@harlem_resist @RepEspaillat Sure listen to the minions of @BernieSanders that gave us @realDonaldTrump twice! Washington Heights is apparently just like the West Bank and Gaza. Therefore listen to the Vermonters.
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83 Beals
511 posts
83 Beals
@83beals
Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.
NYC Katılım Nisan 2026
8 Takip Edilen4 Takipçiler
This is more than enough to send @RepEspaillat packing. 👇🏼
Our Revolution@OurRevolution
A los votantes del Distrito 13 de Nueva York: Trece años de lo mismo te han servido? Ha bajado tu renta? Te ha dado atención médica accesible? Te ha protegido de ICE? O ha protegido a los poderosos que se benefician de que nada cambie? Trece años son suficientes. Vota por @DarializaforNY lel 23 de junio 👊🏽
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83 Beals retweetledi
Looks like @claireforny finally filed her required financial disclosure. Thanks!
disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/fi…
Ouch@OuchFive
Why hasn’t @claireforny filed her required financial disclosure with the house clerk? It’s past due. (h/t) @83beals
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We did it folks. @claireforny finally filed. 1 month past the deadline.
She is debt free and makes over $150,000 a year just like all my working class family and friends.
Now will @bradlander amend his report to accurately reflect the value of his home?
#NY7
disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/fi…
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@JAllen_NYC Interesting how we get from "I invest in @ElbitSystemsLtd" to "Israelis will not be safe".
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I will preface this by saying I am in favor of investing in Israeli companies. But this once again shows Brad Lander to be the bullshit artist say whatever you have to in the moment to get elected asshole we all know him to be.
BadEmpanada 🇧🇦🇿🇦@GoyEmpanada
@bradlander Here's Brad Lander bragging about investing in Israeli arms companies
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The @DemSocialists is fracturing. Has @bradlander tarnished the brand by all but calling them deplorable.
Rafael Shimunov 🍉 🕎@rafaelshimunov
Love @DemSocialists. It's not perfect but I respect the hell out of the everyday people who build it. People I've recruited, years later, thank me for helping them find a political home. And I could recruit so many more if some stopped doing petty, personal, childish 💩 like this
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1) NY-07 is asleep at the wheel (39% of what early voting was on this day in 2025). Probably not ideal for Team Valdez but still early days.
2) Early voting turnout being highest on the Upper West Side is a good early sign for Lasher, though those voters are always super locked in and there’s a competitive primary between Eli Northrup and Stephanie Ruskay in his Assembly District.
3) Turnout being the highest in plurality Black Central Harlem (in AD where Jordan Wright is facing DSA challenger Conrad Blackburn) is very surprising. Unclear if it’s good for Espaillat or Chevalier given that it’s thought to be a swing area.
4) Writ large this is tracking toward a normal midterm primary turnout environment. Nothing close to 2025. Which almost certainly means an older electorate.
Brigid Bergin@brigidbergin
NEW: Few voters casting early ballots in NYC primaries that will test Mamdani's power A look under the early voting hood from me and Joe Hong. gothamist.com/news/few-voter… via @gothamist
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@AlbaneseNYC That markets mispriced. The district has soured on Lander.
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Maybe ask her why she hasn’t filed her financial disclosure report with the House clerk as required by law.
Title I of the Ethics in Government Act of 1978 (EIGA), as amended (5 U.S.C. §§ 13101-13111), requires
Members, Officers, Candidates, and certain Employees of the U.S. House of Representatives (the House) and
Legislative Branch Offices to file a Financial Disclosure Report (FD) with the Clerk of the House (the Clerk).
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Unity identity politics overpowering performative socialism every day.
Adriano Espaillat@EspaillatNY
I’m honored to have the support of baseball legend David Ortiz! Hermano, gracias por el apoyo! The work continues to advance our communities and the working families of NY-13. Early voting is in full swing. Go vote!
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@ghostrunnerblog It’s from Manny Ramirez (from Washington Heights) and Pedro Martinez time as well.
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I genuinely think a Trump endorsement would have been better for him in this district...
Adriano Espaillat@EspaillatNY
I’m honored to have the support of baseball legend David Ortiz! Hermano, gracias por el apoyo! The work continues to advance our communities and the working families of NY-13. Early voting is in full swing. Go vote!
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When protesting @ICEgov @bradlander got preferential treatment.
Inner City Press@innercitypress
von Dornum: Was it your impression you got preferential treatment as an elected official? Lander: Yes. They took me to the front of the line. von Dornum: Did they direct you to signs about the CFR? Lander: On 12 and 14 the rules & signage changed from week to week
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@AbdulElSayedHQ @AbdulElSayed Uh oh! Guess you’ll have to raise more 💰
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New MIRS poll out shows @AbdulElSayed ahead, while Stevens gets a boost with millions in AIPAC-funded ads.
EL-SAYED: 42% (+15)
STEVENS: 33% (+15)
MCMORROW: 6% (-11)
Abdul has dropped to a 9 point lead. The $16M in pro-Stevens spending from AIPAC is closing the gap.
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Back at 26 Federal Plaza today, where “mega master calendar” hearings continue — a new Trump/DHS strategy to frighten and deport.
They’re moving people’s hearings up by 6 months or more, with little notice (and many people are in shelters, where mail may never get to them). Judges have 100+ cases per day. Hearing rooms are way overcrowded.
Their insidious goal is to make it more likely that immigrants miss their court date. And data so far shows it’s working: 40% of immigrants scheduled for hearings were absent and can wind up being removed. That's an astonishingly high number of immigrants now at risk of deportation.
If you know someone who has a case, please encourage them to visit justice.gov/eoir so they don't miss their hearing.
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Is @claireforny a slumlord? Probably not.
But she hasn't filled out her financial disclosure report yet. Something required by law. @HouseGOP and @HouseDemocrats can agree that the bar to enter Congress is to follow the ethics requirements.
Jay Martin 🏠 🏢🏚️🌇@jaymart222
Claire Valdez accepts donations from slumlords therefor Claire Valdez supports slumlords. See how this works? You made the rules.
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83 Beals retweetledi
Just when I think I can't despise Brad Lander even more, he tops himself again! #NY10
Benny Polatseck@BPolatseck
.@bradlander says he loves the first intifada against Israel.
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.@bradlander was so outraged at @andrewcuomo that he went out and hired Cuomo's attorneys who sued @LindseyBoylan.
Who paid Sher Tremonte to defend Lander in SDNY?
#NY10Debate #NY10
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This is all a big joke to @bradlander. Just fodder for the elections. Thousands of people were killed in the first and second intifada.
Benny Polatseck@BPolatseck
.@bradlander says he loves the first intifada against Israel.
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Supporting Palestinian human rights doesn’t make us any less Jewish.
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