Jess Koncz

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Jess Koncz

Jess Koncz

@RedDevilWine

CMS sommelier, McEwan Groupie, retired CPGA pro, grumpy old muppet chirping from the balcony

Haldimand-Norfolk, Ontario เข้าร่วม Mart 2012
1.5K กำลังติดตาม637 ผู้ติดตาม
Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
Axiomatic Enemy of the State
Axiomatic Enemy of the State@DeTocqueville14·
Anyone else ever get the feeling that there are group of people who know that the ship is sinking and they are stealing everything that isn't nailed down as they load up the life rafts for themselves??
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Jay Anderson
Jay Anderson@TheProjectUnity·
Every night human beings go to sleep, lose all sense of their known reality, plunge into an abstract hyper-dimensional realm of infinite experience where time collapses, all moments instantly manifest, and then they wake up and just go about their day.
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Marc Lévesque
Marc Lévesque@MarcLevesqueEco·
It’s unfortunate that the CPC is trying to politicize the appointment of a new PBO and is spreading misinformation to do so. « The rightful PBO »? He was interim and his term — which is a maximum of 6 months by law — expired. He is not « the rightful PBO ».
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Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I placed $1.5 billion in futures at 6:50 AM. Fourteen minutes before President Trump's Truth Social post. That's generous. Usually, I get five. The S&P was barely breathing. Premarket Monday. The kind of quiet where a single order echoes through the entire book. I bought $1.5 billion in futures. The index moved 0.3% on my entry alone. That's how thin the market was. That's how empty the room was. At the same time, I shorted $192 million in crude oil. Then I sat there. Three screens. One coffee. The futures blinking green on the left, the oil contract bleeding red on the right, and in the center, a Truth Social feed set to refresh every four seconds. Fourteen minutes is a long time when you know what's coming. Not because I was nervous. Because I was early. At 7:04 AM, the president posted. Productive discussions. Five-day halt on strikes. Peace talks with Iran. S&P jumped 2.5%. Oil cratered 6%. My position gained $60 million before most Americans' alarm clocks went off. Good morning. Iran later denied that the talks ever happened. Called it fake news. The speaker of their parliament accused the president of manipulating financial markets. The talks might not be real. The sixty million dollars is. The analytics accounts flagged it within the hour. "Unusual activity." "Orders 4-6x larger than anything else trading at the time." That's their word for it. Unusual. My word for it is Tuesday. They always flag it. That's their function. Flagging is not investigating. Flagging is the system's way of noting that it saw something, documenting that it will do nothing, and calling that process oversight. The actual investigation is conducted by the CFTC. The CFTC has one commissioner. Out of five seats. One. The other four chairs are empty. Not vacant. Emptied. There is a difference. Vacant means nobody applied. Emptied means somebody decided the body responsible for policing futures markets should not have enough members to hold a vote. That's not negligence. That's architecture. You know what we call this pattern on the desk? TACO. Trump Always Chickens Out. Escalate on Friday, capitulate on Monday, and extract in the window between the decision and the post. It's so reliable, we named it. We have a private Slack channel. #taco-tuesday. It updates automatically when Truth Social pushes a new geopolitical keyword. We don't teach it as insider trading. We teach it as a market structure. New analysts learn it in their first week. By the second week, they stop flinching. The phone rang at 6:47 AM. Three minutes before I entered the position. The call lasted ninety seconds. Ninety seconds of context. $60 million of outcome. You call that insider trading. I understand why. Insider trading is the word you learned. It's the crime from the movies. The whispered merger at a cocktail party. Four hundred shares of a mid-cap pharmaceutical. That gets prosecuted. That's the version of this crime the system was built to catch. What I do is different. I place $1.5 billion against a war decision made in a room I have the phone number to. On a platform overseen by a commission with one member. In a market where the president's social media account is the most powerful price-setting mechanism on earth. That's not insider trading. That's infrastructure. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your brother-in-law. I made $60 million trading on a war. The difference is not the crime. The difference is the decimal point. Americans paid for this war with four-dollar gas and sixteen billion in taxes. I paid for a phone call. We are not in the same economy. Last month, $529 million was wagered on Polymarket's Iran strikes market. Six accounts pocketed $1.2 million. Deposited funds the same day. Hours before the bombs fell. One account cleared $553,000 at 17% odds, seventy-one minutes before public confirmation. He has not placed another bet since. The president's son sits on Polymarket's advisory board. Two federal investigations into the platform were quietly dropped this year. Twelve government officials sold stocks in the weeks before the tariff crash. All of them reported the sales after the deadline. Nobody calls any of that insider trading. They call it prediction markets. Delayed disclosures. Portfolio rebalancing. I call it the junior varsity version of what I do with futures. An Oxford law professor called it the most far-reaching securities fraud in history. We call it the window. Tomorrow, this will be gone. Buried under a new tariff. A new ultimatum. A new TACO. Next Monday at 6:50 AM, I will be here again. Coffee. Three screens. The phone. The ninety-second call. The fourteen-minute window. The game isn't rigged. Rigged implies something broke. Nothing broke. Every component is functioning exactly as specified. The one-member commission. The anonymous platforms. The four-second refresh on the Truth Social feed. The phone that rings at 6:47. I didn't exploit a flaw in the system. I am the system.
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Jon Miller
Jon Miller@MillerStream·
so you’re telling me 5 min before trump announced a ceasefire, someone in his inner circle loaded up on a perfectly-timed trade (long stocks, short oil), walked away with billions, and then we the plebs are told $8 gas is just “the price of freedom” so just get less starbucks ???
unusual_whales@unusual_whales

BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains. Unusual.

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Jess Koncz
Jess Koncz@RedDevilWine·
@BlindTasters Its very much part of the equation, but like the others, far from the only ones.
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Wine Blind Tasting
Wine Blind Tasting@BlindTasters·
There are wines that, on first impression, are objectively v good, but that then prove difficult to drink—& I think that too, drinkability, should be part of quality assessment. And I wonder what it is exactly that makes a wine drinkable?
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
GIDEON MUFC
GIDEON MUFC@GBUnitedx·
🚨🚨 Referee Stuart Artwell, who oversaw Manchester United's game against Bournemouth on Friday night, has officiated 24 Manchester United matches across all competitions. A review of the numbers reveals that United players were given 2 red cards, while opposition players received no red cards. Additionally, United players received 46 yellow cards compared to 8 for the opposition. Manchester United's results in these matches were 5 losses and 5 draws. This dude is a big Man Utd hater
GIDEON MUFC tweet media
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Republicans against Trump
Republicans against Trump@RpsAgainstTrump·
BREAKING: In a desperate effort to help Hungarian autocrat Viktor Orban, a close ally of the Kremlin, win the April election, where polls show he’s expected to lose, Russia’s foreign intelligence service (SVR) reportedly proposed “the Gamechanger,” a staged assassination attempt to boost support for him, The Washington Post reports. “Such an incident will shift the perception of the campaign out of the rational realm of socioeconomic questions into an emotional one, where the key themes will become state security and the stability and defense of the political system,” operatives wrote in a report prepared for the SVR’s main political influence unit.
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Barney Panofsky's Best Intentions
Transcript of Trump's very productive call with Iran: *ring ring* Iran: Hello? Trump: Yes. This is President Trump! I would like to have a very in-depth, detailed and constructive conversation about this war Joe Biden started! Iran: Sir, this is a Wendy's drive-thru.
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Brian Krassenstein
Brian Krassenstein@krassenstein·
Trump just TACO’d 12 hours before his deadline to blow up iran‘s energy infrastructure.
Brian Krassenstein tweet media
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Marc Lévesque
Marc Lévesque@MarcLevesqueEco·
You can’t simultaneously criticize Trudeau for having excessively grown the size of public service and then, criticize Carney for reducing it. This shows just how unserious these types are.
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William Shatner
William Shatner@WilliamShatner·
At 95, I'm still smokin'! 😝 I’ve learned two things: Never waste a good cigar. Never trust anyone who says you should ‘act your age.’ 😉👍🏻
William Shatner tweet media
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
Lemon
Lemon@Lemonbriz·
10 things I secretly want at the end of the season; 1. Pep Guardiola to leave Man City 2. Arsenal to bottle all the trophies 3. Manchester United to hire Luis Enrique 4. Liverpool to play conference league 5. Tottenham to get relegated 6. Manchester United to sign Tonali 7. Chelsea to…….. show more
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
Fabrizio Romano
Fabrizio Romano@FabrizioRomano·
🚨0️⃣ Tottenham have recorded zero Premier League wins since the start of 2026.
Fabrizio Romano tweet media
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
FootballAwaydays
FootballAwaydays@Awaydays23·
Sunderland arriving in Newcastle today #SAFC
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
Dean Withers
Dean Withers@itsdeaann·
Trump has called for the execution of democrats. He’s celebrated their deaths… and now he’s calling them the greatest enemy of the state. This isn’t normal. Remove him from office. He is a threat to the moral fabric of this nation.
Dean Withers tweet media
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Jess Koncz รีทวีตแล้ว
Alice
Alice@AliceTalksFooty·
Crazy to think Ten Hag has already come and gone, built arguably the worst Man United squad in Premier League history, and still managed to win more trophies than Arteta has with Arsenal.
Alice tweet mediaAlice tweet media
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