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Kurt Kumar
8.2K posts
Kurt Kumar
@KurtKumar
#bitcoin, #accelerate, still learning, want abs but chicken biryani is life, death will be cured
เข้าร่วม Nisan 2012
3.1K กำลังติดตาม1.8K ผู้ติดตาม
Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
🚨 Here is the full 40 minutes of my crew and I exposing California fraud, Minnesota was big but California is even bigger... We uncovered over $170,000,000 in fraud as these fraudsters live in luxury with no consequences. Like it and share it, the fraud must STOP.
We ALL work way too hard and pay too much in taxes for this to be happening. These fraudsters have been able to defraud American taxpayers for years without any pushback from the public and politicians.
It is time to EXPOSE IT ALL and end America's fraud crisis.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
A guy with a YouTube channel just accidentally redesigned the most complex machine in human history.
Not an aerospace engineer. Not a SpaceX executive.
A guy with a camera who asked one obvious question.
Tim Dodd was walking around Starbase when Musk proudly explained how the Super Heavy booster eliminated its entire cold gas thruster system. Instead of a separate, heavy, complex mechanism, it just vents hot gas directly from the propellant tanks.
Elegant. Zero added mass. Zero extra failure points.
Dodd asked one question.
“But this is only for the booster, right?”
Musk stopped.
Not to defend. Not to explain. Not to reframe the question so it didn’t threaten what he had just said.
He stopped because something clicked.
Musk: “Yes. Although arguably, now you mention it… we might be wise to do this for the ship, too. Now that… we’re going to fix that.”
Mid-sentence. In real time. On camera.
No pause to protect his pride. No deflection. No “good point, let me circle back on that.” Just the immediate, unfiltered acknowledgment that a better path existed and they were going to take it.
Seven months later, Musk confirmed it was one of the biggest improvements ever made to the vehicle.
Think about what just happened.
To change a fundamental flight system at a legacy aerospace company requires years of environmental reviews, safety committees, and budget approvals.
Musk deprecated an entire subsystem in 15 seconds because a podcaster asked the obvious question that nobody inside had dared to ask.
In a traditional corporation, that cold gas system gets built anyway.
Because admitting the architecture is flawed is politically expensive.
The VP doesn’t want to lose the headcount.
The engineers don’t want to scrap the work.
The manager doesn’t want to explain the pivot to their director.
And so the mistake gets a budget. Gets a timeline. Gets a team assigned to it.
The machine gets heavier. The flaw becomes load-bearing. And eventually the flaw becomes so embedded in the structure that fixing it would require tearing down everything built around it.
So nobody fixes it.
Now think about the last time someone pointed out a flaw in something you built. Something you were proud of. Something you had already explained to twelve people without anyone questioning it.
Did you stop the way Musk stopped?
Or did you feel that heat in your chest. That reflexive need to explain why they were missing the point. Why the context was more complicated than they understood. Why the question, though interesting, didn’t really apply here.
That heat is the most expensive thing most organizations will ever pay for.
A failed launch at least tells you the truth.
A defended mistake just compounds.
This is the organizational architecture required to win the AI arms race.
The ultimate moat isn’t compute. It isn’t capital.
It is the velocity of error correction.
The geopolitical AI race will not be won by whoever starts with the best blueprint.
It will be won by whoever can feel that heat in their chest and choose the truth anyway.
A journalist asked a question. The best answer won.
The rocket got lighter.
Most egos don’t.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
🚨 I just learned about a concept, I can't stop thinking about.
The Four Burner Theory.
It destroyed Elon Musk's first marriage.
It explains why Bezos is jacked but divorced.
And why Zuckerberg has no real friends.
Once you understand it, your life will never be same:🧵
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@brucefenton @DrJesseMorse It’s in Dubai, you could try it out as u r already there
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@DrJesseMorse What’s the science behind it and indication it works?
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Here’s Kevin O’Leary doing EBOO in Dubai, a treatment I offer in all 4 of my offices (The Osteopathic Center: Miami, Jupiter, Jacksonville, Knoxville).
It’s a form of blood filtering that uses a modified-form of oxygen called ozone combined with a dialysis filter to clean the blood of various toxins including microplastics, heavy metals, mold, spike proteins, biofilm (Lyme), and kills any bacteria, fungi or virus in the blood.
Takes about 90 minutes and costs about $1300.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
AGI is now on the horizon and it will deeply transform many things, including the economy.
I'm currently looking to hire a Senior Economist, reporting directly to me, to lead a small team investigating post-AGI economics.
Job spec and application here: job-boards.greenhouse.io/deepmind/jobs/…
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Coffee with Scott Adams moves to The Scott Adams School 01/13/24 x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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@ScottAdamsSays How are you feeling today, hope pain is manageable
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But 25% say. . .
Owen Gregorian@OwenGregorian
Trump's Venezuela gamble hailed a success as exclusive poll reveals how many Americans back Maduro's capture by Delta Force | Nikki Schwab, Daily Mail More Americans support President Donald Trump's decision to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro than don't, new polling from the Daily Mail has found. The poll, conducted by J.L. Partners, found that 43 percent of registered voters were supportive of Trump's military action that took place on January 3, while 36 percent were opposed to it. Not surprisingly, Republicans were far more supportive of Trump's gamble than their Democratic counterparts. Seventy-eight percent of GOP voters supported Trump's actions, versus 8 percent of Republicans who were opposed. On the Democratic side, just 17 percent of Democrats supported the military intervention, while 57 percent were opposed. Independents, a key constituency in this year's midterm elections, were split evenly between the camps. Thirty-nine percent of independents supported Trump's decision to capture Maduro and bring him to the United States to stand trial, while 38 percent of independents opposed the move. A majority of American voters viewed the operation as a success. More American voters supported President Donald Trump's (right) actions in Venezuela than didn't support it, new Daily Mail polling found. Trump is seen Saturday in a makeshift situation room alongside Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (left) and CIA Director John Ratcliffe (center) Fifty-four percent of voters thought it went well, with only 15 percent rating the mission as a failure. Another 31 percent of voters were unsure. Republicans were overwhelmingly positive about the mission, with 83 percent rating it as a success. Only a third of Democrats, 33 percent, felt the same way. Just 4 percent of GOP voters viewed the operation, which took place overnight Saturday while Trump was still at his Mar-a-Lago resort, as a failure. Democrats were more willing to say that they were unsure about the outcome of the mission than to say it failed. On the Democratic side, 43 percent said they were unsure about the success of the military operation, while 25 percent said it was an outright failure. During his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Saturday, Trump said that no American military members were killed during 'Operation Absolute Resolve.' Nicolás Maduro (second from right) and his wife Cilia Flores (second from left) are seen in handcuffs as they arrive in Manhattan after President Donald Trump ordered 'Operation Absolute Resolve' to capture the Venezuelan dictator and his spouse Still, Democrats in Congress want Trump to ask for permission to get the U.S. military more involved - with Virginia Senator Tim Kaine planning to bring a war powers resolution to the Senate floor Thursday, which would bar further intervention without congressional authorization. Trump said that the U.S. would be 'running' Venezuela for the immediate future, signaling that Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth would take charge. That statement received raised eyebrows from Democratic voters, with 85 percent expressing concern and just 7 percent expressing little to no concern. A majority of Republicans, on the other hand, shrugged off Trump's statement. Overall, 52 percent expressed little to no concern. At the same time, part of MAGA ideology has been to be against 'forever wars,' with 40 percent of Republican voters expressing some concern over Trump's decision to get involved in 'running' Venezuela. The poll was conducted on January 5 and 6 among 999 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
You can argue with me all you want, but I agree with @jimmycarr.
You're all, to an extent, communists.
bluemontauk@bluemontauk
AI can't take my job 💃❤️🔥
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
I have a favor to ask.
If my work helped you, or someone you know, please follow my biographer and good friend @joelpollak and leave a comment here in case he wants to follow up with you on DMs.
It gives me great joy to learn about any contribution I made.
I tried to be useful.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
Arguably Scott Adams’ greatest livestream video ever- The User Interface for Reality.
If you know, you know.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
> be demis hassabis
> spawn in london
> age 4, become child chess prodigy
> win chess tournaments
> reach ~2300 elo
> face danish chess champion
> game lasts hours
> position is a forced draw
> too exhausted to see it
> resign
> danish guy laughs and shows the draw
> feel sick to my stomach
> realise something is wrong
> chess is too narrow a problem
> brilliant minds wasting decades on it
> decide not to become a chess pro
> buy a computer with chess winnings
> teach self to program from books
> start hacking on games with friends
> decide to finish school early
> apply to cambridge age 16
> cambridge says you're too young
> forced to take a gap year
> enter a video game coding competition
> win
> get invited to join bullfrog game studio
> too young to be legally employed
> work there anyway
> build ai system inside theme park game
> game becomes a global hit
> turn 17
> offered £1,000,000 to stay and build games
> turn it down
> go to cambridge anyway
> decide games aren't enough
> study computer science
> interested in agi since 2007
> most people laugh at this idea
> realise brain is only form of agi we have
> want to learn more about human brain
> go back to school
> study neuroscience
> realise academia moves too slow
> decide to build a company instead
> start deepmind
> pitch “solve intelligence”
> investors don’t know what that means
> get to meet peter thiel for one minute
> wonder how to convince him
> spend one minute playing chess with him
> pitch "solve intelligence" again
> he invests
> go into total stealth mode for two years
> no website
> secret office
> candidates think it’s a scam
> start to train ai in simulated environments
> train ai with reinforcement learning
> train ai on pong first
> it sucks
> can't win a single point
> keep trying
> wait it won a a point
> wait it's winning every single point
> it actually works
> expand to train on any two-player game
> chess first, then move on to go
> beats world champion at go
> beats pros at starcraft
> games is not enough
> want to push into science
> realise compute is the bottleneck
> know this will take decades
> google offers ~$400m
> not the highest price
> but they offer unlimited compute
> accept
> refuse to become a product team
> stay in research mode
> determined to use ai for good
> need to figure out what's next
> land on protein folding
> 50-year-old unsolved science problem
> many great minds have tried and failed
> "good luck"
> start up alphafold
> try to solve protein folding
> humans take years to find 1 protein structure
> alphafold can find ~5 per day
> submit results, win competition
> not good enough
> hire more scientists
> rebuild it
> go from solving one per day to millions per day
> create invaluable system
> pharma would pay anything
> have to decide what to do with this
> could sell access for usage
> maybe make it a paid service
> remember childhood chess tournament
> remember why we built this
> decide to give it away all away for free
> publish all known protein structures publicly
> win nobel peace prize
> just the beginning towards agi
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misogi is a japanese ritual - one hard, year defining challenge
i heard about it from @JesseItzler last year on the pod
for 2025 my misogi was… learning piano from scratch
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@ShaanVP @JesseItzler Seeing the end result makes it even more inspirational
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Thanks @Integza__ for spending time with us and featuring our aerospike. @Erdayastronaut will not be happy if he finds out.
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Thanks for this @chamath . The tax can be paid over 5 years. There should be provisions for workarounds for founders whose stock is locked or where their company is not profitable to defer any tax until a liquidity event with no interest accrual and for adjustment on the tax due based on the valuation at liquidity (in case it drops).
Why not propose reasonable protections for founders? Are you open though to 1-2 percent wealth tax on established billionaires in our nation and in California? That's really the point of a wealth tax.
You had talked about tech billionaires needing to do more at a time when people can't afford healthcare, education, childcare. I found those comments very self-aware.
I am curious whether you'd support some form of wealth tax and social investment if well designed. In this case, it's to make up for the cuts in healthcare for working class Californians.
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath
It’s not 1% a year for 5 years. It’s a one time 5% tax on all assets and it will kill entrepreneurship in California. Here is an example: John Doe starts a company. He takes a nominal salary - say $150k for this example - and the rest in equity in the company. Let’s say he owns 20%. He raises VC capital in 2026 from someone that invests $100M into the company and values the company at $6B. This means his 20% is “worth” $1.2B. I put it in quotes because he can’t actually sell. He has a paper value that putatively says he’s a billionaire. But he actually lives on $150k because that is what his income is. Just because someone decides to make a bet on the business does not mean some bank account in your name magically gets created with $1.2B in it. Under the proposed tax, however, John Doe would now owe $60M in cash to California in 2027. How will he pay it? Is there some buyer you know of, that the rest of the market doesn’t, that will do a deal at the max value when there is a distressed seller like John Doe who needs money he doesn’t have to pay taxes on value he also doesn’t have! Now imagine that after the tax is assessed, in early 2027, the company takes a write down to $200M. Now his share is $40M. But he still owes $60M. Again, there are no buyers for his shares per se. He still only makes $150k/yr. What is this person supposed to do? He now has a “worth” of $40M but owes California $60M. Should he declare bankruptcy now because he tried to start a business but was retarded enough to do it in California? So did you really get the billionaires?? No. Because the mega billionaires have already left or are tax structured to minimize the tax or will fight it. You will, however, drag a bunch of young, energetic folks who want to make things and hire people into bankruptcy court. Awesome work, Ro. You should be proud.
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Kurt Kumar รีทวีตแล้ว
CR7 defined what she brings to the table, which has made a few women see how empty handed they are
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Olympic games but by cabinet departments where athletes are the minister of that area in their country.
Pete Hegseth (US), Koizumi (Japan), Andrey Belousov (Russia) …compete for Defence Gold Medal!
Jeffrey J. Hall 🇯🇵🇺🇸@mrjeffu
Japanese Defense Minister Koizumi Shinjiro shared a video of himself trying on a 40kg (88lb) pack used in Japan Self-Defense Forces Ranger training.
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