Just Curious / @belikewater

We've seen the Shingles vaccine is linked with reduced risk of Alzheimer's and dementias in 4 large natural experiments. Today, the potential of high-dose flu vaccines vs standard dose for the same in a large retrospective age 65+ cohort [N>160,000). More pronounced in women (like Shingles vaccine) neurology.org/doi/pdf/10.121…

#Artemis launch as seen on GOES-East GeoColor Satellite

BREAKING: NASA is troubleshooting an issue that could delay the Artemis II launch. cbsn.ws/414KbgD

Unusual but “probably” is probably too strong

This is big news - I worked at NERC for years and we never issued one in my nearly 3 years there. This is an incredibly important warning that everyone should pay attention to, and act accordingly (I’m talking to you, policymakers!).

Curveball: If the UAE is invoking Article 7 of the UN Charter, are they transmitting a hint of a Joint UAE-US amphibious Campaign to seize Abu Musa/Greater & Lesser Tunb Islands and "clean/open" the SOH? Trump's speech could be both TACO, AND a short-term mini-campaign with a drop dead date. Hegseth desperately wants to use those Marines & SOF for SOMETHING.

Not a great sign... Trump suggested they aren't going after Iran's underground uranium. But, excavators and supplies being moved into naval yards.

We are pleased to announce that Pentagon Pizza Watch has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Palantir. Through this transaction, our alternative-data methodology for near-real-time commercial activity monitoring will be integrated into broader decision-support workflows, expanding coverage, improving temporal resolution, and strengthening context for open-source geopolitical analysis. We are grateful to our community and partners who helped validate this signal over the past year. Additional integration details will be shared in due course.

Its coming, better be ready. Therapists in northern California just walked off the job, saying cheaper AI-driven systems are starting to replace trained mental health workers at the front door of care. The dispute is not only about layoffs, because therapists say Kaiser (the company they work for) is shifting early screening work away from licensed clinicians and toward scripted operators, apps, and e-visits. Workers also say AI is being used to speed up charting so management can pack in more appointments, which turns mental health care into a volume business where clinicians get less time, patients get less attention, and mistakes become easier. --- futurism .com/health-medicine/mental-health-workers-ai-strike

European airports have urged airlines to prepare contingency plans for a potential complete lack of aviation fuel in the coming weeks. Thousands of flights have already been canceled across the continent amid the escalating crisis. Lufthansa is reportedly considering suspending operations of around 20 aircraft, partly linked to the ongoing war in Iran, which has disrupted flight routes and driven up costs. According to aviation analytics firm Cirium, more than one in every twenty scheduled flights was canceled on Monday. Jet fuel prices have more than doubled in the past year. A year ago, the cost stood at $742 per tonne, it has now surged above $1,710 per tonne. Meanwhile, as Ive posted, The UK is expected to receive its final shipment of aviation fuel from the Middle East this week, with no further deliveries confirmed in the immediate pipeline. Aviation industry analyst Alex Macheras (@AlexInAir) has warned that a serious jet fuel shortage could hit all major European airports within a week. He noted that airports are already informing airlines to prepare for scenarios where “no fuel is available.” London’s Heathrow Airport is expected to be among the hardest hit major hubs in Europe due to fuel supply constraints. The situation is worsened by the UK’s closure last year of an aviation fuel production plant in Scotland.

Heatmap of C-17 flights supporting the movement of special operations forces and assets over the last 18 days. Many thanks to @SR_Planespotter, @TieDyeIntel @ianellisjones and @ameliairheart for the help!

Kharg and seizing nuclear material, apparently

Breaking news: The U.S. military gave the president a plan to seize nearly 1,000 pounds of highly enriched uranium in Iran. The mission would require the airlift of potentially hundreds or thousands of troops and could take weeks. wapo.st/3PWVRzs

exactly

@ColinPClarke I think we're still living inside this dynamic. x.com/gbrew24/status…

Is it possible that tonight Trump announces the U.S. role in the war is over AND the U.S. is also sending in ground troops? Because, after all, it's Trump, so he's likely to make several contradictory and flat out false statements during this address.

@MalcolmNance I don't think he's going to taco. I give it an ~80% chance we see >1k US boots on the ground somewhere in Iran within the next couple months. I'd say it's 50-50 that he announces anything about troops tonight, though.

On Trump's Speech: I don't think Trump will announce an attack on Kharg or the Gulf Islands at 9 pm ET. Bc it would be 0500 AM in the PG. Our ops never start that late. The latest he could announce an offensive op underway is 6-7 pm He is going to declare all "Military Objectives" met and TACO.

NEW IN PIZZINTWATCH: GENTLEMEN'S DISPATCH 👠🪖 This week an adult dancer described waves of young service-members coming into her club, spending all their money, and admitting "we deploy next week." That pattern — troops blowing off steam before they ship out — is as old as the military itself. Now it's measurable. We're monitoring real-time foot traffic at venues near Fort Liberty, Fort Moore, JBSA, & Fort Bliss. Spike detection, hourly activity charts, open/closed status. Same engine as PizzINT.

In case you missed… Every Army Base and Army National Guard Base in America was training and testing on Black Hawk and Apaches today. Every one. Normal when you’re definitely not invading a country.

BREAKING: President Trump requested a plan to seize nearly 1,000 lbs of highly enriched uranium from Iran. The U.S. military briefed him on a complex operation involving airlifting excavation equipment, building a runway inside Iran for cargo planes to extract the material, and potentially deploying hundreds of troops. - WaPo