Paha Kiisu 🍽️

I respect Toomas very much but this attitude is beyond comprehension to me. 1) Baltics are a much easier invasion target for Russia compared to Ukraine. 2) NATO refused to defend Ukraine for irrational fear of attack by Russia and its nukes. What's going to be different? 3) NATO can't defend the Baltics. Insufficient will, munitions, and zero ability to counter Russian drone swarms. 4) Russia can occupy the capitals in hours/days, dig in, mine the area, and then snipe at any allied infantry with artillery and drones that may try to come through. Is NATO going to bomb Tallin, Riga, and Vilnius? Russia is willing to lose millions of soldiers in the war. How many are Poland or Finland willing to lose? What about Germany? 5) Alternately Russia could start by occupying Narva in Estonia and gauge the reaction. Is today's NATO going to go WW3 over a tiny border town with 50,000 population? 6) Europe doesn't have enough missiles to do any meaningful damage to Russia. Once out of conventional munitions, you're crazy if you think France or the UK will launch pre-emptive nukes against Moscow because Russia expanded its border by 10km, 1,700km away in Estonia. 7) If Russia invades the Baltics it's because NATO members refused to defend Ukraine. Every single nation refused to do the right thing - send troops to help Ukraine when it mattered most. They still haven't done it. You reap what you sow.

The Baltic States are in NATO. They are not Ukraine An attack on one of them means war on Russia. Real missiles raining on Russian cities, infrastructure, ports, airports, rail. It wouldn’t be just a drone war. Russia would look like any of the cities it has destroyed in Ukraine. but writ large. That’s the difference between being in NATO and not. It’s why Ukraine wants to be in NATO. Now enough of the scare-mongering and faux concern. Worry instead that posts like this make the Baltic States worry more about ourselves and less about you.