Greg Phillips

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Greg Phillips

Greg Phillips

@gphil

Founder @Dexosphere / Formerly: CTO @NewfoundGroup, Co-founder/CTO @RentHubHQ.

Philadelphia, PA เข้าร่วม Aralık 2007
1K กำลังติดตาม455 ผู้ติดตาม
monetsupply.eth
monetsupply.eth@MonetSupply·
it’s hilarious how the nyc airport terminals serving foreign airlines (jfk 1, ewr b) are complete dumps ppl must think we’re so fkn washed lmao
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Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌
Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌@Chris_arnade·
I've always found US history relatively boring, but boy oh boy is the post Civil war history of the US absolutely fascinating. It really was the period when the US, as we know it, was formed
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Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌
Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌@Chris_arnade·
I've been reading the last few weeks about the overhaul of the US financial system between roughly 1860 and 1913 — from monetary chaos with a limited federal role, into basically our modern federal system of national currency, central bank, and the Treasury. It was a massive transformation, probably the most consequential in US history. But was it democratic, or legal? Was it bottom-up driven, or was it a largely elite-driven, top-down process — a restructuring of the monetary system by a class who saw the long-term good and effectively jammed it into place? And if it wasn't fully democratic/constitutional, how did they pull it off? Whatever the answer, in hindsight it worked, and allowed the US to become the world's largest power. We never could have achieved our economic, and consequently military dominance, without it. It's also hard to see the US, given our institutions and politics, ever make such a dramatic change again.
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Dan Robinson
Dan Robinson@danrobinson·
Suppose I want to pay ~$100-500 to subsidize a prediction market on a specific question I have, with the goal of getting as accurate a probability estimate as possible. What is the best turnkey way for me to do that today?
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@jongeeting This city can't get out of its own way. I think there is a sort of a new culture war fault line brewing though around pro-growth / degrowth and we see it most clearly in places like Philly where it's liberal vs. lefty and no real right wing to cloud it.
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D D
D D@Dobkin_D·
@_julianma @cryptoeconprof @casparschwa This outcome stems from liquidity risk. On Aave, you can withdraw your ETH at any time. On Lido, redeeming ETH can take up to 20d. If you hold a spot-perp on ETH and the funding rate turns negative, you need to close the position quickly to prevent losses.
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Julian
Julian@_julianma·
Why do so many people choose to lend out ETH on Aave for 2% instead of stake via Lido for 3% yield? In a new paper with Joel Hasbrouck, @cryptoeconprof, and @casparschwa we build a structural econometric model and estimate it with data from Aave and Lido. The result? There is a huge market inefficiency that cannot be explained by smart contract risk, depeg risk, or any other risk.
Julian tweet media
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@nickducoff @DCinvestor Yes, any profits from sale are going to get plowed right back into the housing market. The only thing that matters in housing is supply and demand, and we still aren't building enough housing in the most desirable areas.
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Nick Ducoff
Nick Ducoff@nickducoff·
@DCinvestor You don’t think 1 of the kids wants to keep the house or they upgrade with the cash? They’re not going to save it, they’re going to spend it. Prices are up only in desirable metros. And boomers are outliving the actuarial tables. My assessment is nothing changes in next decade.
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DCinvestor
DCinvestor@DCinvestor·
there is no way boomers get all of the money they want for the homes/properties they own as they all exit the market over the next 5-15 years i say this as a homeowner. prices are quite simply insane and most people simply can’t afford what’s being asked stocks may end up OK due to being easier to buy on the margin and global demand
Meta 👾 🇺🇸@MetaPrime001

The Boomers are starting to realize that selling what they have requires someone to buy it

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City Aesthetics ⛩
City Aesthetics ⛩@cityaestheticss·
Streets like this in the US will never be built again
City Aesthetics ⛩ tweet media
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@jongeeting To me this has always felt like a whitewashing thing where the suburbanites who fled the city wanted to dissociate themselves from Philadelphia altogether.
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Jon Geeting
Jon Geeting@jongeeting·
Regional orgs should name their stuff ‘Greater Philadelphia’ or ‘Metro Philadelphia’ instead of corny ass ‘Delaware Valley.” It’s like people wanna pretend they don’t sit at the same lunch table with the Big Dawg, Philadelphia
Stephen Caruso@StephenJ_Caruso

My @SpotlightPA colleague Asha is looking to ask Pennsylvanians a simple q: How do you refer to your own corner of the commonwealth? And do you have any pet peeves or strong opinions on geographic names in the commonwealth? instagram.com/reel/DVjPO-0iP…

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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@dhh The problem is this kind of policy is going to be immensely popular with the priestly class.
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
We could even see something like the covid PPP. Hard to see how any solution the political class is likely to come up with doesn't lead back to significant inflation.
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
I think we might finally be in sustained, AI-driven job decline territory. Question is, what's the response? Do we see aggressive rate cuts to support the labor market? Protectionist labor policies like the current NY state bill? All bad options imo.
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@jongeeting @VoteLaughlin The big problem with trains is the lines are set based on century old commuting patterns. If we had Asia-style ability to build infrastructure it would be better (i.e. Tokyo) but that's a pipe dream I think.
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@jongeeting @VoteLaughlin Been thinking about this a lot. I think the optimal solution designed from first principles for dense urban mobility patterns looks something like the Rivian delivery vans that Amazon is using with smart routing based on app-submitted rider requests.
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Dan Laughlin
Dan Laughlin@VoteLaughlin·
Throwing money at Septa would be like adding more places to water your horse. This is how transportation will work very soon.
phil beisel@pbeisel

Elon is confirming that Tesla will sell the Cybercab to end customers. That’s a big tell. Tesla isn’t building just a company-owned Robotaxi fleet. It’s building a hybrid network: part Tesla-owned, part customer-owned. A pure Tesla fleet would be capital heavy. Growth would depend on how many vehicles Tesla funds itself. But if customers can buy a Cybercab and plug it into the network, they fund the hardware while Tesla takes a cut of the miles. That’s asset-light scale layered on top of vertical integration. It also accelerates density. More vehicles on the network means better coverage, faster ETAs, higher utilization, and stronger network effects. And there’s a third angle people are missing: some buyers may purchase a Cybercab primarily for personal use— as a fully autonomous private vehicle— but choose to add it to the fleet occasionally when it’s idle. Others may never add it at all. Either way, it works for Tesla. It increases manufacturing scale, lowers unit costs, and expands the installed base of autonomy — while giving owners optionality to monetize the vehicle. Selling the vehicle doesn’t mean giving up control. Tesla still owns the autonomy stack, dispatch layer, software updates, and payments system. Even customer-owned Cybercabs operate inside Tesla’s ecosystem. If autonomy works, Tesla isn’t just selling cars. It’s building a mobility platform— funded partly by itself, partly by customers, and scalable far faster than a fleet-only model.

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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@dgt10011 And as much as more contemporary crypto natives want to bemoan tradfi coming into the space, the whole original point of Bitcoin was to kill fractional reserve banking: “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.”
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Jeff Park
Jeff Park@dgt10011·
people are not quite realizing yet but this is-by far-the biggest win the crypto industrys ideological believers has ever had i would argue since the birth of bitcoin. this is "Institutional adoption at the Infrastructure layer" that will drive crypto mainstream watch this space
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Jeff Park
Jeff Park@dgt10011·
The fed granting 'skinny master account' to kraken is a huge deal it signals there is finally an opening to build a non-deposit banking business that isnt fundamentally tied to lending ie fractional reserve banking its redrawing the architecture of modern finance as we know it
Jeff Park@dgt10011

heres the real reason why regulators/banks dont want to let stablecoins pass yield- it destroys fractional reserve banking as a system consider the unspoken truth that "narrow banking" is practically illegal in the US. no entrants who wanted to run a 100% deposit only business has been successfully able to get a fed master account. what this really means is that the US financial system is entirely built on the backbone of credit --> "if you dont originate credit, you dont get to become a deposit institution" take that one step further where "productive" credit can only be originated without 1:1 coverage ratio, the ultimate business of banking is always the same: maturity transformation between savers and borrowers. for this is the only way the fractional reserve system can ever exist, which means the fatal flaw of is built into the very system of yield mechanism put simply, the idea of having a stablecoin that passes yield is by definition completely contradictory to the banking model. you obviously can't simultaneously do fractional reserve stuff and also be 1:1 "stable" so the yield question isnt really about customer rewards and affiliate marketing, thats just convenient gaslighting. its really about the endless cycle of credit on an semi-unstable yet regulatorily captive deposit base that capitalism must perpetuate at all cost. its always liquidity transformation: create more duration so that the day of reckoning gets forever postponed. until one day it fantastically implodes.

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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
The boomerslop is going to get so bad that’s the real AI doomerism
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@arthur0x Unfortunately the hotel aggregator is built to sell ads and extract commissions rather than speed you up. AI tools will enshittify too.
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Arthur
Arthur@arthur0x·
The AI found a hotel that better fit my preference in 5 minutes than going through all the hotel aggregators myself for one hour. It's so fucking over for humans.
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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@luffistotle We are way overdue (in the US) for an infrastructure refresh. The silver lining is that maybe this will be catalyst.
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Luffistotle
Luffistotle@luffistotle·
2nd order effect of this and big tech rebuilding their balance sheets to pay for higher capex, is that its a big economic shift from tech worker coastal elite types to "real economy" types who are needed to transport materials and build the data centres etc.
Matthew Pines@matthew_pines

If this generalizes (a CEO making the decision to rip the AGI band-aid and cut 40% of the workforce overnight rather than have the org endure extended RIFs), then we could see a highly non-linear cliff in employment this year. Once a second CEO does it, it could cascade. Woosh.

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Greg Phillips
Greg Phillips@gphil·
@atiselsts_eth I've had the same thoughts, I think our current approaches to many high value problems are very close to physical and economic limits already.
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atiselsts.eth
atiselsts.eth@atiselsts_eth·
I've had a thesis for 10+ years why AI will not take over the economy: Many economic problems are hard, so even superintelligent actors cannot solve them optimally. Examples: resource allocation; optimization, search & planning with constraints: all NP hard in many instances.
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Greg Phillips รีทวีตแล้ว
Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
One thing the normies are right about is that there's such a thing as "politicizing everything" and the people who do it are super annoying.
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