Utku Kaya

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Utku Kaya

Utku Kaya

@Utkurocks

built @fash_ai & more | 23’ machine

เข้าร่วม Ocak 2019
865 กำลังติดตาม835 ผู้ติดตาม
mtc.moca
mtc.moca@0xmeto_·
Eğer vaktiniz varsa ve Discord rollerini kasmayı seviyorsanız, şu projelere odaklanabilirsiniz: >@KASTxyz - 2 tane Discord rolü var. Rekabet az ve roller kolay alınabiliyor. TGE bu yıl olacağı için hızlı kazanç potansiyeli var. >@bulktrade -Rolleri almak çok zor ama çok az kişide var bu sebeple değerli olabilir. (Telegram kanalında takılmaya özen gösterin. Ekip genelde orda oluyor.) >@domaprotocol - Paradigm yatırımları var ve TGE bu yıl gerçekleşecek. >@minara - Circle’dan 10 milyon doların üzerinde yatırım aldı. İçeride çok sayıda Asyalı kullanıcı var. Halihazırda gelir üreten bir proje ve rolleri almak zor değil. Discord rollerinin en güzel yanı, maliyetsiz airdrop sağlamaları. Vaktinizi riske atıyorsunuz; bazen değiyor, bazen değmiyor. Ancak bu projeler sağlam yatırımlı ve gelir üreten projeler. Hem network oluşturabilir, hem X hesabınızı büyütebilir hem de maliyetsiz airdrop kazanabilirsiniz. Kolay Gelsin. N.F.A
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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
@nusretuzman ben bunu denedim bir kaç video direkt abdde görüntülenmesine rağmen sonraki videolar 100 izlenmeyi bile geçemedi
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Nusret Uzman
Nusret Uzman@nusretuzman·
İstifa ediyorum, Her şeye yetişmeye çalışmaktan yoruldum, bu haftalarda yeni yollar aramaya başlıyorum, aşırı bıkmışlık siniri var üstümde..
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Nusret Uzman@nusretuzman

@ssarisen @gunaydindev @marifdev biz hep böyle dağ bayır geçmeye mi çalışıcaz... istifa ediyorum

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Nusret Uzman
Nusret Uzman@nusretuzman·
Bana gece gece ai ile reklam yapma perileri geldi ve ortaya çıkan bu... Şimdi sıra insanları hooklayacak içerikler bulmak :D Bir de Fal kredisi (ALO FAL YETKİLİLERİ)
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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
THE $1,000,000 POLYMARKET STRATEGY Some time ago, I built "5rcks .fun" and shared it with you. The system allocates 5–10% of its bankroll per trade and splits positioning based on three analytical models: - BTC Technical Analysis - Orderbook Analysis - Odds Analysis Since the initial post, the simulation system went completely REKT once. It then restarted with $1,000 and, over time, delivered strong performance, eventually surpassing the $1M mark. Of course, this is purely a simulation. Achieving the same level of profitability in real market conditions would have been impossible. The reasons are clear: Insufficient liquidity, Volatile odds and Slippage at larger position sizes. However, if the system is applied using smaller, controlled position sizes, the outlook becomes more realistic. Example scenario: - 56% win rate - 1,280 total predictions - $80–$100 per trade Results: - 711 winning predictions × $180 payout (purchased at $90 with ~50% implied odds) - 569 losing predictions × $90 loss Total outcome: - $127,980 gross revenue - $76,770 net profit Because the system sizes trades proportionally to bankroll, both gains and risks compound as capital grows. This creates the potential for larger profits; but also significantly larger drawdowns. In short: If you have a real edge on Polymarket and apply it through a disciplined automated system, building a scalable model may be possible. This was purely an experimental automation test and does not guarantee profits.
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Utku Kaya@Utkurocks

There is a structural inefficiency in Polymarket 5-minute BTC markets. Most people try to predict price. Winners read the odds. @Polymarket resolves markets using @chainlink oracle data. We track live price from Binance. Here is the issue: Chainlink public feed is delayed. In some 5-minute windows, there can be a $200–300 gap between Binance price action and the resolve price. So even if you predict direction correctly, you can still lose. The real edge isn’t price direction. It’s detecting where the odds are mispriced. That’s why I built a two-layer system: I. Ensemble Signal Engine – 40% Binance technicals (RSI, EMA 9/21, VWAP, momentum) – 35% Polymarket orderbook (depth, spread, whale walls) – 25% Mispricing detection No trade if edge <5%. Position sizing via Kelly. II. Last 30-second strategy If one side hits 90%+ probability: $0.90 → $1.00 resolve ≈ 11% trade. Small. Repeatable. Currently running in simulation mode: $1,000 virtual capital, real market resolution. You can track strategy performance live. See win rate, PnL, Sharpe, equity curve. Build and backtest your own strategy. 5rcks . fun Not financial advice. But data changes how you see markets.

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holosko.eth
holosko.eth@holosko_eth·
I was wondering which @tatsu_nyc character I would be, so I built a small site for it. You take a short quiz, it generates your own @tatsu_nyc identity card, and you can download and share it instantly. tatsu-quiz.vercel.app The results turned out pretty solid. Try it and share yours 👇
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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
@adylmert bu yorumlardaki kudurukluğun sebebi nedir xd, bol şans güzel iş.
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adil mert
adil mert@adylmert·
son bir yılda 40'ın üzerinde uygulama sattım. bunu yapabileceğim bir kitlem olduğu için, zorlanmadım. bu süreçte yüzlerce 'uygulamam var, nasıl alıcı bulurum?' veya 'param var, para getirecek uygulamalara yatırım yapmak istiyorum' minvalinde mesaj aldım. büyük beklentilerim yok, tamamen ücretsiz kullanılabilecek bir app marketplace'i inşa ediyorum. @letsflip_app birkaç güne yayında olacak.
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voh
voh@vohvohh·
Avalanche’s $1m Hackathon kicks off today Some quick stats: > 2,000+ applications > 400+ builders on the kickoff call > 50+ countries represented > Applications spanning across RWAs, Games, Loyalty, Ticketing, Consumer, AI, and more Very excited to see builders build 🛠️
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Avalanche Foundation 🔺
Avalanche Foundation 🔺@AvalancheFDN·
The Avalanche Foundation congratulates all teams accepted into Build Games 🥶 If you’re in, let us know ⬇️
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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
There is a structural inefficiency in Polymarket 5-minute BTC markets. Most people try to predict price. Winners read the odds. @Polymarket resolves markets using @chainlink oracle data. We track live price from Binance. Here is the issue: Chainlink public feed is delayed. In some 5-minute windows, there can be a $200–300 gap between Binance price action and the resolve price. So even if you predict direction correctly, you can still lose. The real edge isn’t price direction. It’s detecting where the odds are mispriced. That’s why I built a two-layer system: I. Ensemble Signal Engine – 40% Binance technicals (RSI, EMA 9/21, VWAP, momentum) – 35% Polymarket orderbook (depth, spread, whale walls) – 25% Mispricing detection No trade if edge <5%. Position sizing via Kelly. II. Last 30-second strategy If one side hits 90%+ probability: $0.90 → $1.00 resolve ≈ 11% trade. Small. Repeatable. Currently running in simulation mode: $1,000 virtual capital, real market resolution. You can track strategy performance live. See win rate, PnL, Sharpe, equity curve. Build and backtest your own strategy. 5rcks . fun Not financial advice. But data changes how you see markets.
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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
You can track real-time performance data at 5rcks.fun. On aggregate, the “Last Seconds” strategy has been the most consistent performer. 245 Wins / 10 Losses If we had direct access to @Polymarket live price feed for execution parity, the current 96% win rate could likely be closer to 99%. You can join the experiment by building your own strategies. 🔗 5rcks.fun/strategy3 Create custom bots, run backtests, and don’t forget to submit them to the leaderboard.
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks

There is a structural inefficiency in Polymarket 5-minute BTC markets. Most people try to predict price. Winners read the odds. @Polymarket resolves markets using @chainlink oracle data. We track live price from Binance. Here is the issue: Chainlink public feed is delayed. In some 5-minute windows, there can be a $200–300 gap between Binance price action and the resolve price. So even if you predict direction correctly, you can still lose. The real edge isn’t price direction. It’s detecting where the odds are mispriced. That’s why I built a two-layer system: I. Ensemble Signal Engine – 40% Binance technicals (RSI, EMA 9/21, VWAP, momentum) – 35% Polymarket orderbook (depth, spread, whale walls) – 25% Mispricing detection No trade if edge <5%. Position sizing via Kelly. II. Last 30-second strategy If one side hits 90%+ probability: $0.90 → $1.00 resolve ≈ 11% trade. Small. Repeatable. Currently running in simulation mode: $1,000 virtual capital, real market resolution. You can track strategy performance live. See win rate, PnL, Sharpe, equity curve. Build and backtest your own strategy. 5rcks . fun Not financial advice. But data changes how you see markets.

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Utku Kaya
Utku Kaya@Utkurocks·
One of the biggest reasons mentioned above is that this market needs to be approached probabilistically rather than purely through technical analysis. Polymarket and Chainlink data often do not align. data.chain.link/streams/btc-us…
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Jailed
Jailed@Jaileddotfun·
The Most Unhinged Prison Simulator Built on Solana registration is now live: jailed.fun close in 48h.
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