are quietly turning prediction markets into a kind of “money printer.” They find tiny pricing mistakes and exploit them with low-risk, fast arbitrage trades. Each profit is small, but when scaled and repeated at high volume, those small edges can grow into large, even six-figure gains over time. copy him with me using the best tool: t.me/AresProTrading…

English
108
143
2.9K
1.5M
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@LunarResearcher If there are real people in these comments -- don't believe this bullshit. Another kreo.app ad.
English
1
0
2
694
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
Seth tweet media
ZXX
0
0
0
12
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
My sleep cycles now depend on Anthropic's session limits for Claude.
English
0
0
0
31
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
Is this AGI already?
Seth tweet media
English
0
0
0
28
zostaff
zostaff@zostaff·
bro i used information from open sourcesjust like everyone who writes articles i wrote the code and tested it and then shared it online i didn’t take or steal anyone's repository and if you think someone revealed something super unique i've got bad news for you, even this guy is talking about a system that was created long before him
English
1
0
3
696
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@zostaff @MoonDevOnYT It means it's not yours, that's all. You basically ran LLM transcript over the video and posted it as your work, which is misleading.
English
1
0
0
655
zostaff
zostaff@zostaff·
@Gecko4Seth @MoonDevOnYT yeah i've seen that videoit’s very informative, i liked it but how does that make my article worse or does it mean it's wrong
English
1
0
2
780
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@Zhitnipalzhi Осталось ~150к человек положить и всё как по канону.
Русский
0
0
0
371
русский императив
21-й день гениальной трехчасовой спецоперации великих американских стратегов - Сняты санкции с российской и иранской нефти - Суда платят Ирану 2 млн$ за проход через Ормуз - Фондовый рынок просел на 1 трлн$ - Американские базы в регионе под атаками - Хаменеи заменили на Хаменеи
Русский
30
88
954
87.4K
seattle socialite
seattle socialite@chasing_yields·
@antpalkin Current stats after 96 hours of autonomous chilling: $187 → $4,912 4,881 fills win rate 92.4% (because losing trades literally cannot close under the parameter set) avg edge per trade: 0.00073 ETH worth of mispricing dust full zero-latency manifesto dropped here:
English
1
0
0
70
cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin·
> see how every random dude printing $100k on Polymarket with trading bots > you decide it’s your turn to build one > think you gotta quit your job, hire a squad, pay salaries and go full-time slave mode > you don’t need any of that stuff anymore > all you need is to learn how to properly direct AI tools like a boss > GPT-5-nano for research and strategy backtesting > Qwen 2.5 within Mirofish for multi-scenario market simulations > Codex + Opus 4.6 to create an MVP solution based on the work of the previous tools > boom - you just replaced a whole 5-10 person team of degreed engineers
slash1s@slash1sol

I JUST FOUND ONE OF THE MOST MIND-BENDING SOLO DEV STORIES IN THE QUANT SPACE RIGHT NOW. One dev built a fully autonomous trading bot for Polymarket optimized for micro bankrolls ($100-$500) using GPT-5-nano inside AutoResearchClaw, Qwen 2.5 inside MiroFish, and Opus 4.6 + Codex pipelines inside Antigravity. The craziest detail: the final bot runs with zero AI under the hood. It’s pure mathematics. No models, no prompts - just hard-coded logic engineered to sit in the order book 24/7 and harvest tiny spreads and inefficiencies created by other traders. He calls the architecture PICO - a solo-operator framework for small-budget prediction market trading. Here’s how he actually built it: -> Research stage: fed the basic idea into open-source AutoResearchClaw with GPT-5-nano. It produced a full academic-grade paper from scratch, complete with risk management, slippage modeling, backtesting realities, and protection against emotional trading. -> Validation: ran massive multi-agent simulations in MiroFish with Qwen 2.5. Market makers, informed whales, momentum players, noise traders and the bot itself interacted in realistic Polymarket conditions. The system proved consistent small profits under brutal real-world stress. -> Implementation: fed the finished paper plus simulation results to heavy Codex + Opus 4.6 pipelines in Antigravity. They output clean, production-ready bot code. The bot doesn’t try to predict events. It’s a relentless harvester of dust on spreads and other participants’ mistakes. Full PICO paper: drive.google.com/file/d/1dRjNNT… AutoResearchClaw framework (the exact open-source tool used for the research stage): x.com/slash1sol/stat… I’m honestly starting to feel myself dissolve watching this new reality. With nothing but a laptop and internet, the barrier to building sophisticated, validated quant systems has basically collapsed. Save this if you’re into AI-augmented building - the entire pipeline is pure template material.

English
21
10
256
30.3K
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@zostaff How do you calculate EDGE? What is it?
English
1
0
1
1.5K
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@TerribleMaps Montenegro is also a red country, so you can fill up this big white gap next to Croatia. Sorry for photo quality.
Seth tweet media
English
0
0
5
1.7K
Terrible Maps
Terrible Maps@TerribleMaps·
The Great European Road Distance Ordering Divide
Terrible Maps tweet media
English
143
198
5.7K
1.3M
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@BasilTheGreat I need a BannerLord mod based on this 🤔
English
0
0
0
128
Basil the Great
Basil the Great@BasilTheGreat·
This Amelia vid goes hard 🔥🇬🇧 It must suck to not be a patriot because you can't enjoy things like this
English
425
2.5K
12.9K
251.1K
Mishi Vibes 🇺🇲
Mishi Vibes 🇺🇲@Mishi_2210_·
Answer is not "300" Tell me the answer and win $1000
Mishi Vibes 🇺🇲 tweet media
English
52.3K
593
20.8K
9.3M
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@dhh The X11 version breaks clipboard and Wayland version hangs on startup all the time 😭
English
0
0
0
40
Seth
Seth@Gecko4Seth·
@dhh My brother in Christ, we need a good version of Slack that works in Omarchy, pretty please!
English
2
0
1
335
DHH
DHH@dhh·
The beauty of opinionated open source software, like Rails or Omarchy, is that the initial experience can be carefully designed AND still offer the user infinite freedom to tailor it thereafter. It's your framework, it's your OS, it's your computer.
TheStandupPod@thestanduppod

DHH knows best

English
26
20
603
49.3K