Lucas Ewen
819 posts


@Muricaenjoyer @eigenrobot likely spark a conflict with India or the US before they ever made it to the Strait.
English

@Muricaenjoyer @eigenrobot We would redirect the tanker to a port for inspection, which is what I assume will happen to the Rich Starry. PLAN escorts border on impossible. They just don’t have the logistics capability to operate that far from a Chinese port. Even if they tried to pull it off, it would...
English

blockades are actually fairly interesting as a tool of war in an age
1. of globalization where most countries are heavily reliant on oceanic trade and long supply chains, and
2. when the us has the only really globally-capable navy
eigenrobot@eigenrobot
iran's gdp in 2024 is given as $436B, abt $1.3B/day so the blockade is estimated to cause a -25% hit to gdp relative to that baseline? on top of what's already being done with the internet blackout and oil infrastructure damage and so on wonder whether this damps or cascades
English

@FloppingAces 3/3 (I misjudged the length)
4. Start seizing container ships and tankers to force them into ports.
5. Invasion of Kharg Island.
If I had to bet, this is what is going to happen.
English

@FloppingAces strait.
1. Drive off civilian boats from neutral countries.
2. Sink any small boat leaving their ports. They have used AIS spoofing to launch mass drone attacks pretending to be small boats from neutral countries.
3. Normal traffic flows through the strait.
English

Trump just went full savage on the Iranian regime.
U.S. warships are now locking down the Strait of Hormuz like it’s American property. Every tanker, every cargo ship trying to feed Tehran’s terrorist machine just got the red light. Game fucking over.
The mullahs walked out of Islamabad like they owned the world. Big mistake. Now their economy is getting waterboarded: $435 million in bleeding cash every single day, Kharg Island choked off, and their joke “bypass” terminal at Jask can barely move 70,000 barrels. Storage tanks max out in 13 days, then it’s permanent well damage and lights out.
Meanwhile their currency is a dumpster fire, inflation is eating babies at 47%, rice prices are up 700%, and the Iranian streets are already on fire with protests. The regime can’t even pay its own goons.
This isn’t about oil prices spiking to $100. This is Trump ripping away Iran’s favorite toy...their ability to blackmail the entire planet with 20% of the world’s energy while their IRGC pirates collected tolls and launched attack after attack.
Cry harder, globalists. The adults are in charge.
Tehran thought they could play tough guy. Instead they’re staring down the barrel of economic Armageddon with zero reserves and a population that hates their guts.
The clock is ticking louder than their worthless threats. Iran will fold. They will beg. And they will break like the weak, bankrupt terror state they are.
Trump called their bluff. Checkmate, Mullahs.
(article below)
English

@sull1vannolan @williameijer who gives a flying fuck about consensus.
English

@sull1vannolan @williameijer 1/2 I’ve met both types, and I wonder if anyone else has noticed something? PTA, soccer moms care about the truth, and single career women care about consensus. This seems to be almost universal when I think about my experience. I have never met a mom with a husband and a life...
English

@ChadBianco Decent political messaging. Someone in your staff is doing their job if you are posting this on X.
English

@Garrel_Channel Spend more time with people offline. In my experience, feelings of personal insignificance are connected to a lack of social connection. I don’t know if this is a universal rule or just something that works for me.
English

@Cait_Sith_co You could argue that instead of beef, barbecue would be a fair substitute.
English


@rabbitholebot 2/2 Are these “asset managers” just a flimsy LLC to obfuscate the reality that the Treasury Department and Fed own 25% of the S&P 500?
English

@rabbitholebot 1/2 That is nothing on the conspircary richter scale. Are BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street asset managers or US state actors? That is the real question. The US has traditionally put cash into its own bonds to avoid owning large portions of the S&P 500 and other markets....
English

@medievalmlord The most brilliant aspect of Early US expansionism was using European squabbles to make land purchases and as a mechanism to pay allies when they needed money.
English

@AK07Seven @ShoahUkraine @MericaCulture military was staggeringly incompetent. This is like saying a retard who bashes his head against a brick wall won the fight with the brick wall because his skill is fractured.
English

@AK07Seven @ShoahUkraine @MericaCulture 6.7 M died from fighting. The bulk of that figure is civilians. Backe-Plan and Generalplan Ost killed more people than combat wounds by around 2 million. Regardless, I don’t think effort should be equated with military incompetence. They had staggering losses because their...
English

Friendly reminder that American manufacturing might won WW2.
Without the Lend-Lease program the USSR would've folded in 1943-44

David__Osland@David__Osland
The main reason Britain is 'not speaking German' is the Red Army. Not the US Marine Corps.
English

@killerzombies14 @ShoahUkraine @MericaCulture Albert Kahn at the time he did this. The same Albert Kahn, who was considered the Architect of Detroit. The USSR's entire industrial base came from these two people, both of whom were Americans.
English

@killerzombies14 @ShoahUkraine @MericaCulture You can learn about it pretty easily. From the cranes built in NY, OH, and PA to the assembly and welding techniques to the floor plans, everything that went into the USSR's tank manufacturing came from Ford. And the chief architect of that was John K. Calder who worked for...
English

@killerzombies14 @ShoahUkraine @MericaCulture Are you being sarcastic? T-34 is a Ford tank. Every single factory that produced a single T-34 or KV-1 was designed by Calder. A lot of them literally had floor designs that copied existing factories in Detroit.
English







