Michael Pers Valvers

Current western artillery production thread: 1. Australia: 100k per year australiandefence.com.au/defence/genera…

“I’m always at your service”: leaked calls between Lavrov and Hungary’s FM Recordings of conversations between Sergey Lavrov and Péter Szijjártó suggest the Hungarian minister was willing to advance Moscow’s interests within the EU. In one call, Lavrov asks for sanctions on oligarch Alisher Usmanov’s sister to be lifted — Szijjártó responds that Hungary, together with Slovakia, is already preparing a proposal. She was later removed from the EU sanctions list. Before ending the call, Szijjártó also mentioned visiting Gazprom’s new headquarters and added: “I’m always at your service.” According to European intelligence officials, the tone of the exchanges resembles that of a “handler and source” rather than two equal officials. There have also been previous reports that Hungary shared details of closed EU discussions with Moscow.

@TheDeadDistrict Looks like t72?

A Ukrainian tank races along with soldiers on its armor, heading to Kostiantynivka. Every dozen kilometers of this road is a game of survival, where the driver’s skill, personal alertness, and the effectiveness of Ukrainian “drone hunters” all count. Via "novynarnia"

@Tendar I hope they can keep this up

Ukrainian „sanctions“ have put Russian port workers at the now burning oil terminal of Ust Luga in Russia into unemployment, at least for some time.

@SandyofCthulhu Makes sense since for the majority of the war, Germany was on the defensive in France

My dad in World War 2 said that they'd sometimes capture a German foxhole, and were always really impressed. The American foxholes were pretty much just holes. A big one might have a grenade pit. But the German foxholes were immaculate. They had little shelves (sometimes with a plank) to put stuff on, a cut-out to sit on. He said they were really impressive, and they always wanted to stay longer in a German foxhole but hardly ever could.

@M0nstas I mean, will the war really last another 12 years?

Field Fertilizer Cult

@M0nstas @Narretz Payload, range, etc?

@Narretz It's sounds great but it has too much downsides with little outcome

Drones are permanently in the sky. It was a long way.

@M0nstas 💀💀

SomeZ cultists

@M0nstas Sacrifice to tie down UA forces before spring offensive?

Kupiansk Hospital fall after ~135 days. Zero value just a Zcult sacrifice.

@DovesOfFreedom @United24media A net you mean?

@United24media If they have systems to counter fiber optic drones, yes. If not, no

👀 Ground robots could replace up to one-third of Ukrainian infantry on the front line. Andrii Biletsky, commander of Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps, said expanding robotic systems could ease pressure on troops as battlefield conditions grow harsher. 🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/gr…

@M0nstas Will probably get insider trading information too for stocks

Great mob business

@M0nstas @VolodyaTretyak Talking to argentinian friends, most of them differentiate Milei from trump and them being friends influenced nothing, not even positively among Argentinian voters, not sure about Hungarians though. And you saw how Elon musk support for AFD went

@VolodyaTretyak Does it really help?

Russian shills like each other 🤷‍♂️

@akarlin @Jonpy99 It is said that a shadow mobilization is already taking place where reservists get called up for AD or such roles then get forcefully reassigned to infantry

Highly bearish on Russia's offensive prospects in spring-summer 2026. 1. Starlink cutoff has reportedly pushed Russian kill chains from 2-3 minutes back up to the 20 minutes, reversing years of progress. Whereas Ukrainians keep improving and are now integrating AI into their faster kill chains. Russia will no doubt find other solutions over time but the gap will be difficult to close again. 2. Ukrainians are acquiring a significant lead in drones - especially medium-range drones to suppress logistics within 120 km of the front. Target acquisition and prioritization is now network-centric and reportedly heavily automated. This is worse for Russia as the attacking side since the offense needs more material than defense. 3. The Telegram ban, which is reportedly being seriously enforced. Kremlins always happy to kick the Russian Army while it's already reeling. No good alternatives (MAX is buggy and insecure, and amusingly, it's quite likely that some of Russia's own Chekists with their unlimited access rights will leak highly confidential information to Ukraine for money). As usual, regime security takes precedence over military effectiveness. Two "bullish" factors for Russia are higher oil prices thanks to the Iran War, which alleviates the fiscal problems that have been building up the past year, and the partial rebuilding of an armored reserve, which is now again being utilized in substitution of meat. The fiscal windfall allows Russia to replenish its state coffers and continue to increase sign-up bonuses, but it doesn't translate into significantly greater capacity for technological catch-up, and may in any case be very temporary if the world economy slips into recession. As for the armored reserve, at this point, the density of eyes in the sky is such that decisive breakthroughs appear to have become unviable in the absence of drone superiority. I expect Russian progress in the next six months to be marginal to zero (!); for the Ukraine/Russia KIA ratio to further improve in Ukraine's favor; for Russian voluntary recruitment to peak, if it hasn't already, and for attrition to equal or overtake it; and for the military balance to improve significantly in Ukraine's favor. I do not expect a new mobilization until before the Russian Duma elections in Sep 2026, but by EOY, I do expect Putin will have to make a choice between launching a second mobilization - probably a "quiet" and unannounced one through electronic draft notices - and wrapping up intensive offensive operations. (The rapid and strangely urgent rollback of Internet freedoms weakly suggests a preference for the former).

@CamrynsOp @Jonpy99 Perhaps but the orange man is straight up betraying allies left and right, changing his mind every few seconds, and lives completely detached from reality. Ukraine was used to US aid and suddenly they stopped doing that….

@MValvers @Jonpy99 What? Obama is the main reason Russia felt confident enough to invade Ukraine in 2022. It was his weak “red lines” that showed them that the U.S. won’t punish Russia for going further.

It's so much I winning I can't take anymore, Mr. President!

@secretsqrl123 @PressSec This is worse than Vietnam man 😭😭😭

@PressSec sorry its a shit show.. not properly planned or executed. 4 time combat vet.

Since Day One of Operation Epic Fury, President Trump clearly outlined the U.S. Military’s objectives to end the threat of the Iranian terrorist regime. The President and the Pentagon predicted it would take approximately 4-6 weeks to achieve this mission. Tomorrow marks week 3 - and the U.S. Armed Forces are doing an exceptional job. Day by day, the Iranian Regime is being crippled, and their ability to threaten the United States and our allies is being significantly weakened. As always, President Trump is laser focused on one thing: total and complete VICTORY.

@Rebel44CZ Or maybe don’t fly helicopters in contested airspace, just a thumbs up

I wouldn't say that helicopters are obsolete, but I also wouldn't go running to spend a limited budget on buying new attack helicopters. I would prefer instead buying more F-35s (which dont cost all that much more than AH-64s while being much more survivable).

@M0nstas Maybe the deadline for today’s results was before the loss was known?

They shot down a copter, but dashboard doesn't have a record for that.

@David_Hambling The results is basically sustaining the current tempo to force a favorable outcome

"There won't be any results, but losses will increase approximately eightfold" if Russia mobilizes yet more troops.

@KofmanMichael With bad weather I guess

It’s starting a bit early.

@M0nstas That is so close wtf

Intercepted at Kotliarivka fall near Nadezhdynka. They are so desperate.