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Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__
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Locksmiths Picks
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Locksmiths Picks
@_Locksmiths__
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เข้าร่วม Kasım 2024
34 กำลังติดตาม32.3K ผู้ติดตาม
EASY CASH 💸
James Harden o 7.5 Assists ✅
❤️ If You Tailed!!!
Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__
NBA 🏀 Lock #3 (March 19th) James Harden o 7.5 Assists (-145 Fanatics) ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING - James Harden started his stint with the Cavs on a strong playmaking run, consistently clearing this line. While he’s cooled off over his last few games, this sets up as a great bounce back spot. - The biggest thing to focus on is the opportunity. Over his last 10 games, Harden is still averaging 14 potential assists per game, which is elite volume and more than enough to clear a 7.5 line with normal conversion. - He gets a favorable matchup against the Chicago Bulls, who rank 28th in assists allowed to point guards, giving up 11 assists per game to the position. - Harden faced Chicago once this season and finished with 6 assists on just 10 potential assists, which is lower than his recent average. With his current 14 potential assist baseline, there’s clear room for an increase in production. - Recent PGs to clear their assist lines vs Chicago include: - Walter Clayton Jr.: 7 Assists - Luka Dončić: 9 Assists - Immanuel Quickley: 7 Assists
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March Madness Locks 🏀 (March 19th)
Let’s start off hot 🔥
Blue Cain o 12.5 Points
(Chalkboard)
Saint Mary’s ML
(Chalkboard)
BYU ML
(Chalkboard)
Wisconsin -7.5
(-160 DK)
❤️ If You’re Tailing!!!
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CBB 🏀 Lock #1 (March 19th)
Blue Cain o 12.5 Points
(Chalkboard)
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
- Blue Cain is one of the primary offensive engines for Georgia Bulldogs, with the ability to score at all three levels. He’s especially effective attacking downhill, where he can exploit smaller guards and consistently get quality looks.
- Cain has been solid at this line, going over in 6 of his last 10 games when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 14.3 points per game. He’s also been highly efficient this season, shooting 47% from the field and 91% from the free throw line, which gives him a strong scoring floor.
- He gets an interesting matchup against the Saint Louis Billikens. While they rank 42nd in defensive efficiency, they’ve only faced one Power 4 team all season, and Cain has proven he can produce against high level competition.
- This game also sets up well from a pace standpoint. Both Georgia and Saint Louis rank top 35 in pace, which should lead to more possessions and scoring opportunities.
- Defensively, Saint Louis has shown some weaknesses, ranking 214th in field goal attempts allowed and 174th in points allowed to guards, which plays right into Cain’s strengths.
Recent guards to clear their scoring lines vs Saint Louis include:
Terrence Hill Jr. (17)
Dasonte Bowen (17)
Christian Jones (15)
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NBA 🏀 Lock #3 (March 19th)
James Harden o 7.5 Assists
(-145 Fanatics)
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
- James Harden started his stint with the Cavs on a strong playmaking run, consistently clearing this line. While he’s cooled off over his last few games, this sets up as a great bounce back spot.
- The biggest thing to focus on is the opportunity. Over his last 10 games, Harden is still averaging 14 potential assists per game, which is elite volume and more than enough to clear a 7.5 line with normal conversion.
- He gets a favorable matchup against the Chicago Bulls, who rank 28th in assists allowed to point guards, giving up 11 assists per game to the position.
- Harden faced Chicago once this season and finished with 6 assists on just 10 potential assists, which is lower than his recent average. With his current 14 potential assist baseline, there’s clear room for an increase in production.
- Recent PGs to clear their assist lines vs Chicago include:
- Walter Clayton Jr.: 7 Assists
- Luka Dončić: 9 Assists
- Immanuel Quickley: 7 Assists
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NBA 🏀 Lock #1 (March 19th)
Nique Clifford o 4.5 Assists
(-125 DK)
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
- Nique has capitalized on all the injuries the Kings are dealing with and has been consistently delivering for us. With a great matchup vs the Sixers, this is another spot where we can count on him to keep producing.
- Since LaVine, Sabonis, Keegan, and Hunter went down, Nique has cleared this mark in nearly 60% of games. If Monk sits, that only opens the door for even more usage and playmaking opportunities. During this stretch, he’s averaging 4 assists on 7 potential assists, giving us solid underlying volume.
- Philadelphia has struggled all season defending SG assist production, ranking bottom 5. The issues haven’t improved recently either they’ve allowed 65% of the last 10 SGs they’ve faced to clear their assist line. Recent SG results vs Philly include:
- Ben Saraf: 5 Assists
- Tim Hardaway: 4 Assists
- Kevin Huerter: 4 Assists
- With strong opportunity, increased role, and a favorable defensive matchup, Nique is in a prime spot to keep rolling.
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NBA 🏀 Lock #2 (March 19th)
Austin Reaves o 4.5 Assists
(-135 FD)
100 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
- Reaves is in a great spot to keep his elite form rolling. This should be a fast paced matchup vs the Heat. While Miami has been a tougher matchup for traditional SGs, Reaves’ hybrid role often operating as a primary ball-handler makes this matchup much more favorable for his playmaking.
- He’s been incredibly consistent, hitting this line in 100% of his last 5 and 90% of his last 10. On back-to-backs, he’s been just as strong, clearing in 83% this season. Over this stretch he’s averaging 6 assists on 10 potential assists, meaning we just need him to convert roughly half to get home.
- Miami has struggled to contain PG assists, ranking 10th worst. Their issues have continued recently, allowing 65% of the last 10 PGs they’ve faced to clear their marks and giving up +1 assist above listed lines on average. Recent PG results vs Miami include:
- LaMelo Ball: 13 Assists
- Ryan Rollins: 10 Assists
- Jalen Suggs: 6 Assists
- With elite form, strong volume, and a matchup that suits his ball-handling role, Reaves is in another prime spot to deliver.
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NBA Recap 🏀 14-1
THREE SWEEPS IN A ROW ON FREE PLAYS
SENDING 💸 IN THE REPLIES
✅Jalen Johnson o 7.5 Ast
✅Dejounte Murray o 5.5 Ast
✅Nikola Jokic o 26.5 Pts
✅LeBron James o 27.5 PRA
✅Kalshi IG CBB Parlay
✅Ausar Thompson o 4.5 Rebs
✅James Harden o 4.5 Rebs
✅LaMelo Ball o 6.5 Ast
✅+5360 NBA Lotto
✅Dyson Daniels o 22.5 PRA
✅Cooper Flagg o 5.5 Rebs
✅Stephon Castle o 4.5 Rebs
✅PJ Washington o 5.5 Rebs
✅CB POTD
✖️Chet Holmgren o 7.5 Rebs
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IF SENGUN GETS IT DONE👀🚀
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BANG 3 SWEEPS IN A ROW 🔥
Jalen Johnson o 7.5 Assists✅
❤️ If You Tailed!!!
Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__
NBA 🏀 Lock #2 (March 18th) Jalen Johnson o 7.5 Assists (-140 DK) 80 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎 ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING - Jalen Johnson has shown he can go on elite playmaking stretches, and he’s in one right now. He’s gone over this line in 7 of his last 10 games while averaging nearly 9 assists per game. - The opportunity has been outstanding as well. During this stretch, Johnson is averaging 15 potential assists per game, which is elite volume and more than enough to consistently clear a 7.5 line. - He gets a favorable matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, who rank 25th in assists allowed to power forwards over their last 7 games. - Johnson also recently faced Dallas and had success as a facilitator, finishing with 8 assists on 12 potential assists,showing he can take advantage of this matchup. - Recent forwards to clear their assist lines vs Dallas include: - Jayson Tatum: 7 Assists - Paolo Banchero: 6 Assists - Brandon Ingram: 6 Assists
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SWEAT FREE 💸
Dejounte Murray o 5.5 Assists ✅
❤️ If You Tailed!!!
Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__
NBA 🏀 Lock #1 (March 18th) Dejounte Murray o 5.5 Assists (-145 FD) ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING - This is a great spot for Dejounte, whose potential assists suggest he should be averaging even more dimes per game. The matchup vs the Clippers only strengthens the play, as they’ve been giving up PG assists at a high rate. - Although he missed in his first meeting with LAC, context matters he played only about 20 minutes yet still posted 5 assists on 11 potentials. Now with his minutes back near the 30 minute range, the opportunity for production rises significantly. - The Clippers have struggled to contain PG assist production, allowing 80% of the last 10 PGs they’ve faced to clear their assist lines while giving up an average of +1 assist above those listed numbers. Recent PG results vs LAC: - Russell Westbrook: 10 Assists - Josh Giddey: 10 Assists - Stephon Castle: 8 Assists - Jalen Brunson: 8 Assists - With strong underlying metrics and increased minutes, Dejounte is in a high-upside spot to deliver.
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