Stud Flop Draw

@learnmixgames @DeathDonkey @_CCooper @chanian @Dan__Zack Preflop hot/cold equity rankings come out exactly the same whether you run one or two boards. Seems reasonable to conclude that the preflop solutions will be the same

@DeathDonkey @_CCooper I’ll just start tagging people who might have a clue: @studflopdraw @chanian @Dan__Zack

LAB Work! We look at a recent session at @PhenomPokerApp with the help of @DeathDonkey's Lab! We also use @studflopdraw for a double board omaha hand. To join the LAB: lab.deathdonkey.com/?via=LMG To register for Phenom and get 2 hours of coaching: play.phenompoker.com/register?r=LMG

@learnmixgames @chanian @kwansfull Don't sleep on the pat wheel vs they only dealt you one card flip in badeucy

@chanian @kwansfull This is why O/8 is the greatest game ever invented no questions asked… Shoutout to @studflopdraw

The biggest lie ever told: “This is a classic coin flip”

Where the new @WSOP POY formula is misaligned with mixed game events (as currently structured): 1st in $10K Turbo Bounty: 1 day, $880k: 1177 pts 1st in $1.5K Closer: 2 days, $650k: 1128 pts 1st in $10K LHE + 2nd in $50K PPC: 8 days, $1.2M: 1126 pts x.com/studflopdraw/s…

Min-cashes are worth much less Though they are no longer limited, min cashes now carry less weight. In 2025, a 9th place finish was worth 5x a min cash. In the new formula, 9th is worth ~9.7x a min cash on average (from 2.2x in the smallest field events to 21x in the largest)

Non-FT cashes are worth less In 2025, @shaundeeb earned 418 points for two deep runs (12/575 in $2.5K O8/Stud8, 31/1176 in $1.5K PLO8), equivalent to finishing 6/900 in a $5K NLH. In the new formula, the $5K FT would be worth 2x as many points.

Takeaways from the new @WSOP POY formula. Overall, it puts more weight into large field & high roller events. A few of the key differences: x.com/studflopdraw/s…

@Kevmath x.com/studflopdraw/s…

Someone with an appropriate amount of time on their hands should see how the 2025 WSOP POY winner would have been with this new formula. That’s not me btw

Implementation notes: - A “busted” multiplier of 1 would mean that every non-cash earns POY points. We’re assuming this is a mistake and are not applying it. - It's unclear if the Final Table multiplier applies to top 9, official FT or unofficial FT. We’re applying it to top 9.

The new formula: wsop.com/2026-poy/ Overall, it puts more emphasis on FTs in high buy-in & large field events, and reduces the value of non-FT cashes. Online events no longer count, but all live cashes do (no more top 10 limit).

If the newly announced 2026 @WSOP POY Formula applied to the 2025 WSOP: @TheGrinder44 would be Player of the Year

@chanian @tombos21 Breaks down a bit in limit games with closer running equities. @DeathDonkey has some good theory on why in this seminar: mixedmindspoker.com/products/cours…

@tombos21 @studflopdraw what say you, sir

A hidden symmetry in preflop theory: open frequencies by position are remarkably invariant across games. Whether it’s Hold’em, PLO, or even 5-card PLO, the HJ still opens about 22% of hands. Why do such radically different games converge to the same frequencies?

Bloody Noses: 2K/4K In this episode of Bloody Noses @RunItOnce instructor Iteopepe88 joins me for 3 hands of recent nose bleed cash games on @PhenomPokerApp featuring @junglemandan @harrington25 @Kruk32. We also get to preview a new tool from @studflopdraw! Register for Phenom here for 2 free hours of mix game review! play.phenompoker.com/register?r=LMG

Software engineer Ian Gavlick is bringing games like triple draw into the modern era of poker strategy with Stud Flop Draw. He also has some predictions for how AI will shape the future of poker... thinkingpoker.net/2025/09/episod…

@JusFawcett @Kevmath @shaundeeb @BennyGlaser @TheGrinder44 @martinkabrhell There were players that cashed multiple day 1s but they end up counting as only a single result in the final tally

@studflopdraw @Kevmath @shaundeeb @BennyGlaser @TheGrinder44 @martinkabrhell Shouldn’t it be ~3695 people cashing in the Gladiator? Plus a few more due to rounding up a fraction of a person on each flight. (24,629 total * 0.15)

Where can we find the scoring rules for @WSOP Player of the Year? When I manually use the “WSOP Point Calculator” I get a different number for 5 of my results than is showing when I click my name.

@JusFawcett @Kevmath @shaundeeb @BennyGlaser @TheGrinder44 @martinkabrhell @JusFawcett Here's our accounting (but note that for the Gladiators, with 3,293 cashing the cutoff for top 20% would have been 666th):

I don’t have a chance to win in any case, but I would still like to be able to see my correct final rank, which will be higher than is currently listed unless others were shorted points in the same way. @Kevmath @studflopdraw @shaundeeb @BennyGlaser @TheGrinder44 @martinkabrhell

Potential tweak to the 2026 @WSOP POY formula: a small point penalty for entering an event. - Levels the playing field for exceptional results with lower volume - New strategic element for players chasing POY to adjust to Incidentally, @TheGrinder44 would be POY with the adjustment this year:

For the criticisms of the formula: Grinder's 1/1 in Main & PPC (2982 pts) counted for more than Deeb's 1/2/2/2 (2861 pts) and slightly less than Glaser's 1/1/1 (3039 pts). @shaundeeb ultimately won because he didn't have a single min-cash in his 10 counting scores (Benny had 3 and Grinder had 4)

Final 2025 @WSOP POY Standings. @shaundeeb wins in an incredibly tight race over @BennyGlaser, @martinkabrhell & @TheGrinder44