Rossium
895 posts

Rossium
@rossium
researching market inefficiencies / onchain since 2020 / founder @ObscuraIntel
magic internet money world เข้าร่วม Haziran 2025
815 กำลังติดตาม3.5K ผู้ติดตาม
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@RohOnChain gotta watch this to not miss the biggest opportunities of the next 10 years
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i can't believe this 1 hour talk by the people who control the world's financial system including Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon & Larry Fink literally told you exactly where the money is going for the next decade:
Roan@RohOnChain
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@TheGreekTrader @willo2_Poly okay, my bad. Was looking at another market
so yeah, main problem here is Polymarket not learning from its own mistakes which cause hundreds of thousands in losses
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@rossium @willo2_Poly That's the previous market. The rules weren't talking about an announcement but if MicroStrategy would "purchase".
On our case it's the exact same rules but with sell instead of purchase.

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Did @willo2_Poly really get scammed by Polymarket or was he just a greedy dude who full ported into 'free money' and got rekt?
Let's dive into it.
Yesterday I made a post explaining why I thought this market would resolve to NO while YES was trading at 65% (check the screenshot or my profile).
Long story short, based purely on the written rules, this looked like a YES resolution.
However, there was strong precedent for it resolving NO. A previous market with almost identical rules had been clarified so that information outside the market timeframe didn't count.
This was public information, although not easy for a newbie to find. It was immediately shared in the Polymarket Discord, which is why I always recommend being active there.
Another reason a YES clarification would've been bad is that we'd never know when a market is actually resolved.
The market timeframe was already over. If information that comes out days or weeks later that can change the outcome, how long are traders supposed to wait before considering a market settled?
There are already markets where confirmation arrives days or weeks later, yet they still resolve based on what was known within the timeframe. Changing that standard would create huge uncertainty and be disastrous for the platform.
Now back to Willo2.
Willo2 was buying thousands of shares that MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin by May 31, AFTER the news came out at 70%-80%. (he had a few shares already, that he had sold them before the news).
He saw that even though everyone knew MicroStrategy had sold the Bitcoin, the market was still trading around 70-80%, while markets for later timeframes, like June 30, were trading at 99.9% and he kept buying YES.
I think we can all agree this was a dumb and greedy move.
You always have to remember that if something looks too good to be true, it probably is. You don't just go all in, on something that doesn't make sense, thinking you are smarter than everyone else.
And if there had been no ambiguity in the rules, Willo2 would never have been in this position because the market would've been trading at 99.9% immediately after the news came out, not 70%, when he was buying.
Anyway, no matter how Polymarket clarified this market, there was always going to be massive drama.
If they clarified YES, they would've gone against their own previous clarifications, which had created some level of consistency on the platform and all the sharp traders who traded based on that precedent would've been rekt.
The real reason for all this drama was the unclear wording of the market.
If the rules had explicitly stated that only the announcement itself mattered, it would've been clear.
Instead, the wording left room for interpretation about whether information outside the timeframe should count.
For me, Polymarket's biggest mistake was not clarifying the market before May 31. People had already asked for clarification specifically to avoid this exact situation.
My take is that it sucks that @willo2_Poly lost $500k and I genuinely hope he makes it back.
But he lost it mainly because he was greedy af.
The problem isn't that Polymarket resolved this market to NO.
The problem is that the rules were ambiguous enough that reasonable people could argue either side and they didn't clarify it days ago to prevent all of this.


willo2@willo2_Poly
I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:
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Polymarket just set a precedent that breaks trust in prediction markets.
'MSTR sells any bitcoin by May 31' market resolution text said YES if MSTR sells any BTC by the deadline.
source: MSTR info + on-chain data. no mention of when it's disclosed.
8-K says the sale happened May 26–31. in-window. verifiable on-chain.
then a clarification dropped saying confirmation outside the window doesn't count – importing an announcement-timing rule the text never had
how does anyone – retail or institutional – trust a platform that rewrites rules after the event?
imagine reading the resolution text, building convictioN, understanding how 8-K filings work. then a clarification drops that wasn't anywhere in the original rules and ruins all of it.
a resolution standard you can only know after the event isn't a standard

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pov: you find out 60% of your Claude tokens were wasted the entire time
an Anthropic engineer just explained why most users hit usage limits every day and have no idea it's their own fault
> context rot kicks in after 300-400K tokens - dead weight from failed attempts and tool calls dilutes everything
> /clear before new tasks, Esc + /rewind after failures, /compact around 250K tokens - most people skip all of this
> Opus 4.8 added Dynamic Workflows, Effort control, and Fast mode - almost nobody uses them
> /code-review replaced /simplify - if you're still using the old command you're doing it wrong
> master CLAUDE.md and Skills and you triple useful work from the same subscription
the people hitting limits every day aren't using Claude more
they're using it worse
save this before your next session
AdiiX@adiix_official
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THIS GIRL DEVELOPER CUT A $4,200/YEAR AI VISUAL STACK BY 99% - AND BUILT THE LOCAL VERSION FROM ONE LAPTOP
she went through the whole setup herself from a raw camera feed to TouchDesigner, Ollama, local models and a live visual loop that runs without paying for every request
she started with a normal laptop, opened TouchDesigner, connected the camera layer, then moved the “brain” local so the system could react without waiting on cloud tools
then she removed the expensive parts - $120 API months, $80 render credits, plugin chains, visual software fees and the 6-tool stack most creators keep renting
the final version is the crazy part - one interface handling visuals, particles, scene logic and realtime reactions while cutting the recurring cost from hundreds a month to roughly $2
she says creators are still overpaying 95%+ for workflows that can now live on one machine, and she already built the proof before most people realize the stack changed
Gipp 🦅@gippp69
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Most people open Claude, ask one question and close the tab, never realizing they just touched maybe five percent of what it actually does
It stopped being a chat box a while ago and became four tools that quietly erase the busywork your week is buried under
> Chat for quick questions, the part everyone already uses
> Cowork reads your real files, spreadsheets and documents and does the busywork
> Code writes and ships working software, in the clip it builds a full app called Notespace
> Projects and memory keep your context so you stop re-explaining yourself every morning
> connectors plug it into Slack, Drive and your calendar so it acts instead of just answering
The five percent most people use is the chat box and the other ninety five is everything they never bothered to open, which is exactly where all the saved time was hiding
SCOTTY BEAM@ScottyBeamIO
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This Dude Made $3,588,720 Betting on Sports
Most people lose money betting on sports
One Polymarket trader did the opposite
"sovereign2013" has generated over $3,588,720 in profit trading sports markets
The craziest part?
He's done it across more than 40,000 predictions
Profile: @sovereign2013?via=goaty" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@sovereign2013…
Some of his largest publicly visible wins:
> Arizona Wildcats: +$179,120
> Utah State Aggies (-10.5): +$114,244
> Tulane vs Temple: +$81,415
That's nearly $375,000 from just three trades
This isn't a lucky parlay
It's thousands of bets, repeated over years, with strict sizing and risk management
While most people treat sports as gambling...
Some traders treat it like a financial market
Save this


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🚨a 22-year-old made $20k last month with an iPhone and one insight
no design skills. no team. no studio.
just figured out that businesses need images and don't have time to make them.
Midjourney generated 90% of the work. he uploaded, tagged, priced.
> wallpaper subscriptions: $6,200
> stock photos: $5,400
> Etsy print-on-demand: $4,800
> Fiverr: $3,600
four free platforms. one phone. month 12: $20,000
the pack he spent two weeks refining made $180. the one he shipped the same day made $640.
he documented the whole thing
Fokki@0x_fokki
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JENSEN HUANG SHOWED OFF A SERVER THAT RUNS EVERY AI MODEL ON EARTH. APPLE STORES SOLD OUT OF $599 MAC MINIS THE SAME WEEK FOR $3 A MONTH IN ELECTRICITY
two months ago a developer posted his claude code bill on reddit, $170 in 10 days of work, the quality was magic but the bill was not
the top reply said "i bought a mac mini m4, haven't paid anthropic since" and the thread exploded with developers doing the same math
uber rolled out claude code to 5,000 engineers and watched bills hit $500 to $2,000 per person, burning through their entire $3.4 billion AI budget in 4 months
the mac mini m4 starts at $599 one time, pulls 10 to 20 watts running 24/7, and costs $3 a month in electricity while a windows AI machine doing the same job costs $30 to $50 a month just to stay on
ollama added support for the anthropic messages api in january 2026, so claude code itself connects to your local mac mini with one environment variable, same interface, zero API costs
apple stores ran out of mac minis in 2026 because $599 one time beats $200 a month forever, that shortage is the most honest product review any machine has ever received
the window is open, follow and bookmark before it closes
starmex@starmexxx
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@thegreatest_sv the repos are public, the gap is in who actually sits down for 4 hours to set it up ( I won't )
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>be like a skater on a pump track
>you don’t push
>you don’t grind
>you just lean and the track carries you
that’s Claude Code with the right repos
>claude-mem -> never explain your project twice
>karpathy-skills -> accuracy jumps 65% to 94% from one file
>superpowers -> half your daily prompts become slash commands
>github-mcp -> Claude reads the issue, writes the fix, opens the PR
>you set it up once
>then you just lean
>15,576 repos indexed. most devs use 2-3.
the top 5% run 30 agents with zero context loss
everyone pays for the same subscription. not everyone gets the same results.
15 repos that close the gap below
kiosa@thegreatest_sv
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Paul Tudor made $100M in one day, Stan Druckenmiller made 1 trade that broke the Bank of England
on one RobinHood stage two $10B+ hedge fund CEOs gave a 30-minute trading masterclass
completely free - two of the greatest traders in history will show you the most important rules of trading
bookmark & watch - this is better than any paid course from fake traders
bodila@51bodila
JPMorgan CEO rejected Lehman Brothers offer to be CEO - he knew the bank would collapse in 2 months with $600B in debt 38-min lecture from a young Jamie - to understand how he predicted every global crisis before it happened - filmed in 2008 while Lehman Brothers was still alive - he already knew exactly what was coming watch and save - one of his first public lectures, recorded at the Economic Club 10 years after Sandy Weill fired him from Citigroup
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pov: you find out someone is making $6,200/month in views for $0.0002 CPM while you're paying $8 per 1,000 on Meta ads
> one Claude Opus 4.8 skill installed
> one message from his phone: "make 10 vids from channel and schedule them"
> Claude scrapes viral hooks, stitches his CTA, auto-posts to TikTok/IG/YouTube
300K+ views. $6,200/month. 5 minutes of work. no camera. no editing. no team
> 25,000x cheaper than TikTok ads
full setup guide in the article👇
Will@athcanft
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PEOPLE ARE BURNING THROUGH THEIR TOKENS IN 30 MINUTES AND BLAMING CLAUDE
The problem isn’t with the model. The problem is how they’re using it
A simple formatting question they set Max effort
The 40th message in the chat the model re-reads the entire history from the beginning
Every single time. Using your tokens
Low effort costs 10 times less than Max
Just get into the habit of routing tasks by level and your limit won’t run out by noon
Tokens don’t disappear. You’re just paying for unnecessary processing
kaize@0x_kaize
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@ridark_eth ad agency business model is about to get unbundled by one person with a phone and Claude
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this guy turned a raw 10-second phone clip into a multi-character media engine and pulled $19,400 in agency retainers this month
he didn't rent a studio, buy expensive lighting, or hire actors
→ original clip: record yourself in a regular alleyway wearing black clothing
→ google flow upload: drop the raw mp4 file directly into the layout engine
→ omni flash prompt: "change clothing to premium white galabeya, preserve body weight and hand tracking"
→ asset injection: point at the empty space → render a white toyota sedan with exact matching shadows
30 minutes from zero to a flawless, physics-locked side-by-side demonstration video.
earnings breakout from this single infrastructure setup:
> brand deal 1 (local automotive): $8,500
> tech platform promo: $6,000
> dynamic ad variations contract: $4,900
most content agencies are still sending 5-man production crews to locations and charging clients $20,000 to shoot one clean commercial.
he bypassed the entire physical production bottleneck using consumer hardware and a single web window.
Ridark@ridark_eth
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shorted Iran Hormuz market at 25% this week. now it's at 2%
the spike came from this Nikkei headline: 'Iran to open Hormuz 30 days after US deal'
for retail it looked like an obvious YES
the resolution criteria excluded any deal with fees. every leak said Iran was keeping the fees.
retail traded the headline. the market resolves on the rules
read the criteria before you trade the news.

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