ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
A thread of sports analytics papers and projects I’ve worked on over the years 🧵
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Steven Patton
6.7K posts
Steven Patton
@PattonAnalytics
NFL Analytics & Graphics | Host of Purrfect Takes | Data Scientist @ StatRankings
Charlotte, NC เข้าร่วม Ocak 2022
454 กำลังติดตาม8.5K ผู้ติดตาม
He’s one of the better fourth down kick/go decision-makers. He’s very bad at timeout usage. That’s not really that big a deal.
Chris Jones@Cj060606
@Peter_Bukowski Love Matt as a play designer and play caller, he gives you a real advantage in those areas which is important and my personal preference. Being frustrated with his overall game management and in game decision making seems very reasonable though.
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@Shane0196479 This includes plays where the QB bailed or was pressured from a clean pocket. That’s what makes it out of structure.
The dip in efficiency is also a big tell.
Steven Patton@PattonAnalytics
Bears QB coach JT Barrett recently described the next step in Caleb Williams' development as: "Less is more." The numbers support it. x.com/danwiederer/st…
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@PattonAnalytics I violently reject, “beyond 1st read” being, “out of structure” that is utter woke nonsense. Plays are not designed for 1 read and go
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Textbook example of doing too much
Steven Patton@PattonAnalytics
Every offseason, fans and analysts try to project the next Josh Allen. This year, that quarterback is Caleb Williams. The problem? Josh Allen became the exception that reshaped expectations for every talented but unfinished quarterback who followed. 🧵
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Steven Patton รีทวีตแล้ว
📢First Run NFL Projections are LIVE @StatRankings 📊
Updated as camp, injuries, & news dictate.
➡️ Statrankings.com/nfl/players/pr… ⬅️
Last free month before StatRankings+ drops⌛️
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YPRR through two NFL seasons:
Legette - 1.05
Harry - 0.93
You got me!
Trent Kennison@barfalonie
@DevyEusuf Harry 309 yards is his high nice comp lol look at XL yards
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@captaincaleb18 @RapSheet @glose_matt Jalen Coker outproduced every Bears wide receiver in one playoff game this past postseason.
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@RapSheet @glose_matt This is one of the craziest overpays I've ever seen
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The #Panthers and WR Jalen Coker agreed to terms on a 3-year extension worth $35M with incentives up to $41M, per agent @glose_matt.
This deal comes now for Coker, who was set to be an exclusive rights free agent this year and an RFA next year. He’s set to be free again at 27.
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The conversation around Caleb Williams' leap to stardom has centered on glimpses of his ceiling.
The concern isn't talent. It's whether he can consistently take advantage of what's already there.
Full article: open.substack.com/pub/pattonanal…
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Bears QB coach JT Barrett recently described the next step in Caleb Williams' development as:
"Less is more."
The numbers support it. x.com/danwiederer/st…
Dan Wiederer@danwiederer
A few weeks ago, Bears QBs coach J.T. Barrett used the phrase "Do less" as a guide for Caleb Williams to understand the efficiency he is being asked to play with. Ben Johnson elaborated and enlightened today. "We’re asking Caleb to continue to grow within the offense. There are times when the primary receiver is open. We want to deliver him an accurate football within the timing of the play -- and then progress if the protection allows us. "So it’s just taking that up to the next level. It’s also understanding what the premier coverages are for some of our concepts. And if we’re not getting those coverages, how can we accelerate to No. 2 and No. 3 or do I need to make them pay with my legs? So, it’s just another level of understanding."
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Every offseason, fans and analysts try to project the next Josh Allen.
This year, that quarterback is Caleb Williams.
The problem?
Josh Allen became the exception that reshaped expectations for every talented but unfinished quarterback who followed. 🧵
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Simmons is closer to Darnell Washington in size than he is to Tristan Wirfs
Jesse Newell@jessenewell
Here's a comparison of Chiefs LT Josh Simmons from Nov. 19 last year (after he returned to team from family absence) to today (June 9). Simmons said his bigger frame is side effect of working out every day. Says he's around 285-290 pounds now and hopes to get to 300 for Week 1.
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@Deuce1042 QB13 in EPA per play and QB10 in QBR that year. Good player, but there’s a reason why he never received MVP consideration.
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Well, no because the most valuable player was Tom Brady. This is where Russ fans lose me.
🐅🦅@warrenmoonhof
In 2017 Russell Wilson scored 37 of Seattles 38 touchdowns and didn’t win MVP. Which, he should’ve over Brady. NO PLAYER HAS EVER accounted for that much of their teams TD. 97.4% of the teams TD all but ONE. Yardage was also 86.4% which is highest ever as well.
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@J_Lee_23 Someone who hasn’t received a single MVP vote doesn’t deserve to be in the conversation with a 2x MVP
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@PattonAnalytics Thank you for this. We don't need to conflate Russell Wilson with an all time great QB
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@PattonAnalytics Drake maye played two additional games that year with an extra 60 attempts. What are we talking about
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@PattonAnalytics Is only Jalen didn't get pulled from multiple games, you know since he didn't need the entire 4th quarter in many of these games to win
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