Nicholas Burchard

@Findmykids really tried the app had to subscribe to setup family only to find it doesn’t support Apple Watch anymore and 1 hour later won’t cancel or refund the subscription…….really lol

3 weeks since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Price comparison time: Middle East urea - 60% or $285 higher NOLA Urea - 48% or $225st higher NOLA UAN - 34% or $115 higher NOLA DAP - 9% or $55 higher NOLA Potash - 3% or $10 higher Corn - 6% or $0.28 higher

The loss of Qatar/Saudi Arabia/Iran urea exports equates to roughly 81M acres of U.S. corn nitrogen being lost annually. - S.A./Qatar/Iran 2024 urea exports - 13.5M - U.S. corn acre average = 155 lbs/actual N - 1T urea (920 lbs/actual N) = 6 acres - 13.5M x 6 = 81M acres

Seven clocks are running. None of them negotiable. All of them counting down to the same weeks. The planting clock. Mid-April is the biological deadline for corn and soybean planting across the US Midwest. Every day that passes without nitrogen becoming affordable and available narrows the window for corn. USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres from 98.8 million. Soybeans rising to 85 million from 81.2 million. The seeds that go into the ground in the next three weeks determine America’s grain harvest in October. The decision is irreversible. The USDA clock. March 31. Prospective Plantings. The report that converts farmer intentions into official data. Every acreage number, every corn-soy ratio, every nitrogen-dependent calculation becomes a published fact that traders, governments, and food agencies will use to model global supply for the next twelve months. The number arrives in twelve days. The FAO clock. April 3. The Food Price Index. The first global reading that captures post-Hormuz commodity prices across cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat, and sugar. The 2022 peak was 159.7 in March 2022 after Ukraine. This reading will incorporate oil above $100, urea at $610, LNG halted, packaging repriced, and freight surcharges of $500 to $1,500 per container. The number that determines whether the UN declares a food emergency arrives in fifteen days. The pharmaceutical clock. India’s API inventory buffers are two to three months, measured from the war’s onset on February 28. Late May is the depletion window. Methanol at 87.7 percent Hormuz exposure feeds the solvent chain for paracetamol, ibuprofen, metformin, and antibiotics. Once buffers deplete, the shortage becomes a patient access crisis for the 47 percent of US generics that originate in India. The China crude clock. FGE NexantECA confirmed China is drawing commercial reserves at up to one million barrels per day. The draw sustains refinery operations for four to six weeks from March 19. Mid-April to late April is the exhaustion window. After that, China faces three options: accelerate Russian pipeline imports, reroute at massive premium, or crack open the strategic petroleum reserve. The third option reprices every commodity on the planet. The helium clock. SK Hynix and Samsung hold two to three months of helium inventory. Late May to early June is the depletion window. South Korea imports 64.7 percent of its helium from Qatar. Ras Laffan is offline. If helium buffers deplete before alternative supply arrives, semiconductor fabrication faces rationing. The AI hardware supply chain hits a physical wall measured in months, not quarters. The insurance clock. Solvency II requires 30 to 60 days of zero incidents before P&I clubs can reinstate war risk coverage. Even after a ceasefire, the insurance normalisation takes six to sixteen months based on the Red Sea precedent of 26 months and counting. The logistics system lags the financial relief rally by the longest duration of any clock in this crisis. Seven clocks. The shortest expires in twelve days. The longest runs for over a year. The planting window, the USDA report, the FAO index, the drug buffers, the Chinese crude draw, the helium inventory, and the insurance cycle are all counting down simultaneously. None of them pause for diplomacy. None of them respond to presidential directives. None of them read sealed packets. The calendar is the only actor in this war that has never lost a negotiation. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@PVDMayor @PVD311 Great been waiting for our sidewalks to be repaired for 17 years, every time we Submit we get a text saying completed!!!!

Today is 3/11, @PVD311 Day! I stopped by our 311 call center to take a few calls from residents and hear directly what’s on their minds. Whether it’s questions about our new trash and recycling carts, reporting a pothole or learning how to start a business in Providence, our team is here and ready to help. Create your PVD311 account today to submit requests, track updates and stay informed on important city announcements: 311.providenceri.gov

@ProvidenceRIPD Let’s buy one

Providence Police officers are deployed across the city supporting snow operations and helping ensure plows can move quickly and safely through every neighborhood. Our officers are actively enforcing the parking ban, assisting with disabled vehicles, and keeping travel lanes clear so DPW crews can do their work without delays. You can help by keeping vehicles off the street and avoiding unnecessary travel while cleanup continues.

@CoreyWelch @wpri12 On hope street right now

A giant snowblower is now working to help clear the streets in Providence! @wpri12

@NBC10 Awesome

Katie chimed in a timelapse of the snowstorm from Pawtucket. Send in your photos: turnto10.com/chimein

@RIBNS @WX1BOX That looks good, they just plowed Hope St for the first time since this morning and none of the side streets

Road update from North Providence RI @WX1BOX

@TheStonesEG Nope seems like a bad plan

PS: Have not seen or heard one snow plow. Is that normal.

I’m not even sure I have the words… This is literally one of the NASTIEST moves to score a game winner & win a gold medal that you could ever dream of… MEGAN KELLER ARE YOU KIDDING?!?! UNBELIEVABLE!!!!! SPEECHLESS!!! US WINS GOLD!!!!!!! 🇺🇸🦅🥇

The moment you've all been waiting for, the 2026 Southers Marsh Super Bowl Ad. Go Pats!

@southersmarsh Love it

@PVDMayor @PVD311 We still haven’t seen any trash collection on Brenton/Montague streets

Trash and recycling collection will continue on a one-day delay this week as cleanup continues citywide. If your trash has not been picked up: • Please report it to @PVD311 • Leave your bins out so crews can collect as routes continue Overflow trash bags will be provided and can be picked up at City Hall or DPW, at no cost for residents who need additional capacity. With the amount of snow and cold temperatures, collection will remain ongoing across neighborhoods this week.

Perfection.

@GreensPro @GCSAAConference Best one ever

The @GCSAAConference show begins soon. Just a warm up for Saturdays video.

@TheCinesthetic The best

Sneakers (1992) got buried by a goofy title and clumsy marketing, but underneath it is a ridiculously well cast, sharply written caper with real wit and gorgeous early 90s craft. People are only now catching on to how good it always was.

@Mishi_2210 52

Answer is not "300" Tell me the answer and win $1000

@callmeMizuko 30

99.9% will fail..!!

@MikeFidanza Great job the other day for the cape! Was great to catch up

Pennsylvania Farm Show today; shaking hands, kissing babies in my role with the Phila Soc for Promoting Ag 😁 … and mushrooms are here! 🍄