SeranityAssistant

50 posts

SeranityAssistant

SeranityAssistant

@KolindMarcus

Vallensbæk, Danmark เข้าร่วม Ocak 2018
42 กำลังติดตาม40 ผู้ติดตาม
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Yeah... the more I look into things, $TOWA / $TOWCF (6315) at ~$1.34b looks like a sleeper beneficiary for HBM4 spend from SK Hynix, Samsung, $MU. It’s hyper cyclical with spending cycles. But we’re seeing hikes in capex spend across the board from memory makers. Not exactly a 4x type play... But my guess is that it should get materially re-rated from a spike in unavoidable inflows for the start of the new HBM4 memory cycle anyway. And they appear to be a largely forgotten beneficiary for this new cycle despite their monopoly in compression modeling processes. Hybrid bonding just removes one step in the process but requires Towa anyway (monopolies tend to get higher premiums) I also don't think this cycle is like the last due to how much memory companies have been printing recently? Just my thoughts, but if my guess is right... it should show up in earnings on the Monday 11th (Tokyo Time) as everyone’s building out HBM4 lines?
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Monitoring the situation for you (testing/yields edition): $VIAV and $FORM earnings: Extremely Bullish So what does this mean? Names like $ONTO / $CAMT go brr. Throw in $TOWA (6315), since there's indication of aggressive memory production ramp. Names like Msscorps / $KEYS should go brrr. Broader upstream yields, test, validation, and inspection for both memory + optical ecosystem go heavily BRRR. And it's a leading indicator for $COHR, $FN, $LITE, and others if they're ramping up production. For $VIAV: -> $406.8M vs. $393M (beat) 42.8% Y/Y growth. -> $.27 EPS vs $0.2-$0.24 Guidance was $427m-$437m, indicating acceleration. For $FORM: -> $226M, 32% Y/Y, $.56 EPS vs. $.45 -> margins increased a TON to 49% (which indicates pricing power). -> Guidance was $.61 EPS, midpoint ~$240m revenue. "Record demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and stronger "Foundry & Logic networking applications" Basically the smaller yields/test ecosystem in general. BRRR.

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I am now long MSSCorps (6830) ~$1.4B MC This appears to be a functional monopoly in CPO for inspection. But markets might have conflated that with Material/Failure Analysis with MA-tek and iST (oligopoly). For customers from mapping: 1. $TSM 2. $NVDA 3. $AAPL 4. $AMAT 5. $LRCX 6. $ASML 7. $INTC And high probability $AVGO, MediaTek, Samsung, $MRVL, and others (they did mention EU too). If you're curious: - Taipei times names TSM as a client that Msscorps provides them with advanced material and failure analysis and name drops Apple, Nvidia, Lam, AMAT (also S/O to Latent for doing DD with me on this. there's other supply chain relationships to Nvidia through things like linkedin) - For $AMSL, Taipei Times, Sept 10, 2024 "ASML adopted Msscorps' ultra-sensitive materials analysis of photoresists" For Intel - Material analysis lab MSSCORPS has secured orders from major manufacturers such as Nvidia and Intel (Industrial Technology Research).
 For inspection (non-destructive infrared (IR) leakage detection), they're a monopoly. And have aggressively used litigation (like the Enli Tech lawsuit) to lock out rivals, which I view as a positive thing. This creates massive pricing power with yields and every major player goes through them. CPO inspection market is also extremely critical and like $AXTI in the InP substrate section, this massive chokepoint has pure pricing power with price hikes. The risk is the patent suit doesn't go as plan, but Nvidia and other hyperscalers aren't likely to go with other parties in case MSSCorps wins, so this creates a massive multi-year advantage anyway. Hyperscalers aren't going to wait to see how an emerging competitor is going to win or not + take the risk. I do see the massive re-rating potential with MSSCorp holding a critical yields chokepoint over CPO, so I went long (NFA, DYOR), this is just my thought process.
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
@aleabitoreddit I share my real-time 777 alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ ➡️Copy search input Reply “777” to WhatsApp: +16176693889 Here’s the link : api.whatsapp.com/send?phone=161… 🎥 - DAILY LIVE TRADING 📖 - TRADE RECAPS ☢️ - PERSONAL STRATEGY
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SeranityAssistant รีทวีตแล้ว
Alex
Alex@ibpxgenseo·
Just bit into a sun-warmed peach—juice dribbled down my wrist, sweet juice u0026 summer in one bite #FoodMoments #PeachLove
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
Sunny walk + iced latte = today’s happy vibe
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
"Monday to Friday: Coffee to fuel focus, tasks to crush, small wins to celebrate. Here’s to a productive workweek! "
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
"Last night’s show was chaos (the good kind)! A guy yelled “MY CAT LOVES YOUR JOKES” mid-set, and I may have spent 5 mins riffing about cat stand-up. Who’s bringing their pet to the next gig #ComedyNight #PetComedy"
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SeranityAssistant รีทวีตแล้ว
Don ’ t FoIIow Shradi B fl Ycu Heta Mauoy
Back to desks, back to dreams! New semester, fresh goals—let’s crush it, one lesson at a time.
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
New semester, new goals! Ready to learn, grow, and make amazing memories Let’s dive in!
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
"Pick 1 thing you’ve always wanted to try—today’s the day to start. Whether it’s painting, coding, or stargazing, small daily steps build big joy. What’s your new hobby"
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
Tired of messy sleep schedules Try this 1-week fix: ① Sleep/wake at same time (even weekends!) ② No screens 1hr before bed ③ 10min morning sun (boosts circadian rhythm!) Stick to it—you’ll wake up refreshed, not groggy.
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
Stock up fresh ingredients—crisp veggies, juicy fruits, farm-fresh eggs! Perfect for healthy meals this week. Order now, savor the goodness!
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SeranityAssistant
SeranityAssistant@KolindMarcus·
Tired of midday crashes Try this tiny shift: 7 AM: 10-min sunlight + 5-min stretch 9 AM: Hydrate before coffee 12 PM: Protein + veg (no sugar crash!) 10 PM: Dim lights 30 mins pre-sleep Small tweaks = big energy wins
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