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RobForFriends
2.3K posts

RobForFriends
@World_0f_Crypto
Investor, trader and follower of Crypto since the bull of 2017
Amsterdam เข้าร่วม Kasım 2015
345 กำลังติดตาม215 ผู้ติดตาม

This is BTC vs Gold with each bear market highlighted.
Historically, these cycles tend to run about ~400 days.
2013-2015: 406 days
2017-2019: 399 days
2021-2022: 406 days
2024-2026: 427 days
If history rhymes, the move that follows shouldn’t surprise anyone. Pretty sure Peter Schiff is absolutely not going to enjoy where this chart is heading.

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@Diditaihuttu @DorkChicken @Bitcoin_ator Because this is BTC vs GOLD and not BTC vs USD. A bit different cycle
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@DorkChicken @Bitcoin_ator Why is your top in 2024?
The top was in 2025 again exactly 18 months after the halving.
Bottom traditionally 12 months after the top which would be September 2026.
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RobForFriends รีทวีตแล้ว

Bitcoin’s quantum defenses are progressing fast.
In the last 2 days, two major quantum-related updates came out for Bitcoin.
One prototype lets users recover their funds if quantum computers break current signatures.
Another proposal shows Bitcoin transactions can be made quantum-safe without changing the protocol.


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@Rob_Roos Ben het helemaal met je eens, maar wat voor tracker rij jij!? Geen kleintje iig
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Tanken €173 waarvan €90 belasting. Begin daar eens mee (r)overheid

Alexander Bakker@alexanderbakker
Oproep aan Brussel: extra taks op overwinst oliebedrijven telegraaf.nl/financieel/opr…
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@FalkTG If there wasn’t the The Netherlands, the UK, Germany etc, you would not be able to say us. So if you talk about history, take history as a whole not just the part which sounds more cool from one side
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I repeat:
The U.S. sent thousands of its 19 years old soldiers to die in Normandy, to free Europe and to end the biggest crime against humanity ever commited - by Europeans.
It was just 81 years ago.
The whole reason, France, Benelux etc. 🇫🇷 exist today is because of this heroism.
My grandparents could grow up in a liberal democracy. Without the U.S. they would be raised at the H*tler Youth.
We Europeans would still be in wars again and again, like 1914, 1866, 1870, 1795 etc.
They brought peace, democracy, liberty and human rights. They invested billions of U.S. Dollars into Europe with the Marshall Fund. They gave us more than we ever had in our history before. They protected us for 7 decades with hundreds of thousands of soldiers against the cruelties of the Soviet Union.
The terror we can see nowadays in Donetsk, would have happened in Bavaria, Bourgogne or the Netherlands in 1950 if there wasn’t the U.S. 🇺🇸
Who do we Europeans think we are to let that nation down, act like bad allies, calling their President names every day on television - and have full confidence we stand better alone. All of instagram is just about, why we’re better than the U.S.
We owe them so much.
We Europeans are most arrogant species on earth. And to cure this we have to face the truth.

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RobForFriends รีทวีตแล้ว

The unrealized gains tax of 36% in the Netherlands is pure theft.
I completely agree with @themarketsniper on this.
He fully explains it here:
youtu.be/YYNGtyvRuQQ

YouTube
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@benjamincowen @ITC_Crypto @benjamincowen it’s clear what your thesis is regarding the bear market, what is your thesis on the next bull market. Just same as following the 4 year cycle, so Jan 2027 we will move up, blow off in 2029?
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RobForFriends รีทวีตแล้ว
RobForFriends รีทวีตแล้ว

🚨 HOLY SMOKES!! Sec. Marco Rubio just delivered a mic drop moment in the Cabinet room
"What I'm talking about is not the people of Iran. The people that run this country are RADICAL, SHIA CLERICS. These are religious FANATICS. Look what they are doing now at their WEAKEST point!"
"This is the weakest Iran has ever been, and look at what they're doing. They're attacking embassies. They're attacking hotels. Imagine what these people would do if they had a nuclear weapon!"
"That is an unacceptable risk for the world. By the way, the president's not just doing a favor to the United States and to our people. This is for the world!"
"He defined very clearly on the first night of this operation what the goal was. We were going to destroy Iran's navy, and that is happening. We were going to, if it hasn't already happened, I'll let Pete speak to the specifics of it, we were going to destroy their missile launching capabilities."
"We're well on our way to achieving that goal. We were going to destroy the factory so they couldn't make more missiles and more drones. And that is moving forward."
"Every single objective the president clearly laid out on the first night of this operation is being effectuated."
"For 47 YEARS, Iran has been killing Americans and attacking Americans across this planet. And other presidents had an opportunity to DO something about it, and they all warned about how Iran was dangerous, but they refused to act."
"And THIS president's not someone that's going to refuse to act. He's not going to leave a danger like this in place. He's going to address it, and that is what he is doing."
You make us PROUD, MARCO 🇺🇸
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RobForFriends รีทวีตแล้ว

Bitcoin is at $70,500. It has not moved in weeks. Everything around it is on fire. That is the thesis.
The Strait of Hormuz collects tolls in yuan. Russia just locked its gold inside its borders. The BRICS Unit pilot is settling trade on 40 percent physical gold backing. The Fed holds at 3.5 to 3.75. The BOJ holds at 0.75. Iran is blacking out. The oil is near $100, up 50 percent since the year began. The dollar’s share of global reserves is falling. Central banks bought 863 tons of gold last year. And Bitcoin sits at $70,500, belonging to no government, stored in no vault that can be sanctioned, denominated in no currency that a chokepoint can block, and settled on no rail that requires permission from the IRGC, the Federal Reserve, or the People’s Bank of China.
The market calls this “consolidation.” The market is not wrong. But it is incomplete. What is consolidating is not a price range. It is a role.
The war revealed what sanctions could not: promise-based settlement fractures under chokepoint stress. The DFC backstop covers 6 percent of the $352 billion needed to restart Hormuz shipping. Gold is being locked inside Russia. Yuan flows through Hormuz tolls into physical vaults. Every hard-asset rail is being built around the dollar. And Bitcoin, which requires no vault, no navy, no insurance stack, and no sovereign backstop, is sitting at $70,500 waiting for the world to finish building the alternatives before it prices what it already is: the only neutral settlement layer no chokepoint can trap.
The miners are pivoting. Seven hundred thousand Iranian rigs went dark when the grid was hit. Hashrate dropped 8 percent. Difficulty adjusted down 7.76 percent. The network self-corrected in 14 days. No committee met. No decree was signed. The protocol adjusted because the protocol was designed to adjust. The surviving miners absorbed the margin. Those who could not pivoted to AI at 3 to 25 times the revenue per megawatt. The hash rate recovered to 1.03 zettahashes. The war made Bitcoin’s infrastructure stronger by removing its weakest nodes.
ETFs hold $91 billion and 1.29 million Bitcoin. MicroStrategy holds 762,000. March inflows are $890 million, down 73 percent month on month. The institutional base is not surging. It is absorbing. Quietly. Removing supply without moving price. The float thins while the price stays flat. That is not weakness. That is compression before repricing.
The BOJ held at 0.75 on March 19 because the Iran oil shock made a hike too risky. The trillion-dollar yen carry trade did not unwind. Bitcoin’s correlation with the yen is at a record 0.86. If the BOJ hikes, Bitcoin faces a 20 to 30 percent drawdown. If the BOJ holds because the war continues, the carry persists and Bitcoin’s liquidity floor holds. The threat and the shield are the same event.
The GENIUS Act is law. The CLARITY Act, which passed the House and awaits the Senate, bans Fed retail CBDC and classifies Bitcoin as a regulated digital commodity. Both create the scaffolding for Bitcoin to operate as institutional-grade neutral money while the BRICS build gold-backed alternatives and Iran demonstrates that any geography-dependent asset can be weaponised.
Bitcoin does not move because Bitcoin does not need to move yet. The transitions around it, dollar to yuan in the strait, promise to collateral in Moscow, kinetic to molecular in Hormuz, are still incomplete. When they complete, the repricing will not be gradual. It will be a recognition event. The asset that no chokepoint can trap, no sanction can freeze, no navy can escort, and no central bank can print will reprice against every asset that requires all four.
$70,500. Still. Waiting. While the world builds the case for why it exists.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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@cb_doge Probably he made a good point and saw a dark future for humanity, which I can agree with to a certain extent. But they as well told Columbus not to sail to the edge of the world as he will fall off at the end. So what will be the evolution of humanity, who knows!? 🤔
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@cb_doge So life is given to us to let our robot experience it… Very exciting 🤨
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ELON MUSK: "In the future, the robots will make so many robots, that they will actually saturate all human needs, meaning you won't be able to even think of something to ask the robot for at a certain point, like there will be such an abundance of goods and services. There'll be more robots than people. I think everyone on earth is going to have one humanoid robot because you would want a robot to watch over your kids, take care of your pet, take care of elderly parents.
I'm very optimistic about the future. I think we're headed for a future of amazing abundance, which is very cool. Definitely we are in the most interesting time in history."
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@widtvoet @Minister_FIN Ja precies. Dus de staat laat de burger zelf maar bezuinigen, slimme zet!!
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Volgens Heinen profiteert de Staat niet echt van de gestegen brandstofprijzen want als u die euro's extra niet aan de pomp had uitgegeven had u ze wel elders gespendeerd.
Hm.
Nou Eelco, wellicht had ik die wel gespaard of uitgegeven in het buitenland.
#brandstof @Minister_FIN
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