Krishna Thakur

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Krishna Thakur

Krishna Thakur

@KrishAlpha7

🫡 Soldier 🇮🇳 Mindset |📉Swing & Long-term Investor | 20-40-40 (Gold, Momentum, Midcap) | Psychology & System over Prediction | Avoid FNO |Not SEBI Registered

BHARAT เข้าร่วม Ağustos 2023
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Krishna Thakur
Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
90% traders lose because they chase predictions. 10% win because they follow systems. If you want to build wealth with discipline, not dopamine— You’re in the right place.
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Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸
Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸@jacksonhinklle·
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇶 BREAKING: ENTIRE NATO MISSION HAS WITHDRAWN FROM IRAQ.
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equity_player
equity_player@zalajaysinh·
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Akash Chaudhary
Akash Chaudhary@Akash17971·
Bharat Connect Conference – Rising Stars | Part 5 Key Management Insights from: 1. DEE Development Engineers 2. Genus Power Infrastructure 3. Jupiter Wagons 4. Polycab India Key insights from management commentary covering growth strategy, expansion roadmap, market positioning, and upcoming growth triggers 👇 1⃣ DEE Development Engineers ⚙️ DEE Development Engineers operates in process piping solutions, catering to power, oil & gas, and industrial sectors. Growth Outlook & Financial Guidance FY26 expected revenue: ₹1,200–1,300 Cr FY27 target: ₹1,500 Cr Long-term target: ₹2,500 Cr by FY30 → Implies 18–20% CAGR growth Margins EBITDA margin guidance: 18–20% Expected improvement: ▪️ ~18% in FY26 → 19–20% thereafter Gross margins target: 35–40% Operational Strategy Power sector: ▪️ Low volume, high weight → higher margins Oil & gas: ▪️ High volume, low weight New Anjar facility: ▪️ Capex: ₹90 Cr ▪️ Backward integration + proximity to Mundra port ▪️ 40–50% captive production → margin boost (~10%) Order Book & Visibility Order book: ₹1,900 Cr Additional pipeline: ₹2,000 Cr Order inflow: ▪️ ~40% growth rate ▪️ Driven by private sector focus Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation Total debt: ₹664 Cr Planned reduction: ▪️ ₹45 Cr repayment in FY27 ▪️ Target: ₹200 Cr by FY28–30 Maintenance capex: ₹10–15 Cr annually Working Capital Strategy: ▪️ Procure 80–85% raw material upfront ▪️ Imports ~50% sourcing Expected: ➤ ~60-day reduction in working capital cycle Growth Drivers Nuclear sector opening (long-term opportunity) Data center demand: ▪️ 800–900 tons piping for a 25MW facility International demand: ▪️ Strong traction in Europe & USA Key Clues ◾️ ₹1,900 Cr order book + ₹2,000 Cr pipeline → strong multi-year visibility ◾️ ₹90 Cr backward integration → margin expansion + efficiency gain ◾️ Data center + nuclear exposure → next growth cycle triggers 2⃣ Genus Power Infrastructure ⚡ Genus Power is transforming into a “meter-as-a-service” smart metering player, with strong visibility from the RDSS scheme. Order Book & Revenue Visibility Order book: ₹27,217 Cr Model shift: ▪️ EPC revenue (50–55%) ▪️ Recurring O&M revenue over 7–8 years Revenue Guidance FY26 target: ₹4,500 Cr FY27 target: ₹5,500–6,000 Cr Installation & Capacity Installed: ~80 lakh meters in FY26 FY27 target: 1+ crore meters installation Global installed base: 2.5 crore meters OGL (Operational Go Live) Achieved for: ▪️ 2.87 crore meters Remaining expected by March end OGL timeline: ▪️ 13–15 months (due to software integration complexity) Margins O&M segment EBITDA: >20% Blended margins expected to improve as recurring share increases RDSS Opportunity Target: 25 crore smart meters (extended to 2028) Installed so far: ~6 crore meters Industry pace: 30–35 lakh/month Tender pipeline: ▪️ ~5.5 crore meters Technology Strength In-house R&D: ~500 people Proprietary stack: ▪️ Head End System (HES) ▪️ Meter Data Management (MDM) Working Capital Receivables: ₹12,000 Cr invoices raised ₹8,000 Cr already received ₹2,000 Cr expected clearance soon Working capital expected to normalize post billing ramp-up Key Clues ◾️ ₹27,000+ Cr order book → massive long-term revenue visibility ◾️ Shift to O&M model → recurring + high-margin earnings ◾️ RDSS scale (25 crore meters) → multi-year structural opportunity 3⃣ Jupiter Wagons 🚂 Jupiter Wagons is a diversified rail-focused company expanding into wagons, passenger systems, BESS, and containers. Wagon Market & Demand Total demand: 40,000–42,000 wagons ▪️ Indian Railways: 30,000–32,000 ▪️ Private sector: 10,000–11,000 Pricing Standard wagons: ▪️ ₹35–36 lakh/unit Specialized wagons: ▪️ ₹43–44 lakh/unit Odisha Greenfield Capex Capex: ₹250 Cr Capacity: ▪️ 1 lakh wheel sets annually Revenue potential: ~₹250 Cr annually EBITDA margins: 20–22% Financial Structure Debt: ▪️ Effectively debt-free (only working capital loans) Funding: ▪️ ₹16.25 Cr term loan (14-year tenure) ▪️ Only ₹1.25 Cr disbursed so far BESS & Electric Mobility Target revenue (JEM subsidiary): ▪️ ₹2,000 Cr by FY27 Focus: ▪️ Commercial EV ▪️ Battery storage solutions Container Manufacturing Production: ▪️ 1,200 units in initial months Strategic shift: ▪️ Toward value-added containers (data center, BESS use) PLI scheme: ▪️ ₹100 Cr expected support Growth Drivers Government infra push + Dedicated Freight Corridor Wagon replacement cycle (20–25 year lifecycle) Export opportunities Key Clues ◾️ ₹250 Cr capex + 20–22% margins → high-return expansion ◾️ Entry into BESS + EV → diversification beyond rail ◾️ Wagon replacement cycle → sustained demand visibility 4⃣ Polycab India 🔌 Polycab is a leading player in cables, wires, EPC, and FMEG, benefiting from infrastructure and data center demand. Revenue Mix Cables: 70% Wires: 30% Metal mix: ▪️ Copper: 45% ▪️ Aluminium: 55% Margins Overall margin guidance: 12–14% FMEG segment: ▪️ 8–10% margin by FY30 Capex Total planned: ₹6,000–8,000 Cr Key investment: ▪️ ₹8,000 Cr for Extra High Voltage (EHV) facility ▪️ Capacity: up to 500 kV cables ▪️ Operational by FY26 EPC Order Book BharatNet: ▪️ ₹8,000 Cr order book ▪️ ₹4,500 Cr execution (2–3 years) ▪️ ₹3,500 Cr O&M (10 years) RDSS: ▪️ ₹3,250 Cr order book Market Opportunity Wires & cables market: ▪️ ₹90,000 Cr (FY25) ▪️ Expected: ₹1.6 lakh Cr in 5 years ▪️ Growth: ~9% CAGR Data center opportunity: ▪️ ₹25,000–30,000 Cr market potential Exports Current: 6% of topline Target: 10% by FY30 Cost Structure Raw materials: ▪️ ~70% of cost (copper + aluminium) Inventory cycle: ▪️ 45–50 days Pricing: ▪️ Monthly revision (cables) ▪️ Bi-monthly (wires) Key Clues ◾️ ₹6,000–8,000 Cr capex + EHV entry → move up value chain ◾️ ₹11,000+ Cr EPC order book → strong execution visibility ◾️ Data center demand + exports → next growth triggers Source: Bharat Connect Conference – Rising Stars | Arihant Capital Markets Ltd Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only.
Akash Chaudhary tweet mediaAkash Chaudhary tweet mediaAkash Chaudhary tweet mediaAkash Chaudhary tweet media
Akash Chaudhary@Akash17971

Bharat Connect Conference – Rising Stars | Part 4 Key Management Insights from: 1. Bondada Engineering 2. KPI Green Energy 3. Interarch Building Solutions 4. Parag Milk Foods Key strategic takeaways from management commentary, highlighting growth strategy, expansion plans, positioning, and future triggers 👇 1⃣ Bondada Engineering ⚙️ Bondada Engineering operates across telecom infra, solar EPC, railway infra, and now BESS (Battery Energy Storage Systems), positioning itself as a diversified infra EPC player. Industry Positioning The company has transitioned from telecom EPC to a solar-dominated EPC player, aligning with India’s renewable capex cycle. Growth Strategy Solar EPC has become the core growth engine, with projects ranging from 50 MW to 800+ MW scale. The company is also expanding into BESS, railways, and telecom hybrid models, creating multiple revenue engines. Order Book & Visibility Current order book stands at ₹7,400–7,500 Cr, with potential upside to ~₹8,300 Cr if L1 orders are confirmed - giving strong multi-year revenue visibility. Revenue Mix Shift Solar EPC contributes ~78% of revenue, telecom infra ~10%, product manufacturing ~10%, railways ~2% — a complete shift from earlier telecom-heavy model. BESS Expansion & Capex Entered BESS with projects: ▪️ Tamil Nadu: 200 MW / 400 MWh ▪️ Andhra Pradesh: 225 MW / 450 MWh Capex per project: ~₹500 Cr Expected IRR: ▪️ Tamil Nadu: 14–15% ▪️ Andhra: 10–11% These projects provide annuity-style revenue over 12–13 years. New Growth Triggers 1. Exploring the conversion of ~5,000 telecom towers to solar 2. Entry into railway communication infra (towers + fiber) 3. Strong telecom O&M base: 60,000–65,000 km fiber network maintained Backward Integration Through Bondada Green Engineering, the company manufactures towers, modules, and structures - improving margins and execution speed. Key Clues ◾️ Shift from telecom → solar EPC (78%) = structural re-rating trigger ◾️ BESS projects (₹500 Cr each) indicate move toward long-term annuity cash flows ◾️ 5,000 tower solar conversion can unlock a large hidden order pipeline 2⃣ KPI Green Energy ☀️ KPI Green Energy is evolving beyond a solar IPP into a multi-segment clean energy platform, expanding into data centers, green hydrogen, BESS, and hybrid energy solutions. Industry Positioning The company is positioning itself not just as a solar player but as an integrated energy solutions provider, with exposure to: Solar (IPP + CPP) BESS Green Hydrogen Data center power solutions (high future demand segment) Order Book & Capacity Pipeline Total portfolio: 4.74 GW (as of 2025) ▪️ IPP: 2.17 GW ▪️ CPP: 2.57 GW Expanded portfolio: ~7.9 to 8 GW Long-term target: 10 GW before 2030 Operational capacity: 1.12 GW Under development: 3.61 GW IPP Scale-Up & Revenue Visibility IPP portfolio expected to reach 1.6 GW by early 2027 This ramp-up is expected to significantly improve cash flows from FY27–28 onwards Margins IPP business EBITDA margins: ~85% This is driven by: 1. High-margin IPP model 2. Combined IPP + CPP execution 3. Ability to command premium pricing BESS (Battery Energy Storage Systems) Project size: 445 MW / 890 MWh Project value: ₹900 Cr Viability Gap Funding (VGF): ₹160 Cr Revenue: ➤ ₹99 Cr annually (₹990 million) starting H2 FY27 IRR: ~10–11% (initial) → expected to improve with scale Khavda Execution & Land Bank Advantage Operational project: 240 MW (Khavda region) Additional execution: ~0.6 GW by March 2027 Strategic advantage: ▪️ Land bank: 7,000+ acres (Khavda) ▪️ Power evacuation capacity: 3.57 GW → Enables fast execution cycle (15–18 months) Green Hydrogen & New Energy Secured a 1 TPD (ton per day) green hydrogen project from NTPC Signed MOU with the Gujarat Government: ➤ ₹8,000 Cr (₹80 billion) Also developing: ▪️ 142 MW hybrid (solar + wind) project Global Expansion Signed $4 billion (~₹33,000 Cr) MOU for 5 GW capacity Target geographies: ▪️ Middle East ▪️ Africa ▪️ South Korea Technology & Operational Efficiency 1. Automated solar cleaning robots ▪️ Reduce water usage and manpower 2. Centralized NOC system (with IBM) ▪️ Real-time monitoring ▪️ Improves plant efficiency Growth Drivers 1. Data center demand (24/7 clean power requirement) 2. Entry into energy trading 3. Offshore wind pipeline under development Key Clues ◾️ Transition from solar → integrated energy platform (solar + BESS + hydrogen + data centers) ◾️ Khavda land bank + 3.57 GW evacuation = execution moat + faster scaling ◾️ ₹8,000 Cr hydrogen MOU + 8 GW pipeline = next leg of exponential growth setup 3⃣ Interarch Building Solutions 🏗️ Interarch operates in the Pre-Engineered Buildings (PEB) segment, driven by rising demand from industrial infrastructure, manufacturing, and steel-based construction. Industry Positioning Steel is increasingly preferred due to faster construction, flexibility, and structural strength Demand supported by: ▪️ PLI schemes ▪️ Manufacturing push toward 25% GDP contribution ▪️ New-age sectors: semiconductors, data centers, EV, lithium batteries Business Model & Execution 1. Fully integrated PEB player: ▪️ Design → Engineering → Manufacturing → Supply → Installation 2. Works on fixed pricing and defined delivery timelines 3. Capable of executing complex industrial structures like: ▪️ Microchip plants ▪️ Paint plants ▪️ Large process structures Order Book & Revenue Visibility 1. Order book: ₹1,650 Cr 2. Management revenue target: ~₹2,100 Cr (next year) 3. Execution momentum: 📌📌 ▪️ ₹500 Cr+ revenue achieved in December quarter ▪️ Similar execution expected in March Order intake aligned with execution capacity to maintain delivery commitments Operational Strength Workforce: ~2,000+ employees Pan-India execution, including Assam, Odisha, Kashmir, and South India Workforce mix: ▪️ ~50% direct ▪️ ~50% contract / job-work based Critical functions handled in-house for control Strategic Expansion Post 2004–08, strategy shifted to: ▪️ Diversification across industries ▪️ Larger project focus ▪️ Geographic expansion beyond key cities New initiatives: ▪️ Entry into heavy structures ▪️ Expansion into export markets Cost & Margin Dynamics (As Stated) 1. Steel prices follow a cyclical annual trend (increase Dec–Mar, soften later) 2. Management factors the steel price movement while bidding Key point: ➤ Margin impact from steel fluctuations balances out over the full year ➤ High-cost periods are offset by lower commodity phases 3. Profitability driven by cost control across: ▪️ Steel ▪️ Freight ▪️ Fuel ▪️ Labour ▪️ Consumables Key Clues ◾️ ₹1,650 Cr order book + strong execution run-rate → clear near-term revenue visibility ◾️ Exposure to semiconductor, EV, data center infra → aligned with next industrial capex cycle ◾️ Ability to execute complex projects → strong competitive positioning vs smaller EPC players 4⃣ Parag Milk Foods 🥛 Parag Milk Foods operates a diversified dairy + nutrition portfolio, with a clear shift toward value-added and premium products across both B2B and B2C segments. Business Model & Portfolio Portfolio mix: ▪️ Core dairy: ghee, cheese, paneer, liquid milk ▪️ B2B premium ingredients (clients like Mondelez, Abbott) ▪️ New-age nutrition (Avvatar – whey protein, sports nutrition) ~90% revenue comes from value-added products (non-liquid milk) Strategy focus: ➤ Integrated value chain: cheese → whey → Avvatar → premium ingredients ➤ Avoid disruption of this chain by isolating B2B Margin Profile & Profitability EBITDA margin improved: ▪️ ~5.7% → ~8.5% EBITDA (before ASP – ad & sales promotion): ▪️ ~4–4.5% of sales → ~12.5% Management direction: ➤ Targeting sustained improvement toward double-digit EBITDA Return Ratios ROCE: ~14% ROE: ~12.3% ➤ Consistent improvement post FY22 despite inflation cycles Growth Outlook & Financial Targets Medium-term revenue target: ₹10,000 Cr PAT guidance: ▪️ ₹50 Cr → ₹120 Cr (pre-exceptional) High-Growth Segment – Nutrition Avvatar business: ▪️ ~9% of total revenue ▪️ Crossed ₹100 Cr quarterly run-rate (~₹400 Cr annualized) Positioned as: ➤ Primary long-term growth + margin driver ➤ Supported by rising protein demand among younger consumers Distribution Expansion Depots expanded: ▪️ 12 → 29 (+ Dubai subsidiary) Outlet reach target: ▪️ 4 lakh → 10 lakh+ outlets Ongoing investments in: ▪️ Cold-chain infrastructure ▪️ Distribution scale Product Positioning Cheese: ▪️ #2 position ▪️ ~35% share in organized segment Ghee: ▪️ Strong premium positioning Milk (Pride of Cows): ▪️ Ultra-premium expansion into 8+ cities Cost Environment & Pricing Seasonal pattern: ▪️ Flush season: Oct–Feb ▪️ Lean/inflation phase: Mar–Jun Inflation outlook: ▪️ Expected for 3–6 months ▪️ Risks from fuel, logistics, agri inputs, plastics Pricing action: ▪️ Milk price increased ₹120 → ₹135/litre Key observation: ➤ No significant elasticity → premium pricing intact Margins: ➤ Gross margins held resilient ➤ No major deterioration expected near term Other Strategic Points Tax rate: ▪️ ~11% (due to carried-forward losses) ▪️ Expected to normalize toward 25% HoReCa exposure: ▪️ Cheese-driven ▪️ Impact linked to fuel/LPG costs Innovation: ▪️ Focus on whey-based nutrition products No immediate plans: ▪️ Ice cream ▪️ High-protein RTD variants Key Clues ◾️ 90% value-added mix + margin improvement → clear shift toward premium profitability model ◾️ Avvatar (~₹400 Cr run-rate) → emerging high-margin growth engine ◾️ ₹10,000 Cr target + distribution expansion → scale + brand-led growth phase ahead Source: Bharat Connect Conference – Rising Stars | Arihant Capital Markets Ltd Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only.

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Porinju Veliyath
Porinju Veliyath@porinju·
Jackfruit season!
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
🇨🇳# BREAKING🚨🚨🚨🚨 : Chinese researchers have discovered a new microbial herbicide that can control weeds without polluting the environment while also supporting crop growth, offering a potential alternative to conventional chemical herbicides.
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Krishna Thakur
Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
#BREAKING🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 OIL TANKER COMPANIES PAYING $2 MILLION A SHIP TO 🇮🇷 IRAN FOR SAFE PASSAGE THROUGH STRAIT OF HORMUZ 🇷🇺 RUSSIA EARNING ADDITIONAL $500 MILLION A DAY FROM OIL SPIKES DUE TO IRAN WAR MEANWHILE THE WAR IS COSTING US TAXPAYERS $2 BILLION A DAY 😭 IRAN WILL NOW…see more
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Krishna Thakur
Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
IF YOU ARE USING AIRTEL SIM THEN READ THIS ⬇️ FOR AIRTEL: KEEP YOUR NUMBER ACTIVE FOR A YEAR AT JUST ₹88! 🔥 AIRTEL PREPAID NUMBERS GET DEACTIVATED AFTER 90 DAYS OF NO USAGE (CALLS/SMS/DATA/VAS) IF MAIN BALANCE IS BELOW ₹20. SIMPLY RECHARGE THE CHEAPEST DATA PACK (₹22 FOR 1GB/1 DAY) EVERY ~90 DAYS. USE A SMALL AMOUNT OF DATA BRIEFLY → THIS RESETS THE VALIDITY TIMER. DO THIS 4 TIMES A YEAR = TOTAL COST ₹88. INCOMING CALLS & SMS (INCLUDING OTPs) WILL CONTINUE TO WORK. ⚠️ MAKE SURE YOU DON’T MISS THE 90-DAY WINDOW. IDEAL FOR SECONDARY OR BANKING SIMS.
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Trading With Logic
Trading With Logic@Tradewith_kd·
A Student once built a tool just to merge 2 PDFs. That side project → iLovePDF. In Oct 2025: 250 M visits No funding. No big marketing. Sometimes, the simplest ideas beat the giants. Now iLovePDF is a million-dollar company. How is it even making money? 🤯
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Ankit | FinAlpha
Ankit | FinAlpha@AnkitFinAlpha·
⚡Market breadth tells the real story behind the index. 🔹Top chart: % of stocks above/below their 200 DMA , broken down by how far below. 🔸Bottom chart: % of stocks in drawdown from their 52-week high. Three snapshots of damage : ☢️🔻COVID (Mar 2020): 88% of stocks were >20% below their 200 DMA. 88% were down >40% from their 52W high. Absolute carnage across the board. 🔻Mar 2025 correction: ~60% of stocks fell >20% below their 200 DMA. ~59% were >40% off their 52W highs. Not COVID, but the small & midcap damage was deep and silent. 🔻Today: 43% still >20% below their DMA. 42% still >40% off their 52W high. Lets see will we go below 2025 correction ? Built this in-house. ~2000 NSE stocks, daily data since 2018.
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
🚨🇮🇱🇭🇺#BREAKING🚨🚨🚨 : Human Rights Watch has urged Hungarian authorities to arrest Israeli PM Netanyahu ahead of his expected visit to Hungary today.
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
Donald Trump asked the world to join a multinational naval coalition to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. 🇮🇹 Italy: Rejected 🇪🇸 Spain: Rejected 🇯🇵 Japan: Rejected 🇫🇷 France: Hesitant 🇨🇦 Canada: Rejected 🇦🇺 Australia: Rejected 🇨🇳 China: No response 🇰🇵 North kore: ….see more
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Trading With Logic
Trading With Logic@Tradewith_kd·
Donald Trump asked the world to join a multinational naval coalition to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. 🇮🇹 Italy: Rejected 🇪🇸 Spain: Rejected 🇯🇵 Japan: Rejected 🇫🇷 France: Hesitant 🇨🇦 Canada: Rejected 🇦🇺 Australia: Rejected 🇨🇳 China: No response 🇰🇵 North kore: ….see more
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Ankit | FinAlpha
Ankit | FinAlpha@AnkitFinAlpha·
How was the week for Equity: #Flexicap Funds? 📈 Sorted by Weekly Returns [Mon-Fri] Most Flexicap funds closed in Red this week. The benchmark index Nifty 500 TRI closed at -0.29%.
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
- March 2020 - "Everything will be fine in 2 weeks" - Supply chains shut down - Prices skyrocket - Inflation Strait of Hormuz - March 2026 - "Everything will be fine in 2 weeks" - Supply chains shut down - Prices skyrocket We know next is…see more
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
1 USD$ value in Asia!👇 🇮🇳 India – ₹ 94 🇵🇰 Pakistan – 280 PKR 🇧🇩 Bangladesh – 115 Taka 🇳🇵 Nepal – 132 Rupees 🇧🇹 Bhutan – ₹94 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka – 310 Rupees 🇨🇳 China – 7 Yuan 🇯🇵 Japan – 155 Yen 🇰🇷 South Korea – 1350 Won 🇮🇩 Indonesia – 15500 Rupiah 🇻🇳 Vietnam – 24500 Dong 🇹🇭 Thailand – 36 Baht 🇵🇭 Philippines – 56 Peso 🇲🇾 Malaysia – 4.6 Ringgit 🇸🇬 Singapore – 1.35 Dollar
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Krishna Thakur@KrishAlpha7·
💥#BREAKING 👌🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 JUST IN: U.S. issues 30-day sanctions waiver for Iranian oil sales. 140M barrels set to hit global markets.
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Trading With Logic
Trading With Logic@Tradewith_kd·
💥#BREAKING JUST IN: U.S. issues 30-day sanctions waiver for Iranian oil sales. 140M barrels set to hit global markets.
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