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Scotchnot
34K posts

Scotchnot
@ScotchNot
You never have to convince anyone to be conservative. All you have to do is make sure people have something of value then wait for a liberal to come take it.
เข้าร่วม Mayıs 2020
2.2K กำลังติดตาม1.5K ผู้ติดตาม
Scotchnot รีทวีตแล้ว

@DemocraticWins So it's ok to fund your own campaign if you are a trust fund kid and then enrich yourself after taking office? How has Centene Corp received over 20 billion dollars in state contracts from Illinois after his blind trust invested in it after he took office in 2019?

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@DemocraticWins Put him on a stage against @GovRonDeSantis . Would love to see a successful governor tell this guy to stfu…
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@l33veal @rektfencer Tarp I and II then Covid gave democrats the impression we could continually print money. Here we are…
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@John61926629 @MikeLevin We literally did? We’ve killed 2 or 3 “nacho supreme “ leaders based on their location divulged from insiders? youtu.be/PluduMR6ohQ?si…

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@ScotchNot @MikeLevin You haven't learned a thing
There's no military comparison between Venezuela and Iran. And it's apparent we did not make a deal with Khomeini's right hand (like we did in Venezuela)
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Six months before bombing Iran and closing the Strait of Hormuz, the Trump administration fired all the State Department oil and gas experts.
The people who modeled exactly this scenario.
The ones with contacts at Gulf energy ministries.
Now nobody knows who to call.
You cannot make this up. notus.org/trump-white-ho…
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@FernandoLeanme @MikeLevin The two are unrelated
-Except being orchestrated and executed by the State Department and US Military?
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@ScotchNot @MikeLevin The two are unrelated, and from what I see going on in Venezuela, Trump didn't accomplish much for the Venezuelan people. The dictatorship is essential intact and the abuses continue. All we see is a few American officials parading around with Chevron employees.
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@CaimDark @MikeLevin So the experts he listened to just a few weeks ago who pulled off the capture of Maduro were not listened to by Trump in this scenario right?
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We are talking about Trump. Nobody is saying the entire military and state apparatus was unable to anticipate the fallout. Everyone and their mother warned about this exact same scenario for years.
That's not the issue. The issue is who Trump listens to and what he himself believed, since he's the one making the decision. His aversion to expert opinions or any opinion he doesn't like is widely known.
And for the record, if you believe my location or number of followers matter more than the substance of what I write, that's a choice.
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@vigilpamela1 @ChrisEyles6 @MikeLevin "This allegation echoes speculative reports, such as analyses questioning the raid's ease, but no peer-reviewed or official evidence confirms bribery; Rodríguez has since led an interim government under US oversight, focusing on oil sector reforms." x.com/i/grok/share/5…
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@ChrisEyles6 @ScotchNot @MikeLevin Venezuela was an inside job. The vice president of Venezuela was more than happy to accept a bribe and become president, helping Trump snatch Maduro.
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So - first I will acknowledge I am responding to a foreign account with 175 followers and likely not any of the countries they listed. Secondly - you are injecting fanatical love for Trump as a component of the argument - not addressing the disconnect that a military and state department have to be capable of planning something like the capture of a foreign president on a highly secured compound while simultaneously incapable of anticipating fallout of bombing Iran.
We are not talking about Trump - we are talking about the State Department and the Military.
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If you don't believe Donald Trump didn't anticipate the fallout, all you have to do is listen to the man himself.
The comparison with Venezuela is tempting, but the definition of weapons and orange. The U.S had plenty of inside help inside Venezuela, met very little resistance and the new government was immediately pliant.
Iran was anything but, and showed a determination to fight to the death if need be. It's hardly surprising, or really shouldn't be, that highly indoctrinated religious fanatics who venerate martyrdom wouldn't be nearly as afraid of fighting and dying as gangs who don't believe in anything beyond power and money. To see the difference, all you have to do is believe your own eyes more than the voice of Donald Trump.
But let's imagine, for the sake of argument, the Supreme Leader does walk on water, sees all, and anticipated it would play out exactly how did.
That he'd choose to do it anyways is just as bad, if not worse.
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Ok - I'll make this easy for you
We obviously rehearsed the capture of Maduro. This establishes the fact that there was thought into possible outcomes. It was a military + state dept operation.
Weeks later, another military operation takes place and the original post is saying no one modeled the possible fallout - by the same military and state dept.
No one is saying they were similar operations - we are saying they were both processes conceived and executed by the same group weeks apart but the emphasis of the original post is there were no 'experts' available and the closing was not anticipated by the administration.
Which is stupid on it's face... Obviously not true...
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@ScotchNot @MikeLevin Anyone thinking Venezuela’s military and political set up can be likened to Iran’s, shows utter ignorance of just how deeply entrenched Iran’s regime is. Trump hasn’t understood Iran at all. But if he leaves them in power now they’ll be all the more dangerous in time to come.
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Threats like this should be as illegal as threatening to hurt a public offical. Honest to god - you need to put someone in jail, just one and make it rough and televised. The shock of approval is what they fear - and you just wont give it to us... @AGPamBondi
Myrna 𝕏@GigaBeers
Ass wipe Susan
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Scotchnot รีทวีตแล้ว

@zerohedge If we can prove the nomination was autopen, we could remove him from this lifetime appointment.

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'Radical' Biden Judge Reverses RFK Jr. On Trans-Child Surgeries, Other Procedures zerohedge.com/medical/radica…
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Scotchnot รีทวีตแล้ว

@ScotchNot @MikeLevin Ur a fucking imbecile those 2 scenarios r vastly different… night & day
Trump is not a few steps ahead. He has benefited from incompetent media, cowardly politicians,bots on social media, paid influencers,Fox News,
Fake Christians,corruption, and it helps that he has a cult
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I WISH someone would ask him what the fallout in regards to Russia will be? I was thinking about this - Venezuelan, Iranian and Russian oil was embargoed but still being sold to China. Once it's Russia alone, the embargo becomes effective.
Should we not be looking to Moscow soon for capitulation with Ukraine and - was this the plan all along?
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𝗩𝗗𝗛: 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗦 𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗔𝗟𝗟 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘 𝗗𝗜𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡.
Victor Davis Hanson has spent fifty years studying how wars end. When he says the tide is turning, it's worth listening to why.
His argument isn't based on what the Pentagon is saying. It's based on how everyone else is behaving.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀. VDH's rule: Europeans never agree to go anywhere near a conflict unless they think the winning side has already been determined. They didn't help in the early days. Now they're starting to move. That movement is not idealism. It's a calculation. They've looked at the battlefield and decided which way this ends.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝘂𝗹𝗳 𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗼-𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀. The Saudis, the Emiratis, the Qataris — these governments have survived for generations by reading the regional climate with precision. When they expel Iranian military attachés, when they intercept Iranian missiles over their own capitals and say nothing about American strikes, when the UAE reaffirms its $1.4 trillion investment commitment to the United States mid-war — they are not making ideological statements. They are placing bets. And they are betting on the United States.
𝗔𝗹 𝗝𝗮𝘇𝗲𝗲𝗿𝗮. This is the one that should stop you cold. Al Jazeera — the Qatari state media network, historically critical of American military action, the network Tucker Carlson and the anti-war right love to cite against Israel — is now calling the U.S. bombing campaign brilliant and effective, and saying it has been underestimated. When the media outlet of a nation that hosts both the largest American air base in the Middle East and a Hamas political office starts praising American military effectiveness, the message is unmistakable: 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘸𝘦'𝘳𝘦 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘸𝘪𝘯.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹. A-10 Warthogs and Apache helicopter gunships are now flying strike missions in Iranian airspace at will. VDH's point: you only deploy those aircraft when there is effectively no air defense left to threaten them. They are slow, low-flying, close-support platforms. Their presence confirms what the Pentagon has been claiming — Iran has no meaningful air defense remaining.
Iran's strategy now is rope-a-dope. Run out the clock. Wait for American public opinion to shift. Hope the midterms create political pressure on Trump to stop. It is the only play they have left.
VDH's conclusion: if Trump sees it through — and he believes he will — the regime falls. Not in years. 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘁𝘆 𝘀𝗼𝗼𝗻.
𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗱𝗼, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝗮𝘆. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮.
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@EricLDaugh STOP letting her caucus with Republicans. At best she's obviously not one and at worst shes reporting back to democrats what is going on behind closed doors.
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Here is my barometer. If it's working, and I think it is - Putin's going to reach out and want to bring an end to Ukraine war. He can't continue with Iran under new management, sanctioning both Iran and Russia made a pretty affordable secondary market. Russia alone will be disastrous.
Keep an eye on Russia. They cant afford to let Iran fall and they cant afford to lose Ukraine but they will have to choose between both.
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IRAN'S STRATEGIC POWER NOW COLLAPSING FAST - Muhanad Seloom On Iran War x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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