@Ericrse37986 I will say that I’m less than impressed with the intelligence of pro-Valdez posters. You guys really need a better message than “buh his aipac donors”.
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Ouch
548 posts
@Ericrse37986 If Valdez wins I’ll shake it off and move on to the next race. No point in getting emotional about it
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This is directly from the Reynoso campgain. If you resorting to this, that means you are losing in your own internals.
Boba Cyclist 정@BobaCyclist
Reynoso hitting my mailbox with a YUGE foot-long (!) mailer evoking “transplant” tropes and claiming Claire Valdez is supported by dark MAGA money. Shameful stuff from the Reynoso camp.
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Looks like @claireforny finally filed her required financial disclosure. Thanks!
disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/fi…
Ouch@OuchFive
Why hasn’t @claireforny filed her required financial disclosure with the house clerk? It’s past due. (h/t) @83beals
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@kareemisposting @PopComicKabala Claire may have a bright future ahead of her if she passes a few bills in the assembly first. And uh.. please, tell her to file her required financial disclosure. Voters deserve that much...
Reynoso is just the better candidate overall.
Much will become clear on Tuesday night.
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@PopComicKabala Cuomo had a lot of this same coalition, look how that turned out for him in this district. Claire has what it takes
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Reynoso accuses Claire of being “maga-backed” baselessly and meanwhile every republican is salivating hoping he wins. Just ask them, they’ll tell you their preferred candidate! 👇
SCOOCH.NYC@david_sivella
Mamdammany Hall will take a fall on June 23. “In a candidate forum last week, Reynoso, a non-DSA progressive, suggested the socialist group has turned into a ‘machine’ with Mamdani as its ‘boss’ — language that harkens back to an era when the heads of the city’s county parties ruled local politics and could handpick whoever they wanted for any given elected office.”
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@AndrewZink1238 @bkdems @newkingsdems thanks for supporting @newkingsdems. I'll note @ReynosoBrooklyn was a founding member.
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While investigating this story, it led to an entirerly new article about the @bkdems spending party money on protecting incumbent District Leaders from @newkingsdems challengers without ever taking votes on it. Additionally, the Brooklyn Dems website was discovered to list no contact info for any of these DLs and contained nearly two dozen erroneous photos of Executive Committee members.
api.omarshehata.me/substack-proxy…
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BREAKING: A Field Leader for the campaign of NYS Assemblymember @edilan37 in Assembly District 54 was reportedly creating a hostile scene in public at a voting site in Cypress Hills.
While reporting on the story, two more people came forward from the 2022 election cycle, claiming extensive public harassment. All three descriptions point to the same individual across both election cycles.
The hostile outburst was directed at Insurgent challanger @CCT4NYC and his campaign supporter, who were quietly handing out campaign literature to voters passing by.
api.omarshehata.me/substack-proxy…
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1) NY-07 is asleep at the wheel (39% of what early voting was on this day in 2025). Probably not ideal for Team Valdez but still early days.
2) Early voting turnout being highest on the Upper West Side is a good early sign for Lasher, though those voters are always super locked in and there’s a competitive primary between Eli Northrup and Stephanie Ruskay in his Assembly District.
3) Turnout being the highest in plurality Black Central Harlem (in AD where Jordan Wright is facing DSA challenger Conrad Blackburn) is very surprising. Unclear if it’s good for Espaillat or Chevalier given that it’s thought to be a swing area.
4) Writ large this is tracking toward a normal midterm primary turnout environment. Nothing close to 2025. Which almost certainly means an older electorate.
Brigid Bergin@brigidbergin
NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong. gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist
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@JAllen_NYC yep. 7th is a legit tossup. Early age distribution is exactly in line with the emerson poll which was within the MoE. That said, on balance low turnout favors Reynoso - you expect his voters to be higher propensity.
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Been texting different NY politicos and the feeling is while Goldman probably goes down Espaillat might just hold on and the 7th is tied. Lasher's people think they have an edge in early voting based on where the votes are coming from but not a big one.
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@socialconcarne The Q is how is the turnout relative to expectations. We're basically on track to match the age dist of the Emerson poll, which showed a tossup. In a low turnout regime, Reynoso's base is higher propensity, but the q is how much younger will the EDay vote skew.
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>silver wave turnout with no young people voting
>25-34 cohort the highest turnout in NY-07
Brigid Bergin@brigidbergin
NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong. gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist
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@StanFdr @admcrlsn that's expected. The Q is how is the turnout relative to expectations. We're basically on track to match the age dist of the Emerson poll, which showed a tossup. In a low turnout regime, Reynoso's base is higher propensity, but the q is how much younger will the EDay vote skew.
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Turnout so far vs 2025:
Manhattan: 59%
Bronx: 53%
Brooklyn: 36%
Queens: 43%
Staten Island: 28%
NYC Board of Elections@BOENYC
📢2026 Primary Election- Early Voting Day 5 Complete! Manhattan: 32,738 Bronx: 7,262 Brooklyn: 21,675 Queens: 14,530 Staten Island: 1,625 Total # of Early Voting Check-Ins: 77,830* *Unofficial & Cumulative as of close of polls
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-#NY07 early turnout is skewing older. And ED turnout should be even more in that direction. Great news for @ReynosoBrooklyn
Brigid Bergin@brigidbergin
NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong. gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist
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Ouch รีทวีตแล้ว
NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power
A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong.
gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist
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@BadTakeEnjoyer @MattZeitlin Basically I don’t think there’s any quantitative evidence things have shifted since the Emerson poll
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@BadTakeEnjoyer @MattZeitlin There’s a ton of ads getting played by various PACs I think there’s not a clear advantage there for either candidate. Real question is turnout and EV turnout looks higher than 2022 baseline but 30-40% or so of 2025 in Brooklyn/Queens which doesn’t really send a clear signal
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Valdez is definitely favored but Reynoso has been representing this area in some shape or form since 2014 and Velazquez since 1993 (which is the only reason Valdez isn’t a lock)
ⓘ 𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺 𝗵𝗮𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝗲𝗻 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗽𝘂𝘁𝗲𝗱@BadTakeEnjoyer
What was the point of a non-DSA candidate contesting this district? Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Ridgewood, Bushwick, Sunnyside, LIC, and Astoria are going to vote for the DSA pick.
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@BadTakeEnjoyer @MattZeitlin Also we know from her filings Valdez has paid for internals and based on her going negative those are likely to be pretty close still.
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@BadTakeEnjoyer @MattZeitlin Zohran’s attention has been split among a bunch of races + actually governing. The rally with Bernie is on the same day as the Knicks parade and fairly far out of the district…
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