Flyys

@ErkInvestor 🤝

There's always so much hype around $NVDA earnings, then the stock does absolutely nothing

@vontuchman Tulee oleen vahva rapsa, mikä markkinalla kanssa jo tiedossa. Veikkaisin että aika nothing burger reaktio markkinalta, niinku aikasempien osarien kanssa. Mutta noustu kanssa aika hyvin tässä viime viikot, voi olla että alaspäin semit yleisesti huomenna.✋😔🤚

Nvidian osari muutaman tunnin päästä, miten pelataan tämä? #pekka $NVDA

@PronkDaniel I don't think it'd be easy, but the MI segment is not as insulated from AI as the ratings & indices are. In my opinion they'll need to at least keep improving their own AI solutions on capIQ etc, but there'll for sure be some new competitors going forward. Love the biz tho.

$SPGI is at its lowest fwd P/E since the bottom of covid. I'm looking into the name now. One of my questions is: How challenging would it be for someone to replicate the data S&P has?

@__waltuh @joecarlsonshow Damn, wasn't aware of that

@noFlyys @joecarlsonshow nope!

We did it folks

@__waltuh @joecarlsonshow Is that AI?

@joecarlsonshow your 10k trim last year would be worth 25k now.

I entered $AMD at $250 as a play on the switch from training to inference, where CUDA's moat thins and memory bandwidth wins. This is why I think we're still in the early innings of the inference switch.

Here's what I own in my portfolio and why, sorted by size. Not financial advice! $GOOG owns both the AI distribution layer (Search, YouTube, Android) and the infrastructure to run it (TPUs, GCP), meaning it gets paid on every rung of the AI value chain $NBIS a pure play neo-cloud operator backed by NVIDIA capital, attacking a data center market where demand structurally exceeds supply. $AVGO picks and shovels winner of the AI custom silicon wave and an alternative to NVIDIA pricing power. $TSM the monopoly chokepoint of the entire semiconductor industry $FRFHF my value play, Berkshire style Canadian compounder with 39% EPS CAGR over 3 years, massive insurance float funding its value portfolio $BN world's preeminent alternative asset manager benefiting both from AI data centers and the energy transition $INVE.B Swedish holdco run by the masterful Wallenberg family, excellent proxy for European high quality indistrual and healtchare compounders $META 3.3B+ user base supporting an AI flywheel with Llama, AI glasses, and Advantage+ ads $MA a toll booth on global commerce with near zero marginal cost per transaction, huge moat impossible to replicate. $IBKR the lowest cost, highest margin broker on earth, growing global retail base that competitors literally cannot profitably serve. $KLAC the quality control gatekeeper of chip manufacturing , no matter who wins the chip wars they'll need KLA inspection equipment. $CRDO solves the data center connectivity bottleneck $GRDU my Smart Grid ETF. A diversified bet on global electrification including names such as $ABB.SW $ETN $SU.PA $PRY.MI $RYCEY UK compounder capitlizing on surging defense budgets, data center backup power demand, wide body aerospace and a possible nuclear / SMR opportunity.

Happy to see Renova getting the attention it deserves!

@ErkInvestor @wallstengine

The Information: Anthropic is preparing to launch Claude Opus 4.7 and a new AI design tool as soon as this week, according to a person familiar. The tool is said to let users build presentations, websites, landing pages, and products from natural language prompts. $FIG $ADBE

@vontuchman Jep, pointtina lähinnä indeksisijouttamisen helppous ja hyvyys😁🤝

@noFlyys Kyllä, koska AGI hyötyjät vahvasti tänään ylös.

Markkina on tänään oikeastaan ensimmäistä kertaa antanut viitteitä siitä, että se alkaa ymmärtämään, mitä AGI tarkoittaa. #pekka

@loza_j7122 @wallstengine I know right, almost like they're not sold out with triple digits YoY growth?!

@wallstengine Lol imagine actually walking around wearing these things.

Meta is launching two new $499 Ray-Ban smart glasses, the Blayzer Optics and Scriber Optics, with slimmer frames, swappable nose pads, and adjustable temple tips. They go on sale April 14.

@vontuchman Eli toisin sanoen pidät Broadcomin jne asemaa varsin hyvänä tulevaisuuden kannalta?

Juu, tankattu on! 😅💪 En silti täysin varauksetta ole innoissani tuosta p/e -luvusta, sillä mielestäni on merkittävä riski, että ASIC/XPU-tyyppiset chipit dominoivat tulevaisuudessa inferenssikisaa, eikä Nvidialla oikein ole vastinetta. Eli huikeana pysynyt myyntikateprosentti voi lähteä laskuun, kun datakeskuksissa siirrytään isommin mallien koulutuksesta inferenssiin. Yhtiö tuskin haluaa omaa XPU-chippiä (käytännössä tensorilaskentaan dedikoitu suoritin) tehdä myöskään, mm. kannibalisaatioriskin ja CUDA-yhteensopivuuden takia. Jensen kylläkin väittää, että yhtiön GPU:t ovat ykkösiä inferenssissäkin, niiden tehokkaan verkottumisen kautta. On myös hyvä muistaa, että yhtiö on todella innovatiivinen ja tottakai tekoälyprosessien edelläkävijä. Se on oman salkkuni toiseksi suurin positio juuri tällä hetkellä, Googlen jälkeen. Applen painoa olen pienentänyt shorteilla (lähinnä muistiriskien takia). #pekka $NVDA

Every $MU dip is a buy. HBM3E yields improving, 12-hi stacks ramping for B200/B300, and DRAM bit supply growth running below demand for the first time in 3 years. This is a structural repricing of the entire memory supply chain.

"The stock went up, I sold too soon!" "The stock went down, I sold too late!" In investing, outcomes can easily make us misjudge the quality of our decisions. However, in endeavours where there is a high degree of uncertainty, decision-making quality cannot be judged solely on the outcomes of a few decisions. Instead, focus on whether you made the right decision given the available information: - Why did you believe it was a good time to sell? - Was there something you overlooked? - Could you have known?

@QualityInvest5 If we rebound and a week later it’s at 1550$, are you going to say you're happy you didn't sell?

@noFlyys I been talking about trimming or not trimming FOR MONTHS. Since it was $1100~ i was calling out that I wanna trim in that mid 50s PE range because that’s where it tops out historically There are countless videos of this and tweets “Price dictates sentiment” stfu

Shouldve trimmed when I had the chance >$1500 $ASML

@ErkInvestor @joecarlsonshow

@joecarlsonshow Did any of you buy the DUOL dip?

Did any of you buy the Netflix dip?

@hkeskiva 0,3 P/S pohjilla oli myös aika kuvaava mittari sen hetkisestä arvostuksesta.

Nesteen korpitaival kääntyi P/B-luvun laskiessa alle yhden. Onko P/B-arvostusmittari turha - vai vain harvoin tarpeen?

If you think the way you're investing is risky, then you're doing it wrong.