felstar

Running a 1,600 day backtest on NQ. Not looking for a holy grail. Looking for the truth about my edge — where it holds, where it breaks. Will share what I find.

Month 9/53 — September 2022. NQ. 6 trades · 50% WR · +0.45R expectancy 3 wins, 3 losses. Two of the losses hit on Fed days — violent moves a backtest can't see coming. In live trading I'd know those dates. The edge is probably better than the data shows here. 44 months left.

@max_stmt @TrdeLog c'est du propre 👏

Weekly Trading Recap 🟢 $3 190 Weekly PNL | 100% Win Rate (hors BE) 100% Winning Days Semaine calme entre FOMC + Bank Holliday mais encore une belle semaine. Prêt pour la prochaine, la dernière de Juin. @TrdeLog pour la data

Month 8/53 — August 2022. NQ. 5 trades · 40% WR · +0.35R expectancy Choppy, transitional month. Market topping out, no clear direction. 3 stops, but 2 clean runners kept it green. Starting to see a pattern: my edge needs clean moves, not a specific direction. 45 months left.

@max_stmt @TrdeLog 👏👏

mois en cours quand même sympa merci @TrdeLog

Month 7/53 — July 2022. NQ. 6 trades · 83% WR · +2.53R expectancy Best month so far. One trade ran +6.42R — tightened the stop on the M5, risked 33 points on a 212 point move. 5 of 6 trades were the same setup: sweep + M15 reversal. 46 months left.

Month 6/53 — June 2022. NQ. 9 trades · 67% WR · +1.42R expectancy 6 wins, 2 losses, 1 near-BE. Both losses were counter-trend. Best month since February. 47 months left.

Month 5/53 — May 2022. NQ. 6 trades · 17% WR · +0.06R expectancy Worse than April. Barely green. The market gave nothing in either direction — every move died before it ran. No edge to take. Months like this just test if you protect capital. 48 months left.

@C4Pips patience 100%

What took you longer to learn: risk management or patience?

Month 4/53 — April 2022. NQ. 8 trades · 25% WR · +0.26R expectancy 5 stops. Worst win rate yet. And the month still closed green. That's the whole point of a 1:3 system — two clean runners paid for five losers. The edge survives the ugly months. 49 months left.

@C4Pips 🧢

Most traders don't quit because they lose money. They quit because progress takes longer than expected. Agree or disagree?

@meeky_fx I use Notion connected to Obsidian allowing Claude to report to me

Quick one traders it’s weekend how do you journal your trades ??🤔 A, with telegram B,using excel C,using journalling app or platform D, writing it in a book E, i dont even journal

@Sholly_Pee1 Freedom bro

Of all skills, why do you choose trading?

@tradericch Psychology

What do you think causes most people to quit trading?

@rugal_fx Revenge Trading

Which of these two drains account faster ?? Revenge trading Or Over leveraging

Month 3/53 — March 2022. NQ. 12 trades · 58% WR · +0.83R expectancy Good month. But the real cost wasn't the losses — it was the misses. Two A+ setups I never entered. Wrong order placement. Both would've hit target. 50 months left.

@fjtrades hey im building in public

Looking to connect with more serious traders on X 🤝 If you're actively trading, posting your journey, sharing setups, or building something in the trading space... Drop a comment below 👇

Month 2/53 — February 2022. NQ. 5 trades · 80% WR · +1.53R expectancy Fewer trades, better selection. January's iFVG filter is already paying. One miss : a clean 3R setup. Order placed, I hesitated. It went straight to target. 51 months left.

Month 1/53 — January 2022. NQ. 13 trades · 61.5% WR · +0.83R expectancy Biggest finding : iFVG alone without HTF confluence → 0 wins, 2 SL. One filter. Would have changed the whole month. Also left ~2R on the table moving to BE out of fear, not data. 52 months left.

Sat down and analyzed my last 50 trades. → 38% ended at BE — biggest leak isn't losses, it's leaving money on the table → NY outperforms London → Sells outperform buys → Mental state predicts outcome better than the setup That last one was uncomfortable to see.