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Wizzo
5.2K posts


good reminder if you are going to short a DEX token, don't do it on that DEX.
you could have been very right shorting $drift on Drift and got 0.
so, if you're going to be short $HYPE do it on Lighter. If you're short $LIT do it on Hyperliquid.
part of the upside to shorting a DEX (unfortunately), is in the nightmare FTX, Luna, Drift scenario, and that only is realized if you are short elsewhere.

Wizzo@solwizzo
Pulling funds off $drift. Something isn't right here...
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@chfastestfatman that would happen in theory, but I dont think in practice this is how the market behaves. Of course, at a certain point, funding rates would have to be balanced against the risk. wouldn't want to be way overpaying for that "insurance."
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@solwizzo Good point! And presumably the demand from shorts on other venues will suppress funding rates relative to the "home venue", and make these the best places to go long as well?
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@BasisPoint_xyz i wouldn't suggest shorting, but selling if you hold spot tokens.
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@solwizzo If capital is returned and multi-sig amended, of course it can continue. There are plenty of survivors from exploits before.
But structurally you had limited venues to sell, and the market is there for you to pay 50bps an hour to short it if you want
funding.basispoint.xyz/asset/DRIFT
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@BasisPoint_xyz i would put odds pretty close to 0 that drift recovers in any meaningful way. even if funds are fully recovered - like who is going to re-deposit after an exploit like that?
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@solwizzo 30% might seem low, but there is a non zero chance of asset recovery and/or exchange continuation.
Funding is also extreme, making shorting very expensive.
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@solwizzo @Polymarket June one will track june expiry contract which isn’t even 100$ now.
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The odds of Crude Oil $CL hitting $120 by end of March, and end of June on @Polymarket are the exact same odds...
do with this info what you will.


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@Overdose_BTC saw lending rates spike on collateral assets, and then dug in more.
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this is nice, but very unlikely that im going to spot an early exploit again anytime soon 😅
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