If Iran says the future of the Strait of Hormuz will be decided only by Iran and Oman, that’s not just diplomacy it’s strategic positioning to exclude the U.S. and other major maritime powers from shaping a waterway that affects global energy markets. The strait isn’t a regional backyard project it’s a global chokepoint.
@BRICSinfo Since Iran and Oman border the strait, Hormuz role in global energy supply means decisions to control it will mainly represent Iran and Oman and will make regional actors dependent on it.
If Iran says the future of the Strait of Hormuz will be decided only by Iran and Oman, that’s not just diplomacy it’s strategic positioning to exclude the U.S. and other major maritime powers from shaping a waterway that affects global energy markets. The strait isn’t a regional backyard project it’s a global chokepoint.
BREAKING: President Trump shares Iran's new regime president has asked for a ceasefire:
"Iran’s New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the United States of America for a CEASEFIRE! We will consider when Hormuz Strait is open, free, and clear."
Trump’s April Fools “breaking news” is pure desperation. No Iranian official asked for anything. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed until the US stops the illegal aggression and sanctions. Iran’s new leadership is smarter, stronger, and will NEVER surrender sovereignty. The world is watching America’s lies crumble.
Iran doesn’t beg for ceasefires it FORCES respect from empire bullies!
Trump’s April Fools “breaking news” is pure desperation. No Iranian official asked for anything. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed until the US stops the illegal aggression and sanctions. Iran’s new leadership is smarter, stronger, and will NEVER surrender sovereignty. The world is watching America’s lies crumble.
💥BREAKING:
U.S. ADP employment change comes in at 18K vs 40K expected, while retail sales rise 0.2% vs 0.5% expected.
Growth is slowing faster than expected.
@cryptorover On Data ,🇺🇸 ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE:
EXPECTED: 41,000
ACTUAL: 62,000
It seems stronger than expected… but the real impact on markets is just getting started.
Yes, it seems like the timing of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard just threatened to target US tech firms (Apple, Google, Meta) starting at 8:00 p.m. Tehran time tonight. If there is a cyber-attack or a "parting shot" from Iran right before Trump speaks, it could flip the script from de-escalation back to a "Ground Invasion" footing in a heartbeat.
🚨 THE US-IRAN WAR FATE WILL BE DECIDED IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS
At 9pm ET today, President Trump will deliver a televised speech on Iran.
Most people are expecting a ground invasion announcement, while some are expecting a ceasefire.
Let me tell you 3 different scenarios and how the market would react to it:
1) End of war or Ceasefire
This will absolutely crash the oil prices.
Remember the 20% dump in Oil?
Today's crash could be even bigger if a ceasefire happens.
Stocks and crypto will skyrocket as a major uncertainty will end.
2) Ground invasion
If you're holding oil, you'll watch your portfolio skyrocket.
If you're holding stocks or crypto, you'll start looking for other jobs.
Any ground invasion announcement will crash the markets, similar to the 2025 tariff's announcement.
Oil could skyrocket to $120, stocks will dump 3%-4%, and the crypto market could experience a flash crash.
3) Nothing important
We have destroyed Iran.
There's nothing left to do.
NATO has betrayed us.
Iran is no longer a threat.
Our Military is the best
This will say nothing important but will still give a hint of de-escalation.
If this happens, Oil could drop 4%-5% while stocks could rally 1.5%-2%.
What do I think will happen?
IMO, a ground invasion is highly unlikely.
A complete ceasefire is also unlikely, so expecting some word gimmick that will indirectly hint that de-escalation is happening.
And a few things are hinting towards de-escalation too.
More vessels are passing through Strait.
Bond yields are dropping.
DXY dropped below 100.
Oil dropped below 100.
Now the market just wants to hear from Trump, and that's where the actual volatility will kick in.
💥BREAKING: All major broadcast TV networks will be interrupting their programming to air Trump’s address tonight.
It seems like a BIG announcement is coming...
Two scenarios to trade tonight. Ceasefire announcement: $BTC rips 8-12% overnight, oil drops 15%+, $SPY gaps up 3%+. Escalation: $BTC dumps below $65K, oil spikes past $115, VIX explodes. $SPY rallied 2.9% yesterday pricing in peace. If this is escalation, that entire move reverses by tomorrow open.