billmo

5.2K posts

billmo

billmo

@billmo08

เข้าร่วม Temmuz 2012
868 กำลังติดตาม249 ผู้ติดตาม
ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
billmo
billmo@billmo08·
Fuckin ay
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Iran has officially rejected the US' peace proposal and sets five conditions for an end to the war. Iran's conditions include: 1. Immediate end to attacks and assassinations on Iran 2. Establishment of "concrete guarantees" against future US attacks 3. "Clear determination and guaranteed payment" for war damages 4. International recognition of Iran's "authority" over Strait of Hormuz 5. An end to the war across all fronts, including for all Iranian proxies in the region We now await a response from the US.
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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
This is yet another piece of evidence that Washington still doesn’t understand the shift Iran has gone through during the war. The regime today is more radical, less centralized, and increasingly convinced that it is winning, which means it believes it can dictate the terms of how this conflict ends. That leaves Trump with two real options: Either de facto surrender a ceasefire without a deal, or an agreement shaped around Iran’s demands or a major escalation, with severe consequences for the global system and the international economy. This is the direct result of a campaign built on flawed assumptions — especially a fundamental misreading of Iran’s resilience. Iran is not Venezuela. There is no Delcy Rodríguez waiting in Tehran. And there is no silver bullet for the Iran problem. Period.
Barak Ravid@BarakRavid

🚨Iranian state TV says Iran told the U.S. through the mediators that it rejects the 15-point plan

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jbulltard
jbulltard@jbulltard1·
I know its unamerican to even mention it but i hate to break it to you, at this moment iran is winning and here is why. The TLDR is trump is a moron and is fighting people who think a better life exists once they die. Trump is stuck, we've obliterated them from the sky, big deal, he says there's a new regime, there isn't, there's a bullpen full of islamists who hate us. Iran doesn't have to agree to anything, do you think they care if we keep bombing them? These people give zero shits about the people of their country, they will go down with the ship. If they hold on, they can force trump to save face with a ground invasion which would be wildly unpopular at home and cause havoc to our economy, both would be wins for iran in a war they cannot win by actually defeating us militarily. They can however win by destroying our economy and clearly Trump is blinking at his stupid threats of destroying infrastructure bc that would escalate things to levels gulf states would hate us for. If Iran sits back and causes havoc in hormuz for another month even, the US economy is getting rekt, Trump is already at record low popularity and if American soldier deaths pile up, the republican party will get railroaded come November. This is such a stupid war all around which is why we've ignored Iran forever. They are a threat to everyone in the middle east and to europe long before they're a threat to the mainland of the US. Trump thought this would be easy after the maduro capture and didn't realize this is a country that has been preparing for 50 years for this exact moment. We are the biggest and baddest military on earth, that isn't in doubt, what is in doubt is what it takes for Iran to win and that is simply hunkering down and causing oil to spike, US markets to sell off, and inflation wrecking western economies. Iran's economy has been shit for years, they do not care. They will kill protestors for a long time, the IRGC has a massive number of soldiers and all armed. Iran is fukt, this is what happens when a populace is unarmed and cannot defend itself against an armed government, americans should take notes because while you think its all moderation today, you never know what regime will be in charge here 30 years down the road and an armed populace is what keeps government in check. Iran,Venezuela, North Korea all the same shit with terrible governments and no guns for the locals to overthrow them. This situation is royally fukt in all honesty and the only way out is where we leave before inflation really kicks in and we say we set them back a few years. There is zero chance of regime change like Israel wants in any reasonable timeframe that doesn't destroy the US economy. What trump said about a new regime in place is utterly stupid. If we wipeout the top 100 democrats in the US does that mean whatever democrats left aren't also leftists?
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
*IRAN DOES NOT ACCEPT CEASEFIRE, SAYS US TALKS ILLOGICAL: FARS
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Seyed Mohammad Marandi
Seyed Mohammad Marandi@s_m_marandi·
An Iranian F-14 is pursuing a US F-35 over Iranian airspace near the Iraqi border. Don't believe the Epstein-class media propaganda. The Islamic Republic has preserved all its key military assets deep underground.
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billmo
billmo@billmo08·
@citrinowicz Too negative bro. Iran coming out of this severely weakened and there’s no spin that will change that
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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
בסופו של דבר, האופציות שעומדות בפני טראמפ אינן בין טוב לרע, אלא בין רע לרע מאוד. כל הסכם ידרוש ממנו פשרות משמעותיות מול איראן, שיחזקו בפועל את המשטר שהוא ביקש להחליש. מנגד, הרחבת המערכה צפויה להחריף את המצב הכלכלי הבינלאומי, וכל מבצע יבשתי יעמיד את חיילי ארצות הברית בסיכון משמעותי. ככל שהמשטר האיראני לא נופל והמלחמה מתארכת, כך האופציות הופכות קשות יותר להשגה ומורכבות יותר לביצוע. בנוסף, נראה שטראמפ לא הבין שברגע שכבר פגעת במנהיג איראן, אובד מרכיב ההרתעה: איומים נוספים—כמו פגיעה בתשתיות חשמל או אפילו כיבוש האי חארג'—כבר לא נתפסים כרלוונטיים בעיני המשטר בטהראן, ולא יגרמו לו לשנות את עמדותיו. ראיון שלי @radio103fm שמתאר את האתגר בהשגת הסכם מדיני עם המשטר הנוכחי באיראן.
103FM@radio103fm

דני סיטרינוביץ', מומחה לזירה האיראנית (INSS) על תוכנית 15 הנקודות של טראמפ להסכם מול איראן: "מי שמקבלים את ההחלטות באיראן הם שורה של מפקדים, המערכת מאוד מבולגנת וקיצונית. מה שהיא לא הסכימה לוותר עליו לפני המלחמה היא בטח לא תסכים לוותר עליו עכשיו" @citrinowicz @attaliami @gidonucko1 צילום: ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

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billmo
billmo@billmo08·
@MilesTaylorUSA You are a metaphor for the Democratic Party. A total pussy who gets pantsed on a nightly basis because he makes up “talking to senior officials” since he has no coherent arguments. Go complain to your mommy
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Miles Taylor
Miles Taylor@MilesTaylorUSA·
You know who’s a perfect metaphor for the GOP? Scott Jennings. A pundit who mocks Trump with us during commercial breaks — but fawns over Trump when the camera is rolling. Brave enough to speak out… in the green room.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Here’s the thing, every Trump Taco eventually got reversed in the stock market. Every single one of them. So unless you think this Jared Nacho is THE bottom, I wonder if they will reverse this one too…. Food for thought. Literally.
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Evan Hill
Evan Hill@evanhill·
US officials tell The Post they no longer believe it is possible to achieve the war's original goals of overthrowing the Iranian regime and putting its nuclear program permanently out of reach
Evan Hill tweet media
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
The parallels to Vietnam are so strange. Was yesterday the "Unilateral bombing pause" that led to nothing??? I would have thought the futures would be down more if that was the case..
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EconstratPB
EconstratPB@EconstratPB·
Thinking out loud here…. I was always told that for the US to lose hegemonic status it would need to lose a kinetic conflict against a peer competitor. And it had none so that was it. Maybe China. But wut about losing a bluff to a middle power??
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The Inner Circle Trading Group DP David Prince
The more The Donald forces buyers to chase stocks on a Friday post the close only to about face during the weekend the less they shall react in the future.
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EconstratPB
EconstratPB@EconstratPB·
True question for the security people out there: If Iranian missile capability has been degraded so much, why are we worried about them hitting desalination plants or Gulf targets? Isn’t this why we are there, to neuter and disarm?🤷🏻 @vtchakarova @citrinowicz
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