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WMMR 🇧🇪
44.2K posts
WMMR 🇧🇪
@WD4963
Aviation - Club Brugge - Geopolitics - Europe. Not specifically in that order Opinions are my own.
België เข้าร่วม Nisan 2011
1.5K กำลังติดตาม922 ผู้ติดตาม
@JohnCleese @RpsAgainstTrump Well, he's correct on one thing : Trumps second term will be studied for years or even decades to come.
Whether it will be studied as a miracle remains to be seen.
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Hard to believe this isn't a Monty Python sketch
Republicans against Trump@RpsAgainstTrump
Stephen Miller praised Trump for several minutes. Then Trump turned to Kash Patel and said, “Kash, see if you can top that.” Patel: “Mr. President, thank you for delivering the safest country on God’s green Earth.” Straight up North Korea vibes
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WMMR 🇧🇪 รีทวีตแล้ว
Bond Beter Leefmilieu (BBL) en Dryade verzetten zich tegen de CO₂-uitstoot van de BASF-kraker, maar lijken de bredere impact te negeren: elders bouwen betekent vaak méér uitstoot, hun afkeer van kernenergie verhoogt die nog, en intussen ondermijnen ze de economie ...
De Tijd@tijd
Milieubewegingen vechten vergunning BASF-kraker aan #Echobox=1774334759" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">tijd.be/ondernemen/che…
Nederlands
But what does Europe get in return?
- Beratement
- Tariffs
- Threats
- Hybrid war from within.
AND, we're seen as allies with the US.
Policy Tensor@policytensor
US forces have been pushed out of the region and have been operating largely from Europe. “In recent weeks, U.S. bombers, drones and ships have been fueled, armed and launched via bases in the U.K., Germany, Portugal, Italy, France and Greece, officials say.” This is really, really bad news for the all-important interdiction war because operating from this far means a much lower sortie rate, and therefore interdiction rate. wsj.com/world/europe/e…
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WMMR 🇧🇪 รีทวีตแล้ว
BREAKING. Thirty-six hours ago President Donald Trump said “obliterate.” This morning he said “productive conversations.” The question every trader, diplomat, and general is asking: what broke between Saturday night and Monday morning?
Six things broke simultaneously. Not one of them was Iranian.
First. The bill arrived. The Pentagon requested over $200 billion in supplemental funding. The war cost $11.3 billion in six days, $16.5 billion in twelve. At $1.38 billion per day and accelerating, congressional resistance to the supplemental is real. The money that was supposed to fund “days not weeks” now needs a vote that may not pass.
Second. The Fed killed the rate-cut thesis. On March 18, the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5 to 3.75 percent and revised its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 2.7 percent from 2.4, citing the Iran war energy shock. The dot plot shows one cut in all of 2026, down from two. Every basis point of delayed easing is pain for housing, credit, and the Magnificent Seven. The war that was supposed to demonstrate strength is demonstrating inflation.
Third. The allies revolted politely. Twenty-two countries signed up to coordinate on Hormuz. Zero committed a warship during combat. Japan is releasing strategic reserves. South Korea’s Kospi has fallen 12 percent. Europe’s gas surged 35 percent after Qatar’s LNG was knocked offline & declared force majeure up to 5 years. Trump called NATO “cowards” and got a press release. The coalition of the willing is a coalition of the waiting.
Fourth. TSMC sent the signal. Taiwan imports nearly 97 percent of its energy. Its LNG reserves cover 11 days. Qatar supplies a third of global helium, which TSMC needs for chip fabrication. The helium is bottled behind a closed strait. Every Nvidia GPU, every Apple chip, every AI cluster depends on a fab in Hsinchu counting its gas in single-digit days. The Magnificent Seven have shed hundreds of billions as energy rotation crushes tech.
Fifth. Birol named the damage. The IEA chief told Australia this morning that 40 energy assets across nine countries are severely damaged, global oil supply has fallen 11 million barrels per day, the crisis exceeds both 1970s shocks combined, and no country is immune. He named fertilisers and helium as interrupted flows. The man who runs global energy security called the war Trump started the worst energy crisis in modern history.
Sixth. The midterms. Gas prices are up 93 cents per gallon. Sixty-six percent of Americans call this a war of choice. Sixty percent disapprove. Fifty-seven percent say it is going badly. The numbers that matter in Washington are not barrels per day. They are approval ratings in swing states where voters fill their tanks every Tuesday.
Six pressures. One post. President Trump did not discover diplomacy. He discovered arithmetic. The 48-hour ultimatum was a threat. The 5-day pause is a confession that the threat’s consequences were worse than its target. Destroying power plants would have sealed the strait permanently, triggered Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” Gulf desalination and energy infrastructure, crashed TSMC’s supply chain, spiked inflation past 3 percent, and handed the midterms to the opposition on a platter of $7 gasoline.
The pause is real. The relief is not. The strait is still closed. The 40 assets are still damaged. The fertiliser is still blocked. The planting window is still closing. The five-day clock is already ticking.
The molecules do not negotiate. The molecules wait.
Full deep dive analysis:
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
BREAKING: In the last 24 hours, the 2026 Iran war crossed four thresholds simultaneously. Each one would be the lead story of any other week. Together they form the architecture of an escalation spiral that has no off-ramp visible from any capital on Earth. First. Iran struck Arad and Dimona in southern Israel on Saturday night, injuring approximately 180+ people. These are the towns nearest Israel’s Negev nuclear research centre. Tasnim confirmed the strikes were retaliation for Israel’s attack on the Natanz nuclear facility. Iranian missiles penetrated Israeli air defences and left large craters in residential areas. Prime Minister Netanyahu called it “a very difficult evening in the battle for our future.” The IRGC said it targeted military installations across five cities: Arad, Dimona, Eilat, Beersheba, and Kiryat Gat. Second. Israel continued strikes on Tehran and Isfahan overnight into Sunday. Massive joint US-Israeli air raids hit multiple areas of the capital. CENTCOM confirmed the US has now struck over 8,000 military targets across 23 days of war, including 130 Iranian vessels, which it called “the largest elimination of a navy over a three-week period since World War II.” Iran’s energy minister confirmed on Sunday that “the country’s vital water and electricity infrastructure has suffered heavy damage” from US and Israeli strikes, including “dozens of water transmission and treatment facilities” and “critical water supply networks.” Israel previously struck South Pars, Iran’s portion of the world’s largest gas field. Eighty percent of Iranian electricity comes from natural gas. The attack on South Pars directly threatens power generation for 90 million people. Third. President Trump posted his 48-hour ultimatum Saturday night: reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Monday evening or the US will “hit and obliterate” Iranian power plants “starting with the biggest one first.” Iran’s armed forces responded that the strait would be “completely closed” if power plants are hit. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf posted on X that all energy and oil infrastructure across the entire region would become “legitimate targets” and be “irreversibly destroyed.” That word “irreversibly” is doing the work of a thousand missiles. It means desalination plants. It means refineries. It means the infrastructure that produces drinking water for the Arabian Peninsula. Fourth. Saudi Arabia expelled Iranian diplomats. Riyadh declared the military attache, his deputy, and three other embassy members persona non grata with 24 hours to leave. This follows ongoing Iranian strikes on Saudi territory. Turkey’s foreign minister warned from Riyadh that Gulf countries may be forced to retaliate. The Gulf states, which have so far absorbed Iranian attacks without entering the war, are running out of room. Now hold all four escalations simultaneously. Iran strikes Israel’s nuclear doorstep. Israel and the US hammer Iranian water and power. Trump sets a 48-hour clock on power plant destruction. Iran promises permanent Hormuz closure and irreversible destruction of regional infrastructure if the clock runs out. Saudi expels Iranian diplomats. The Gulf moves toward belligerency. Brent trades above $113. WTI above $100. Goldman forecasts $110 to $125 for April with tail risk to $150. The IEA has released 400 million barrels of emergency reserves, the largest in history. The 48-hour clock expires Monday evening. Every barrel trapped in the Gulf is a barrel that does not become fertilizer. Every power plant destroyed in Iran is a megawatt that does not synthesise ammonia. Every desalination plant threatened in the Gulf is drinking water for millions. The war is no longer about missiles and territory. It is about molecules: water, nitrogen, helium, crude. The missiles are the mechanism. The molecules are the consequence. And the clock is ticking. Full Deep dive article - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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De Patriotten hadden dan toch gelijk : Orbán zorgt wel degelijk voor zijn volk... letterlijk 👇
Financial Times@FT
FT investigation finds 13 associates of Hungary’s premier won large share of state works after he took power. Read more here: ft.trib.al/oADdBWb
Nederlands
Obvious that in 48 Hr Trump changes his mind minimum twice.
Fox News@FoxNews
BREAKING: Trump orders Department of War to 'POSTPONE' strikes against Iran energy infrastructure for 5 days amid 'PRODUCTIVE' conversations about ending the fighting
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@DemisPeiremans @WD4963 Is zo .......binnenkort roepen op Trump
Nederlands
Interessant : De 'vredesduiven' die over 🇺🇦 roepen dat het "onze oolog niet is", "vrede willen" en ons waarschuwen dat de EU onze kinderen naar de loopgraven in 🇺🇦 wilt sturen, proberen ons nu wel een deelname aan Trumps totaal onvoorbereide oorlog in Iran te verpatsen.
Sam van Rooy MP@SamvanRooy1
Trump is right! And that includes 🇧🇪 Belgium! 👇🏻
Nederlands
Worden Europese hoofdsteden echt bedreigd door Iraanse intercontinentale raketten of zijn Israël en de VS wanhopig om hulp/kanonnenvoer uit Europa?
Greg Bagwell@gregbagwell
I am staying with “alleged” on this story. It’s been pushed by Israeli politicians and unnamed US officials with a line designed to widen the conflict. Yet, Iran deny it. Something doesn’t add up, and it would help to see some tangible evidence. The UK is right not to overreact.
Nederlands
WMMR 🇧🇪 รีทวีตแล้ว
De Iran is oorlog is een totale miskleun met dramatische economische gevolgen.
Er kan geen sprake zijn van deel te nemen daaraan.
Maar de bewuste desinformatie en/of militair analfabetisme van Vooruit en CD&V over de Belgische potentiële steunbijdrage aan partners is niet ok.
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@clamantis_vox @cdenv Ongeloofelijk hoe naïef die van de CD&V wel niet zijn.
Nederlands
WMMR 🇧🇪 รีทวีตแล้ว
Aan de predikers van "burgerlijke ongehoorzaamheid", inzake Ursel ala @hansvdw :
A) Ervaring in binnen-en buitenland leert ons dat natuur zeer goed gedijt op militair domein, veel beter zelfs dan op toegankelijke natuur.
#drongengoed #ursel
1/2
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@s_antisemitisme Geen vriend van Groen, verre van maar...gezien hoe jullie momenteel tekeer gaan in het MO, begint het geweeklaag zo langzaamaan een beetje... hypocriet te klinken.
En vergeet niet dat jullie grote leider gisteren z'n steun uitsprak voor de posterboy van extreem-rechts in Europa.
Nederlands
PERSBERICHT – JID
Groen voorzitter zaait haat. JID vraagt politiek om genuanceerde oplossingsgerichte statements.
Het Joods Informatie- en Documentatiecentrum JID reageert met grote bezorgdheid op de verkiezing van Aimen Horch als nieuwe voorzitter van Groen.
In mei 2021 deed Horch de volgende uitspraak op zijn X account; ‘Fuck Israël. Fuck de bedrijven die Eurovision sponseren en op de #BDS lijst staan’.
Zijn uitspraken van voor de Gaza oorlog tonen een uitgesproken vijandigheid en haat tegenover Israël – de enige Joodse staat ter wereld – en raken aan het principe van zelfbeschikking. Groen zet met de aanstelling van Horch de deur wagenwijd open voor een extremistische figuur met extreme denkbeelden.
Of je nu voor of tegen het Israëlische beleid bent, dit getuigt niet van oplossingsgericht denken, anders dan pure haatzaaierij richting achterban. Is dat waar Groen voor staat met Horch als nieuwe partijvoorzitter? Inclusiviteit van Groen stopt blijkbaar daar waar het de Joodse staat en het Joodse recht op zelfbeschikking betreft.
Het causaal verband tussen import van Israël haat en oplaaiend antisemitisme zou aandachtspunt moeten zijn voor elke politieke partij in België.
Wij roepen politici en politieke partijen op om met evenwichtige en genuanceerde oplossingen te komen. Uitspraken als deze zijn medeverantwoordelijk voor de trend van het oplaaiend antisemitisme dat zich op dit moment in ons land voordoet.
Politici hebben de taak om te verbinden, niet om verdeeldheid en haat te zaaien.
Nederlands
De klimaatopwarming is voorlopig het minste van onze problemen.
En cynisch genoeg net dankzij de voorvechters van de strijd tegen de klimaatopwarming.
vrtnws.be/p.jGJmw1A6x
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