Masa’s Son

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Masa’s Son

Masa’s Son

@masayoshisson

non consensus tech investor. variant views only. unbridled optimist. truth seeker. xbuyside. xmckinsey. +248% since pf inception (jan ‘25)

New York, NY เข้าร่วม Ocak 2015
443 กำลังติดตาม555 ผู้ติดตาม
Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
ok so fab force majeueres are really on the menu now, eh?
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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
@mvcinvesting $arx + fully misunderstood specialty insurance marketplace + 30% ebitda margins (with path to 70%) + 30% 3yr growth cagr + 87% fcf conversion + AI beneficiary + 8x fwd ebitda
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M. V. Cunha
M. V. Cunha@mvcinvesting·
I know everyone is focused on the current macro environment, but… Any interesting sub-$5B market cap stocks worth researching?
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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
@JonahLupton $arx capital light insurance market place with no real competition - 40% growth at 30% margin, AI insulation, 8x fwd
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Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
Really curious to see the answers here… What are 3-4 stocks that you believe are currently the most dislocated (ie undervalued) from where you think the fundamentals are going in the next 18-24 months? **feel free to explain why you think your picks are super undervalued including your thesis and any catalysts that could/should get the stock(s) moving higher… because Twitter (X) is still the best place to find new ideas!!!
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton

Some of you know that I launched a hedge fund several months ago (early November). We run a long/short strategy, focused on owning the 20-40 growth stocks that we believe have the most upside over the next 2-3 years... this means they need to have great fundamentals, strong management teams, compelling valuations, and multiple catalysts that we can identify and track accordingly. It's been a rough few months for many growth investors (we also took some pain)... thankfully we were averaging down into our core positions but we've still seen some red months and it has not been enjoyable. I'm not a fan of losing money. Stepping back... I've never had more conviction in my process or my portfolio than I do right now... especially with some of my favorite stocks down 20-40% from their September/October/November highs despite strong Q4 earnings reports, strong CY2026 guidance and extremely compelling valuations. With that said, here are our top 10 positions in alphabetical order: $APP $CPNG $CRDO $HIMS $HROW $SKHYNIX $IREN $NBIS $RDDT $TMDX I believe all of these stocks are trading at meaningfully higher prices in 2-3 years which remains my focus for generating outsized long-term returns. Enjoy the rest of your day 😊 NFA. DYOR. ** @FirstWaveFund owns all of the stocks mentioned in this post.

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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
"Is it not also the case that America has entered this aggression as a proxy for Israel, influenced and manipulated by that regime? Is it not true that Israel, by manufacturing an Iranian threat, seeks to divert global attention away from its crimes toward the Palestinians? Is it not evident that Israel now aims to fight Iran to the last American soldier and the last American taxpayer dollar—shifting the burden of its delusions onto Iran, the region, and the United States itself in pursuit of illegitimate interests?"
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian has officially released an "open letter" to the American people. The letter states: 1. Iran harbors "no enmity" toward other nations, including the people of America, Europe, or neighboring countries 2. Recent US actions are "aggression" targeting civilians and infrastructure, setting up for long-term global instability 3. "What Iran has done, and continues to do, is a measured response grounded in legitimate self-defense" 4. The decision to withdraw from the Iran Nuclear Deal was "made by the US government" 5. "Continuing along the path of confrontation is more costly and futile than ever before" Pezeshkian concludes by saying, "the choice between confrontation and engagement is both real and consequential. Throughout its millennia of proud history, Iran has outlasted many aggressors." We now await Trump's address to the US at 9 PM ET.
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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
I must admit I like this move by the Iranians it evokes empathy in a relatively objective fashion should trump announce troops on the ground tonight, it pits the government vs the people - and it calls the alliance with Israel into question soft call for reverse regime change
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

IRAN'S FULL "OPEN LETTER" TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE: "To the people of the United States of America, and to all those who, amid a flood of distortions and manufactured narratives, continue to seek the truth and aspire to a better life: Iran—by this very name, character, and identity—is one of the oldest continuous civilizations in human history. Despite its historical and geographical advantages at various times, Iran has never, in its modern history, chosen the path of aggression, expansion, colonialism, or domination. Even after enduring occupation, invasion, and sustained pressure from global powers—and despite possessing military superiority over many of its neighbors—Iran has never initiated a war. Yet it has resolutely and bravely repelled those who have attacked it. The Iranian people harbor no enmity toward other nations, including the people of America, Europe, or neighboring countries. Even in the face of repeated foreign interventions and pressures throughout their proud history, Iranians have consistently drawn a clear distinction between governments and the peoples they govern. This is a deeply rooted principle in Iranian culture and collective consciousness—not a temporary political stance. For this reason, portraying Iran as a threat is neither consistent with historical reality nor with present-day observable facts. Such a perception is the product of political and economic whims of the powerful— the need to manufacture an enemy in order to justify pressure, maintain military dominance, sustain the arms industry, and control strategic markets. In such an environment, if a threat does not exist, it is invented. Within this same framework, the United States has concentrated the largest number of its forces, bases, and military capabilities around Iran—a country that, at least since the founding of the United States, has never initiated a war. Recent American aggressions launched from these very bases have demonstrated how threatening such a military presence truly is. Naturally, no country confronted with such conditions would forgo strengthening its defensive capabilities. What Iran has done—and continues to do—is a measured response grounded in legitimate self-defense, and by no means an initiation of war or aggression. Relations between Iran and the United States were not originally hostile, and early interactions between the Iranian and American people were not marred with hostility or tension. The turning point, however, was the 1953 coup d’état—an illegal American intervention aimed at preventing the nationalization of Iran’s own resources. That coup disrupted Iran’s democratic process, reinstated dictatorship, and sowed deep distrust among Iranians toward U.S. policies. This distrust deepened further with America’s support for the Shah’s regime, its backing of Saddam Hussein during the imposed war of the 1980s, the imposition of the longest and most comprehensive sanctions in modern history, and ultimately, unprovoked military aggression—twice, in the midst of negotiations—against Iran. Yet all these pressures have failed to weaken Iran. On the contrary, the country has grown stronger in many areas: literacy rates have tripled—from roughly 30% before the Islamic Revolution to over 90% today; higher education has expanded dramatically; significant advances have been achieved in modern technology; healthcare services have improved; and infrastructure has developed at a pace and scale incomparable to the past. These are measurable, observable realities that stand independent of fabricated narratives. At the same time, the destructive and inhumane impact of sanctions, war, and aggression on the lives of the resilient Iranian people must not be underestimated. The continuation of military aggression and recent bombings profoundly affect people’s lives, attitudes, and perspectives. This reflects a fundamental human truth: when war inflicts irreparable harm on lives, homes, cities, and futures, people will not remain indifferent toward those responsible. This raises a fundamental question: Exactly which of the American people’s interests are truly being served by this war? Was there any objective threat from Iran to justify such behavior? Does the massacre of innocent children, the destruction of cancer-treatment pharmaceutical facilities, or boasting about bombing a country “back to the stone ages” serve any purpose other than further damaging the United States’ global standing? Iran pursued negotiations, reached an agreement, and fulfilled all its commitments. The decision to withdraw from that agreement, escalate toward confrontation, and launch two acts of aggression in the midst of negotiations were destructive choices made by the U.S. government—choices that served the delusions of a foreign aggressor. Attacking Iran’s vital infrastructure—including energy and industrial facilities—directly targets the Iranian people. Beyond constituting a war crime, such actions carry consequences that extend far beyond Iran’s borders. They generate instability, increase human and economic costs, and perpetuate cycles of tension, planting seeds of resentment that will endure for years. This is not a demonstration of strength; it is a sign of strategic bewilderment and an inability to achieve a sustainable solution. Is it not also the case that America has entered this aggression as a proxy for Israel, influenced and manipulated by that regime? Is it not true that Israel, by manufacturing an Iranian threat, seeks to divert global attention away from its crimes toward the Palestinians? Is it not evident that Israel now aims to fight Iran to the last American soldier and the last American taxpayer dollar—shifting the burden of its delusions onto Iran, the region, and the United States itself in pursuit of illegitimate interests? Is “America First” truly among the priorities of the U.S. government today? I invite you to look beyond the machinery of misinformation—an integral part of this aggression—and instead speak with those who have visited Iran. Observe the many accomplished Iranian immigrants—educated in Iran—who now teach and conduct research at the world’s most prestigious universities, or contribute to the most advanced technology firms in the West. Do these realities align with the distortions you are being told about Iran and its people? Today, the world stands at crossroads. Continuing along the path of confrontation is more costly and futile than ever before. The choice between confrontation and engagement is both real and consequential; its outcome will shape the future for generations to come. Throughout its millennia of proud history, Iran has outlasted many aggressors. All that remains of them are tarnished names in history, while Iran endures—resilient, dignified, and proud."

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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
trump has zero idea how to get out (and Iran won't let him) maybe we'll invade, maybe we won't maybe we'll need to control the strait, maybe we won't maybe we'll need NATO to step in, maybe we won't maybe we'll need to make a deal, maybe we won't deception has its limits
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews

BREAKING: US President Donald Trump threatens to halt weapons supplies to Ukraine unless European countries agreed to join a coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, the Financial Times reported.

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Sammy 'Ace' Rothstein
Sammy 'Ace' Rothstein@shortbus_ace·
pulling out of the war now is about as dumb as a move as we could make for the future of peace and stability of the region and the world. yes, I know that probably means many more Americans would die as a result, but that is the price required at this point for the goals of our values. withdrawing and leaving the ROW to figure it out and probably giving Iran some control of the SoH longer-term is economically, and in terms of stability, worse than really anything possible. even maybe having nuclear capabilities (maybe!) know this will piss people off, don't care. never supported this to start, but now we must finish it or there will be far worse consequences. leaving now is because Trump can't stomach a recession instead of actually being America First, which right now is all I am thinking about. I love this country, I love our troops and I love you all
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Matheus Lonning
Matheus Lonning@mathlonning·
Imagine Trump’s announcement tomorrow night is just him saying he’s sending troops to occupy Iran lmfao that’d be unfortunate.
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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
the winning formula is economic pain since Iran will control the strait post war, it'll get what it wants (and is likely to make a lot of money from it) it knows that is has leverage over the western AI supply chain through Taiwan and South Korea erosion of the petrodollar means structurally higher borrowing costs for the US and inflation in the US whether trump likes it or not will be interesting to see if we see more escalation on the back of that (potentially instigated by Israel) clear win for Iran, China and Russia clear loss for US and Israel unimaginable loss for GCC and Europe
COMBATE |🇵🇷@upholdreality

Iran FM Araghchi: "No negotiation has taken place. We have not responded to the US proposal and we have not given a counter-proposal. Trust with the US is at zero. We are waiting for their ground troops."

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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
@ContrarianCurse you’re fully missing the social implications quite literally the bear case given trump handed the dems the landslide
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SuspendedCap
SuspendedCap@ContrarianCurse·
Thinking through AI backdrop. Sorry if I ramble along here. Few things I think are absolutely true: 1) prob will never be enough tokens again 2) we are selling compute for way below cost 3) economics for the labs vs the semis that enable it, even though they are codependent are totally out of whack Three things that are extremely important to the LT health of this trade: 1) there is capital willing to be burned 2) we keep developing harnesses/organization of agents in novel way to extract productivity and output 3) we need to absolutely continue to see leaps in performance per rack/w/etc Its then a race against time, what comes first? Do we run out of capital to burn? Most likely to would lose the highest cost token producers, and compute would get even more expensive (due to demand) - resulting in a windfall for those that have better cost curves. This would give headroom for the labs to raise prices Does one of the labs gain enough confidence that they can raise prices? I would argue Anthropic could do it today, but will probably choose to burn another 50b+ to keep the momentum. I'm not sure they are wrong, but IPO window needs to stay healthy (and is somewhat tied to what SpaceX can get done) Or can NVDA achieve cost does fast enough + price increases that you get a narrowing in the growth in demand and the growth in compute supply to a better ecosystem level. We will see. But the market currently is not optimistic that we are on the right path.. depends on the month though I am long infra/equipment/and supply chain that I think have already won, and the advancements needed to enable the compute scaling which is essential to keeping this whole thing going
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Masa’s Son
Masa’s Son@masayoshisson·
$vcx that's pretty much how I think the oai ipo will go
Masa’s Son tweet media
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