Maziar

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Maziar

Maziar

@Muzyar

Researching corporate power, public debt & EU financial governance @CGPE_Sussex also: capitalist futurity, social networks, political ecology, Middle East, Iran

Brighton, England เข้าร่วม Mayıs 2014
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
Two decades of antagonisation of politics, militarisation of state, and automation of culture has culminated in the AI hype that could enable a far-right assault on media and academia. Against this looming cultural revolution, resistance is not enough. irgac.org/articles/the-l…
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
PEACE THROUGH ALL CAPS
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
@NewLeftEViews @nikhil_palsingh More significant is Grossi. His reports had a clear tonal shift from previous directors. He also doesn't condemn attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities the way he should.
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New Left EViews
New Left EViews@NewLeftEViews·
You can safely disregard any Middle East coverage from the Economist.
Gregg Carlstrom@glcarlstrom

In this interview with @margbrennan the head of the UN's nuclear watchdog pours some cold water on the Omani foreign minister's claim that a nuclear deal was imminent on the eve of the war Somewhat academic at this point, but a useful corrective. Oman (understandably) had an interest in making it seem as if negotiations were bearing fruit. In reality there was still an enormous gulf between the American and Iranian positions cbsnews.com/news/rafael-gr…

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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
@ShelerHaghani پس بعد از شنیدن انتقادها همچنان معتقدید حرف کلیدی و معناداری زده‌اید که درست فهمیده نشده، اما به جای تلاش برای بیان بهتر و رفع سوءتفاهم ناشی از قالب بیانی اشتباه و اندرزگویی حکیمانه، مخاطبان را به اصرار بر نفهمی متهم می‌کنید. ✍️
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Sheler Haghanifar | شلر حقانی‌فر
Sheler Haghanifar | شلر حقانی‌فر@ShelerHaghani·
@Muzyar دوستی پست شما را برایم فرستاده به جهت بامزه بودنش و البته در ادامه نوشته «یعنی یک اصراری دارن نفهمن…» فکر می‌کنم حق با این دوست است، از هر دو جهت ☺️
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
Pankaj Mishra's piece on Iran is yet another reminder of how various projects built on aggressive and macho nationalist imaginary in Iran have failed to incorporate the very positive and complex (even if romanticised and fictitious) image of Iran in the international imaginary.
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
@intifada @farwasial @AliAbunimah Beyond the Axis fantasies, how is it globally legitimate to attack Qatar, Oman, and others? Fighting criminal evils doesn't automatically turn one into an innocent angel.
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
Trump's blatant announcement of his plan for war crimes and targeting civilian infrastructure in Iran has angered even some of the ardent far-right monarchists. Intentionally hitting power plants will create a nationalist sentiment that the regime could not even dream of.
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
Dragging the war will prolong the grip of the worst hardliners of the regime. Stopping the war will expose a whole set of issues they cannot address or could even justify to their own base.
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
A foreign war will not solve the domestic problems, neither for monarchist fantasies nor for regime's heroism. When the war with Iraq stopped, the regime went through some period of moderation and limited liberalisation. The moment this war stops, all previous problems resurface.
Nicole Grajewski@NicoleGrajewski

As I told @yarotrof for @WSJ, it is an uncomfortable possibility, but if the regime survives this war, Tehran may recast it as a new type of national mythology akin to the Iran-Iraq War. Under such a scenario, we would likely see greater militarization and domestic repression.

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Rosemary Kelanic
Rosemary Kelanic@RKelanic·
I hear you. But the uncomfortable truth is we all take our chances all the time. It's the cornerstone of deterrence. Russian or Chinese missiles could hit the US or EU right now. But that doesn't keep me up at night, because US missiles could hit Russia and China back, which deters them. Iran was not only deterrable before all this -- it was deterred. Iran is only firing missiles because the US and Israel attacked. All countries retaliate when under attack, otherwise they wouldn't last very long as countries.
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Rosemary Kelanic
Rosemary Kelanic@RKelanic·
Let’s keep Iran’s missile threat in perspective. It’s no surprise Iran can launch missiles 4,000km. Its space program has already sent SLVs that far. Doesn’t mean it has mastered the capability. One missile failed. The other was possibly intercepted, possibly fell into the ocean. We have no info on its accuracy (or lack thereof). Just because Iran can lob something 4,000 km doesn’t necessarily mean it can be militarily effective doing so. Let’s not exaggerate the threat — that only plays into Iran’s hands. @defpriorities
Steve Lookner@lookner

WSJ: "Iran fired two intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, a joint U.S.-U.K. military base in the middle of the Indian Ocean...Neither of the missiles hit the base, but the move marked a significant attempt by Iran to reach far beyond the Middle East and threaten U.S. interests." wsj.com/livecoverage/i…

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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
@RKelanic Which European population/leader would be willing to take their chances and bet on a failure + interception rate of 100%? Once you see it as a Messianic Deterrence and not a conventional security doctrine, I suspect the regime's longer imprecise reach is quite an achievement.
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Rosemary Kelanic
Rosemary Kelanic@RKelanic·
@Muzyar It’s clearly a warning. But if the missiles fail, or lack effective guidance capabilities such that they land in the sea or the middle of nowhere — that’s a much different level of threat from being able to target a major city.
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Maziar รีทวีตแล้ว
كريم صفي الدين - Karim Safieddine
كريم صفي الدين - Karim Safieddine@safieddine00·
Those betting on war and violence today - and especially the US and Israel - are very shortsighted. They are ignoring the battle of ideas. They are propping up and reinforcing the same ideas which made Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic popular political projects.
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Maziar
Maziar@Muzyar·
@paolomossetti @MariaFantappie @IAIonline Thanks for stating what would have been obvious if the naive anti-imperialists and the complicit and careerist postcolonialists weren't so eager to essentialise millions of people in racial terms.
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Paolo Mossetti
Paolo Mossetti@paolomossetti·
Maria Luisa Fantappiè, Middle East analyst at @IAIonline, on the Iranian diaspora in Europe: “It is largely a middle-class diaspora, made up of educated, highly skilled people... people who are well integrated into their respective professional fields, often excellent in their area... Many of them have not been able to find opportunities in Iran that match their talent and abilities, due not only to the repressive nature of the political system, but also to factors such as the impact of international sanctions... There is a significant part of the diaspora that is against the war, while at the same time being against the regime... It is troubling when opposition to an authoritarian regime in turn adopts discriminatory attitudes toward other components of society... a more civic soul of Iranian civil society, which is also expressed through artists and filmmakers and does not necessarily want to identify with figures like Reza Pahlavi... However, an anti-regime coalition has emerged whereby even people who were not initially monarchist have moved closer to those positions, more out of opposition to the system than out of genuine ideological adherence... Anti-democratic attitudes within the pro-monarchist diaspora are already producing fractures and alienating those who had joined simply to build a common front against the regime... One must be very cautious in claiming that the majority of the Iranian diaspora, in Italy or in Europe, is pro-monarchist: it is rather a very visible component... In some cases, this exposure has been fostered by opaque digital tools and the use of social media also to intimidate other voices within the diaspora, who do not share those positions but are certainly not supportive of the regime... Greater visibility of a certain faction of the diaspora does not mean at all that this position is the majority... Reducing everything to a single narrative risks erasing the many facets of the Iranian diaspora and oversimplifying a much more fragmented reality.”
Paolo Mossetti tweet media
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
اگر قیمت نفت به ۱۵۰ دلار برسه که با بحران هرمز اصلا عجیب نیست، ۱۸۰ میلیون بشکه با ۷۵٪ درآمد خالص، ۲۰ میلیارد دلار به رژیم می‌رسونه. درآمد نفتی ایران قبل جنگ ۳۵ میلیارد دلار در سال بود. این مجوز یک ماهه، بیش از نیمی از درآمد نفتی سالانه ایران رو در یک ماه آزاد می‌کنه.
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
🧵 آمریکا مجوز فروش نفت ایران «روی آب» رو صادر کرده. رقم رسمی ۱۴۰ میلیون بشکه و ایران روزانه هم ۱.۱ میلیون در طول جنگ بارگیری کرده. با ذخایر قبل جنگ (فرض بذاریم ۱۲۵ میلیون)، بارگیری‌ دوران جنگ (۲۴ میلیون)، و تولید در دوره مجوز (۳۳ میلیون)، حجم واقعی به ۱۸۰ میلیون بشکه می‌رسه.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent@SecScottBessent

Iran is the head of the snake for global terrorism, and through President Trump’s Operation Epic Fury, we are winning this critical fight at an even faster pace than anticipated. In response to Iran’s terrorist attacks against global energy infrastructure, the Trump Administration will continue to deploy America’s economic and military might to maximize the flow of energy to the world, strengthen global supply, and seek to ensure market stability. Today, the Department of the Treasury is issuing a narrowly tailored, short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil currently stranded at sea. At present, sanctioned Iranian oil is being hoarded by China on the cheap. By temporarily unlocking this existing supply for the world, the United States will quickly bring approximately 140 million barrels of oil to global markets, expanding the amount of worldwide energy and helping to relieve the temporary pressures on supply caused by Iran. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down as we continue Operation Epic Fury. This temporary, short-term authorization is strictly limited to oil that is already in transit and does not allow new purchases or production. Further, Iran will have difficulty accessing any revenue generated and the United States will continue to maintain maximum pressure on Iran and its ability to access the international financial system. So far, the Trump Administration has been working to bring around 440 million additional barrels of oil to the global market, undercutting Iran’s ability to leverage its disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump’s pro-energy agenda has driven U.S. oil and gas production to record levels, strengthening energy security and lowering fuel costs. Any short-term disruption now will ultimately translate into longer-term economic gains for Americans – because there is no prosperity without security.

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Maziar@Muzyar·
So, the European capitals are within reach of Iranian missiles.
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Maziar@Muzyar·
@policytensor After October 7th, consistently, it has been Israel who escalated. Even with the energy infrastructure, Iran targeted Qatar LNG only after an Israeli attack on similar Iranian facilities. What could stop Netanyahu from even using nuclear weapons? Trump? UN? Ethics? Fear?
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Policy Tensor
Policy Tensor@policytensor·
An important reason why Iran enjoys escalation dominance is that it has a credible threat at the highest level of escalation: Iran is holding the greatest of all deterrents, a doomsday device.
Jonathan Lemire@JonLemire

“The bad news is that Iran has an even more potent weapon than closing the strait, one with the potential to turn a temporary supply disruption into a lasting shortage: destroying oil-and-gas infrastructure in Arab nations” theatlantic.com/economy/2026/0…

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ค้นพบ

@NewLeftEViews @nikhil_palsingh @ShelerHaghani @intifada @farwasial @AliAbunimah @RKelanic @defpriorities