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@TrendSpider Memory isn’t cyclical anymore. It’s structural
open.substack.com/pub/rothrockre…
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@quantLR
Managing L/S Book. Fear causes hesitation, and hesitation will cause your worst fears to come true. I don’t trade for direction, I trade for distribution.
เข้าร่วม Ağustos 2021
469 กำลังติดตาม784 ผู้ติดตาม
$APP AppLovin is the most structurally mis-categorized large-cap in the market today — the buy-side's mental model of a "gaming ad network" is being quietly dismantled quarter by quarter as Foroughi builds what is effectively a universal commerce OS for a billion daily users. The GenAI creative rollout in H1 2026 and the e-commerce platform GA are the two catalysts that could force institutional re-categorization from "premium ad tech" to "second-tier internet platform" — at which point comparable-set valuation math implies substantial re-rating. The combination of 84% EBITDA margins, 91% FCF growth, $3.28B of active buyback conviction, and a named conversion rate ceiling that is nearly 4x current levels makes this the highest asymmetry setup in large-cap tech right now.
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@WillOHara131 @spotgamma Agreed. Bessent is calling for Oil below $90 2H of ‘26. It’s going to happen
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@quantLR @spotgamma Buy rumor sell the news. If we put boots on ground maybe another spike but 120 is probably the high for now. The higher oil goes the more demand destruction there will be to the global economy
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…and double digit rates and spx down 30%?
Polymarket@Polymarket
BREAKING: U.S. officials & Wall Street analysts are now reportedly preparing for the possibility of $200 oil.
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@WillOHara131 @spotgamma Closest analog for this oil run is Russia v. Ukraine, best probable move is mimicking that outcome and oil downside soon
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@spotgamma Just like Russia Ukraine war, oil peaked at 130 and went down from there
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@HyperTechInvest I remember buying $MU sub $100 years ago. At the time, being one of the only major US memory players, I knew the administration would have their back.
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This week, Trump had a meeting with $MU's CEO, Sanjay Mehrotra.
Could the US take a stake in $MU, just as they did with $INTC?
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@zephyr_z9 This is extremely bullish for: $CRWD $PANW $S $ZS $QLYS $BAH Check out my report on explain why! lrmi.ai/p/llm-cyberoff…
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$MP Materials is the single most structurally mis-categorized company in the U.S. public markets today!
A de facto defense-industrial and physical AI infrastructure platform masquerading as a loss-making rare earth miner, with $650M+ in contracted EBITDA backed by the Pentagon, Apple, and GM, a GBD technology breakthrough reducing heavy rare earth dependence by 60%, and a CEO who — as a former hedge fund manager — is explicitly calling the market's attention to a NdPr supply squeeze that has not yet been priced.
The thesis is time-sensitive because the convergence of physical AI demand, China export control dynamics, and the GM magnet revenue inflection all point toward a forced re-categorization event in the next 12–18 months.
@MPMaterials
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This is extremely bullish for: $CRWD $PANW $S $ZS $QLYS $BAH Check out my write-up on why!
lrmi.ai/p/llm-cyberoff…
Zephyr@zephyr_z9
US is going to get a major cyberoffense boost in the next 9-15 months And unlike nukes (used twice) or 5th gen fighter jets (deployed sparsely), they will be repeatedly used and deployed daily No other country has an answer to this (China will be 6-9 months behind if the current trajectory holds) youtube.com/watch?v=1sd26p…
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US is going to get a major cyberoffense boost in the next 9-15 months
And unlike nukes (used twice) or 5th gen fighter jets (deployed sparsely), they will be repeatedly used and deployed daily
No other country has an answer to this (China will be 6-9 months behind if the current trajectory holds)
youtube.com/watch?v=1sd26p…
YouTube
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This is extremely bullish for: $CRWD $PANW $S $ZS $QLYS $BAH
Check out my report on Substack!
lrmi.ai/p/llm-cyberoff…
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort
Watch this and tell me the pentagon won’t move heaven and earth to make sure it has priority access to these capabilities. Slow rolling access will directly cost American lives. Letting China distill models will cost American lives. Shipping China GPUs at scale will cost American lives. There is a brief window where we will have cyber supremacy and access to every politician on earths communication and systems. Complete god view. It’s a brief window. Analogous to Enigma and Turing during WW2. I hope Washington doesn’t fucking squander the opportunity and Dario puts aside his ego for five seconds so we can establish hegemony before devolving back to our petty domestic squabbling 🫡
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@TMTLongShort This is Extremely bullish $CRWD $PANW $S
Market has these names wrong
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Watch this and tell me the pentagon won’t move heaven and earth to make sure it has priority access to these capabilities.
Slow rolling access will directly cost American lives. Letting China distill models will cost American lives. Shipping China GPUs at scale will cost American lives.
There is a brief window where we will have cyber supremacy and access to every politician on earths communication and systems.
Complete god view.
It’s a brief window. Analogous to Enigma and Turing during WW2.
I hope Washington doesn’t fucking squander the opportunity and Dario puts aside his ego for five seconds so we can establish hegemony before devolving back to our petty domestic squabbling 🫡
Zephyr@zephyr_z9
US is going to get a major cyberoffense boost in the next 9-15 months And unlike nukes (used twice) or 5th gen fighter jets (deployed sparsely), they will be repeatedly used and deployed daily No other country has an answer to this (China will be 6-9 months behind if the current trajectory holds) youtube.com/watch?v=1sd26p…
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Worked in semiconductors for many years.
Usage of helium for making computer chips is ubiquitous and required.
We just blew up 30% of the world supply.
No helium means no AI chips.
No AI chips means no AI data centers.
No data centers means no AI bubble.
=Market crash.
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Aritzia is producing roughly 3x the revenue Lulu was per store.
This is massive, and they plan to build 2x more stores!
$ATZAF $ATZ $LULU
lrmi.ai/p/aritzia-is-w…
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@TMTLongShort Sweet, I’ll take a look. That makes sense, appreciate the insights
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@quantLR Pretty good. A bit unintelligible at times but you can just slow playback down to get through it.
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This is one to add to the white girl basket $ATZ $ATZAF
Stock is going to mimic $LULU ‘s run it had in 2016!
7@quantLR
ARITZIA = LULU 2016 ALL OVER AGAIN US funds blind to $ATZ $ATZAF on TSX. Same setup: margin trough behind it, US buildout just starting (72 boutiques vs 200 target), revenue/boutique 3x LULU at same stage, +33% growth, FCF exploding, $620M cash zero debt. CEO (39yrs): “never been more excited.” Gross margin recovery is the trigger — LULU went 46%→57% and 7x’d. ATZ tracking the same path with 2-Year lag. 35x P/E on a business this clean? Temporary TSX scar tissue. US listing coming. 2-4x setup. Asymmetry screaming. $ATZ $ATZAF $LULU Who’s still sleeping? lrmi.ai/p/aritzia-is-w…
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