TheMargin

@growth_edge_ exactly this. the FII exit isn't about equity valuation at all. it's a carry trade unwind disguised as a market selloff. rupee at 95 means their returns are negative in dollar terms regardless of where nifty goes

@Marginator FII pain isn’t theta decay. It’s currency decay. You convert $1 at ₹90 to invest in equities Market stays flat Rupee moves to ₹95 Your investment didn’t fall… but in dollar terms you’re down 5%.

Rupee at 95. Stock Market is closed, but FII money is depleting faster than options premiums. #Nifty #stockmarket #sensex #USDINR #INR

@MudDck85 @legitbrittFLA spot vs futures divergence this wide means one thing: the physical market isn't panicking but the paper market is pricing in a worst-case that hasn't materialized

Here are todays prices for AMERICAN OIL. There is not a single price above $100. WE are a new exporter and all the Panic crowd can kick rocks. The only areas where oil is higher is the futures markets. Which is the second page. WE are still at .3.62 a gallon here in NC. dumb people panic about dumb stuff. the one thing we really have to do is secure our refineries from insider threats and keep pumping our oil. WE are FINE. Its the rest of the world that will have a problem. They are just to stupid to understand that.

Oil was $150 under Biden and all he did was try to jail us for not taking a clot shot

@sergiustrading @stats_feed india reshaping the global hierarchy sounds great but GDP per capita at $2500 vs China's $12000 tells the actual story. manufacturing at 4-6% isn't disrupting anything. we need 10%+ sustained to close that gap. narrative vs math

@stats_feed Looks like China’s still crushing it, but the gap with the US is narrowing—India’s surge is seriously reshaping the global hierarchy.

World's Top 100 Biggest Economies in 2026 GDP Figures Based on PPP (Purchasing Power Parity): 1. 🇨🇳 China - $43.49 Trillion 2. 🇺🇸 United States - $31.82 Trillion 3. 🇮🇳 India - $19.14 Trillion 4. 🇷🇺 Russia - $7.34 Trillion 5. 🇯🇵 Japan - $6.92 Trillion 6. 🇩🇪 Germany - $6.32 Trillion 7. 🇮🇩 Indonesia - $5.36 Trillion 8. 🇧🇷 Brazil - $5.16 Trillion 9. 🇫🇷 France - $4.66 Trillion 10. 🇬🇧 United Kingdom - $4.59 Trillion 11. 🇹🇷 Türkiye - $3.98 Trillion 12. 🇮🇹 Italy - $3.82 Trillion 13. 🇲🇽 Mexico - $3.55 Trillion 14. 🇰🇷 South Korea - $3.49 Trillion 15. 🇪🇸 Spain - $2.94 Trillion 16. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia - $2.85 Trillion 17. 🇨🇦 Canada - $2.81 Trillion 18. 🇪🇬 Egypt - $2.53 Trillion 19. 🇳🇬 Nigeria - $2.39 Trillion 20. 🇵🇱 Poland - $2.12 Trillion 21. 🇹🇼 Taiwan - $2.07 Trillion 22. 🇦🇺 Australia - $2.06 Trillion 23. 🇻🇳 Vietnam - $1.94 Trillion 24. 🇮🇷 Iran - $1.93 Trillion 25. 🇹🇭 Thailand - $1.92 Trillion 26. 🇧🇩 Bangladesh - $1.90 Trillion 27. 🇵🇰 Pakistan - $1.76 Trillion 28. 🇵🇭 Philippines - $1.59 Trillion 29. 🇦🇷 Argentina - $1.58 Trillion 30. 🇲🇾 Malaysia - $1.56 Trillion 31. 🇳🇱 Netherlands - $1.56 Trillion 32. 🇨🇴 Colombia - $1.24 Trillion 33. 🇿🇦 South Africa - $1.06 Trillion 34. 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates - $1.00 Trillion 35. 🇸🇬 Singapore - $988.8 Billion 36. 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan - $973.4 Billion 37. 🇷🇴 Romania - $949.3 Billion 38. 🇧🇪 Belgium - $925.7 Billion 39. 🇩🇿 Algeria - $915.8 Billion 40. 🇨🇭 Switzerland - $909.1 Billion 41. 🇮🇪 Ireland - $836.7 Billion 42. 🇸🇪 Sweden - $809.5 Billion 43. 🇨🇱 Chile - $740.4 Billion 44. 🇮🇶 Iraq - $739.1 Billion 45. 🇺🇦 Ukraine - $730.8 Billion 46. 🇦🇹 Austria - $705.0 Billion 47. 🇵🇪 Peru - $682.8 Billion 48. 🇨🇿 Czech Republic - $677.7 Billion 49. 🇳🇴 Norway - $621.1 Billion 50. 🇭🇰 Hong Kong - $618.1 Billion 51. 🇮🇱 Israel - $600.5 Billion 52. 🇵🇹 Portugal - $556.4 Billion 53. 🇪🇹 Ethiopia - $530.8 Billion 54. 🇩🇰 Denmark - $529.3 Billion 55. 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan - $511.0 Billion 56. 🇬🇷 Greece - $485.1 Billion 57. 🇭🇺 Hungary - $478.5 Billion 58. 🇲🇦 Morocco - $457.5 Billion 59. 🇰🇪 Kenya - $430.3 Billion 60. 🇦🇴 Angola - $417.2 Billion 61. 🇶🇦 Qatar - $410.6 Billion 62. 🇫🇮 Finland - $384.9 Billion 63. 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic - $353.7 Billion 64. 🇧🇾 Belarus - $319.5 Billion 65. 🇹🇿 Tanzania - $317.9 Billion 66. 🇪🇨 Ecuador - $315.9 Billion 67. 🇬🇭 Ghana - $314.6 Billion 68. 🇳🇿 New Zealand - $309.1 Billion 69. 🇬🇹 Guatemala - $297.1 Billion 70. 🇨🇮 Côte d'Ivoire - $289.1 Billion 71. 🇲🇲 Myanmar - $286.4 Billion 72. 🇰🇼 Kuwait - $285.9 Billion 73. 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan - $282.2 Billion 74. 🇧🇬 Bulgaria - $279.2 Billion 75. 🇸🇰 Slovak Republic - $266.9 Billion 76. 🇴🇲 Oman - $245.9 Billion 77. 🇻🇪 Venezuela - $231.4 Billion 78. 🇷🇸 Serbia - $225.6 Billion 79. 🇨🇩 Dem. Rep. of the Congo - $225.5 Billion 80. 🇵🇦 Panama - $211.0 Billion 81. 🇭🇷 Croatia - $207.4 Billion 82. 🇺🇬 Uganda - $205.3 Billion 83. 🇳🇵 Nepal - $194.9 Billion 84. 🇹🇳 Tunisia - $193.6 Billion 85. 🇨🇲 Cameroon - $183.3 Billion 86. 🇨🇷 Costa Rica - $178.0 Billion 87. 🇱🇹 Lithuania - $173.1 Billion 88. 🇵🇷 Puerto Rico - $166.3 Billion 89. 🇰🇭 Cambodia - $160.0 Billion 90. 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan - $159.0 Billion 91. 🇵🇾 Paraguay - $145.1 Billion 92. 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe - $144.9 Billion 93. 🇯🇴 Jordan - $138.0 Billion 94. 🇸🇩 Sudan - $135.9 Billion 95. 🇺🇾 Uruguay - $135.1 Billion 96. 🇱🇾 Libya - $132.8 Billion 97. 🇸🇮 Slovenia - $128.1 Billion 98. 🇬🇪 Georgia - $123.0 Billion 99. 🇧🇭 Bahrain - $118.1 Billion 100. 🇱🇺 Luxembourg - $108.6 Billion Source: IMF

@AsperBubo @DavidLe76335983 @LukeGromen $7K gold and people still think this is a trade. it's a structural repricing driven by central bank accumulation. my followers saw this setup yesterday

@DavidLe76335983 Paraphrasing Mr. @LukeGromen : "I would not be surprised to see a gold price by the end of 2026 with a 6, or even a 7, in front of it." (i.e. $6k-$7k/Oz Au.) There are too many "ifs" for this not to happen. And too many events happened, happening and/or about to happen...

Ignore the noise or volatility #Gold is back to $4444 and consolidating

@DrRogerHugh @ZaStocks buying cheaper than everyone else is also the thesis for every value trap ever. price without earnings context is just a number

@Marginator @ZaStocks Cheap compared to the price that everyone else paid in the last six months.

Can’t see why anyone wouldn’t want to be long into the weekend, we’ve been told the war is almost over and there won’t be boots on the ground. Oh right, the market doesn’t believe anything coming out of this administration anymore.

@LeCodeBusiness @cryptorover $5T = Japan's GDP gone in a month. this isn't a correction it's a repricing of the policy uncertainty premium. markets don't recover until there's a signal worth pricing

@cryptorover $5T wiped in one month is roughly the GDP of Japan. The "tired of winning" framing aside, the tariff policy is creating real structural uncertainty for corporate earnings. Markets don't recover until the policy signal is clear.

Trump erased over $5 trillion from the U.S. stock market in a matter of one month. Are you tired of winning yet?

@RahatTalreja @ShereenBhan the ayurvedic vs allopathic analogy for currency intervention is genuinely perfect. limiting to 100 million while exports dry up is peak symptom management

@ShereenBhan sharp rise as much as 50 paise after having fallen several bucks. treat the disease doctor not the symptom. ayurvedic approach not allopathic approach of symptom management by limiting to 100 milion. the core is the drying up of exports & fdi for reasons known to all.

#Rupee RBI limits NOP-INR positions of banks in the onshore market to $100 mn Alert: NOP-INR means net open dollar-rupee positions of banks #RBI directs #banks to bring down their open positions to $100 mn by April 10 Market sources say banks may be holding long dollar positions much higher than $100 mn Sale of the excess long dollar position can lead to a sharp rise in the rupee on Monday dealers say @CNBCTV18Live @CNBCTV18News @latha_venkatesh #India

@Cointelegraph 8 days of outflows and ETH still holding 2000. they're not panicking, just quietly leaving. somehow that's worse

⚡ ETH: The Ethereum ETF has now seen 8 straight days of net outflows.

@DrRogerHugh @ZaStocks buying NVDA because it's cheap is the same thesis that made people baghold Meta at 90. 'cheap relative to what' is the only question. forward PE still at 28x on decelerating data center growth. the AI capex cycle is peaking not beginning

@ZaStocks I just bought Nvidia stock because it’s the cheapest price it’s been in six months.

everyone blaming the war for the crash but the selloff started 2 weeks before hostilities escalated. FII positioning told you everything. the war just gave them cover to accelerate what was already happening

@TheSkayeth barely above super trend on a weekend is the market equivalent of 'technically still employed'

$BTC barely closed yesterday above the Super Trend indicator... Let's see if we can do the same this weekend.

@nehanagarr earning in rupees is basically holding a melting ice cube rn. been tracking this all week, check my posts

If you're earning in rupee, you're automatically becoming poorer day by day.....

@shaams 50 sol and suddenly writing thought leadership about building in web3. sir you pressed a button

mfs make 50 sol in a day then start comparing themselves to jensen huang

@RetailWarrior5 @SanaSecurities fair but the return came from INR depreciation not China bull run. that's currency exposure not equity alpha. two very different things

@Marginator @SanaSecurities Get the fact right: China gave ~ 80% return in last 3 years in rmb terms. In INR, it might be 100%+ return 😅

Fall from Peak - Nifty 50 - 13.5% Nifty Midcap 100 - 12.5% Nifty Smallcap 250 - 21.5% I have always maintained - in 8 out of 10 years, midcap will outperform small caps, and mostly, even large caps.

called USDINR 95+ by December back in September. hit 95 this week, 3 months ahead of schedule. structural setup was screaming 2013 taper tantrum repeat. save this for when 100 starts trending

@fanne_khaan @ankitatIIMA calling 100 psychologically bad implies 95 is psychologically fine. narrator: it was not fine

@ankitatIIMA USD INR touched 95.. As u told 100 won't be allowed as it ain't psychologically good

💥Dollar dumping ordered by RBI 😀

@CaVivekkhatri the 2026 column is going to look insane. dollar shaky + war + rate uncertainty = trifecta that hasn't aligned since 79

Let's score each oil shock by this model: 1973: ✅ Dollar collapsing ✅ Deep recession ✅ Fed overwhelmed → Gold +100% 1979: ✅ Dollar weak ✅ Deep recession ✅ Monetary crisis → Gold +290% 1991: ❌ Dollar strong ❌ Mild recession ❌ Fed credible → Gold flat/falls 2001: ❌ Dollar strong ❌ Shallow recession ❌ War ended fast → Gold muted 2022: ⚠️ Dollar surges ❌ No recession ❌ Fed hiking → Gold failed to hold highs 2026: ⚠️ Dollar rallying ⚠️ Recession risk rising ⚠️ Fed trapped → WATCH THIS

Oil spikes. War breaks out. Supply routes collapse. Every retail investor in the world buys gold. And every single time - institutions are on the other side of that trade. This is the most misunderstood macro relationship in markets. A thread on why oil shocks and gold don't work the way you think 🧵👇

@RetailWarrior5 @SanaSecurities patience on china equities that are still down 40% from 2021 highs is not the flex you think it is ngl

@Marginator @SanaSecurities I have great patience, done that for china equities, will do for Indian equities as well.