财报农民｜期权笔记

@GregProctor I LOVE options too

All of the my 2800 $TSLA shares are covered with covered calls and because of the Wednesday-Friday 7% run up in share price, they are down about 100%. I'm not concerned and here's why. Wednesday Morning $TSLA opened at $386. I decided to get cute and sell 28 CCs expiring that day at $407.5. I've been experimenting with the new intra-week expiration dates that the CBOE put into affect a few months back. By mid-afternoon I was in the money. What I've learned over time, particularly with $TSLA, is that you can almost always roll out of covered call losses. So instead of letting my shares get taken away, I rolled my covered calls to June 18 (45ish DTE) at $450 strikes. Thankfully I did because $TSLA continued to run and by Friday we were sitting at $428 a share. Now, what do I do from here? Well if we continue to run, I'll roll out again before I get ITM. Eventually $TSLA will stop running, my CCs will decay away and I'll profit. If $TSLA does not stop running, someone is going to take assignment of my shares in the $500s or $600s and I'll keep the premium and share appreciation up to the top. I hope to market forces me to continue rolling up and out.🤞 If you can't tell, I LOVE options.

🎯 Watchlist for 5/11 (Monday) → $ASTS $75: earnings Mon — 269K daily contracts, IC setup → $MNDY $72: earnings Mon — IVR 99%, best IC win rate 70.1% → $CSCO $92: earnings Wed 5/13 — best remaining window → $INTC $124: protection puts = longs staying, $110 target long exceeded → $MU $746: $700 protection puts appearing → $MCHP $99: 108K contract signal — new institutional position (5/5)

⚡ $INTC — Smart money protecting $52% gains Stock at $124.92 (was $82 when first flagged) → Put $109 May 22 (DTE 13) | Vol/OI = 88.72x — longs hedging → Put $120 May 15 (DTE 6) | Vol/OI = 36x — short-term insurance → Call $170 May 15 (DTE 6) | Vol/OI = 157x — still buying upside! Profit protection appearing = healthy, not exiting. (4/5)

🔥 $MCHP — Today's massive signal → $75 Call Sep 18 (DTE 132) | 108,203 contracts | Vol/OI = 284.74x → Stock at $99 | $75 strike = deeply ITM → 10.8M share-equivalent exposure Highest Vol/OI we've seen this month. Institution building a massive MCHP position via deep ITM calls. (2/5)

📌 IC Reminder for next week → $CSCO 5/13 = highest conviction IC this week → $ASTS Mon 5/11 = highest liquidity (269K daily) → Enter 1 day before print, exit 30 min after → Stop: 2x credit | Take profit: 50% Weekend watchlist: $MCHP $INTC $MU $AMD $TSLA $CSCO (5/5)

🚀 This month's smart money scorecard $INTC: $82 → $124 (+52%) ✅ $MU: $524 → $746 (+42%) ✅ $AMD: $341 → $455 (+33%) ✅ $QCOM: $148 → $219 (+48%) ✅ $TSLA: $398 Jul17 calls (5/7) → $428 stock (+7.5%) ✅ All signals: Vol/OI >30x + Ask-side + DTE >30 days. (4/5)

🎯 Best IC setup this week: $CSCO earnings 5/13 Wed → IVR near 100% | $92 | credit $1.09 | 65.7% win rate → Q2 EPS +37% YoY — strong fundamentals → Enter Mon/Tue — IC window closes 5/12 🚀 $ASTS earnings Mon 5/11 → IVR 89.2% | $75 | 269K daily contracts ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ → credit $1.23 | 64.8% win rate (2/5)

【EP16】从239跌到90，跌了超60%，我在这里重仓买入了$NOW ServiceNow，企业AI的「控制塔」： → 整合任意AI模型，运行在950亿条工作流数据上 → 85%财富500强是客户，护城河极深 Q1 2026超预期： → 订阅收入+22%，AI产品大客户+130% → FCF利润率44% AI浪潮正从基础设施层向应用层推进，这是下一个主战场。 youtube.com/watch?v=4muZYl…

🎯 Watchlist for 5/11 (Monday) → $MSFT $420: $500 Nov call signal → recovery thesis building → $CSCO $92: earnings Wed 5/13, IVR 100% → best IC entry Monday → $TSLA $411: Jul17 $390/$395 calls → momentum holding → $GOOGL: $450 Aug call accumulation continuing → $WDAY $130: earnings 5/21, IVR 97% → IC setup next week → $MU $646: institutions selling $850 puts = extreme bull conviction (5/5)

⚡ $TSLA — Today's data → $412.50 Call May 11 (DTE 4) | Vol/OI = 70.21x — new position ✅ → Hundreds of thousands of DTE 1 puts = expiry day noise, ignore → Stock at $411.79, up from $398 yesterday Yesterday's $390/$395 Jul17 ASK-side calls now deeper ITM. Directional thesis intact. (4/5)

📊 Options Flow Breakdown — May 8, 2026 Sentiment: Neutral | Key signals: $MSFT — strongest directional call signal in weeks $GOOGL — post-earnings institutions still buying $TSLA $411 (+3.5%) — yesterday's Jul17 calls paying off (1/5)

📌 IC Reminder → $CSCO 5/13 = best remaining setup this week → Enter 1 day before, exit 30 min after print → Stop: 2x credit | Take profit: 50% Weekend watchlist: $MSFT $GOOGL $AMD $TSLA $CSCO $MU (5/5)

🚀 This week's smart money validation $TSLA $390/$395 Jul17 Call (flagged yesterday) → stock +3.5% to $411 today ✅ $AMD: $341 → $421 (+23%) post-earnings ✅ $MU: $524 → $646 (+23%) this week ✅ $INTC: $82 → $110 (+34% from first signal) ✅ (4/5)

📊 IV Crush Calendar — May 8, 2026 Light earnings Friday. But one setup stands out before the weekend. Smart money keeps delivering: $QCOM $202 (+5%) | $WDAY $130 (+7%) Top IC + signals 👇 (1/5)