
Devil lover
1.3K posts

Devil lover
@Devil_in_making
Learning new technology is my passion
Sumali Ağustos 2021
525 Sinusundan288 Mga Tagasunod

@XPredicter Congratulations on being someone's exit liquidity.
So many preachings with own posts but unable to follow on own. Was bound to happen
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@herman_m8 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket Doing all this, and still loosing. So 90 cents turned out to be 0.
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One of the best and safe strategy on Polymarket
Why it works?
> Markets often underprice overlapping ranges
> People trade single outcomes, not distributions
> You’re exploiting probability fragmentation
Control total cost
The key rule:
Total cost of all positions must stay below <$1
• One range settles at $1
• The rest go to $0
• Net profit = $1 - total cost
That’s how you lock in 5-30% returns without precision guessing
Instead of betting on one range, you buy several neighboring ranges around the estimate
Example from the screenshot:
• 320-339 → 21%
• 340-359 → 34%
• 360-379 → 25%
• 380-399 → 12%
Total implied probability ≈ 90%
But markets are different, so the profit can be higher
You’re not picking "the winner"
This is elementary-school math

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@Stopthefire01 @Lighter_xyz Trader thought he is farming lighter but instead lighter was farming trader
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@shtanga0x @Polymarket Imho just a scapegoat for many still doing similar kind of things.
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Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years - the most pessimistic scenario came true. Still not strict enough in my opinion.
Right before the decision @Polymarket showed a spike of optimism for <5 years imprisonment, however reality is 15 years under bars.
Let me remind you Do Kwon is responsible for massive fraud tied to the 2022 collapse of TerraUSD (UST) and Luna, wiping out ~$40 billion in investor value and sparking a broader crypto market crisis.
His sentences are :
- Misleading Investors on Stability
- Ponzi-like High-Yield Deception
- Fleeing Accountability (forged passports, fraud and conspiracy).
Crypto markets are still the Wild West, but the regulators and gendarmes have arrived. In the end he got 1 year for each $3 billion lost of investments.
Sounds fair for you? Still too soft IMHO

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The result of enjoying the matches with guaranteed profit
Yesterday I used my tactic on two matches and got the following numbers:
Costs: $81 + $126 + $100 + $128 = $435
Profit: $443.5
Is this kind of profit worth the near-zero risk or not? Maybe not, but this approach definitely has the right to exist

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A no-loss betting strategy on Polymarket: Google’s top search of the year
#1 Searched Person on Google this year?
Polymarket has an open market titled “#1 Searched Person on Google this year?”
The winner will be whoever tops the official Google Year in Search 2025 rankings
Originally, the prediction focused on five key candidates – Pope Leo XIV (56%), Bianca Censori (13%), Donald Trump (9%), Jimmy Kimmel (6.8%), and Zohran Mamdani (4.6%)
It makes no sense to consider others since their percentages are even lower
The initial strategy involved betting on all of them to cover all possible outcomes, hedge the risk, and maximize odds of landing on the profitable scenario
Profit/loss calculations for a $1000 total position split across the five candidates:
- If Pope Leo XIV wins: payout = $520/0.51 ≈ $1020, profit ≈ +$20
- If Bianca Censori wins: payout = $200/0.13 ≈ $1538, profit ≈ +$538
- If Donald Trump wins: payout = $90/0.10 = $900, profit = $900–1000 = –$100
- If Jimmy Kimmel wins: payout = $90/0.068 ≈ $1324, profit ≈ +$324
- If Zohran Mamdani wins: payout = $100/0.046 ≈ $2165, profit ≈ +$1165
So in four out of five scenarios you end up in profit – especially strong if Bianca, Kimmel or Mamdani win. The only small loss is around –$100 if Trump takes it
It’s more profitable to focus on three top candidates – for example Leo XIV, Trump and Bianca
Let’s run sample numbers for a $1500 total bet across these three
- $1000 on Pope (at 52¢) gives ~1923 shares at $1; if he wins the net profit is ≈$993 at a 0.52 probability
- $300 on Trump (at 10¢) buys 3000 shares, potential profit $3000 at p ≈ 0.10
- $200 on Bianca (at 13¢) = 1538 shares, profit $1538 at p ≈ 0.03
Expected values (EV) vary: Trump gives EV ≈ $1500, Leo XIV ≈ $443, Bianca ≈ $38 (all approximate)
It’s clear Trump and Pope offer the most upside under this allocation. So the optimal move is to concentrate on the three most favorable candidates by price vs odds and avoid spreading capital too thin on unlikely picks
Google Trends data: candidate check
Analysis of Google search trends (via Glimpse) shows a dominant leader and weak contenders
Donald Trump – 110.6M searches (rank 1), clearly leads on Google Trends. Polymarket gives him just 10%, which seems undervalued
Pope Leo XIV – ~1.03M searches (rank 55), yet he holds 52% on Polymarket. His search popularity is far below the real top names
Kendrick Lamar – 3.24M searches (rank 25), Polymarket gives just 3%, even though his search volume is mid-tier
Taylor Swift – 43.1M (rank 2), almost completely ignored on the Polymarket #1 board, which looks like an oversight
Bad Bunny – 37.0M (rank 3), top 3 popularity but not in the Polymarket leaderboard
Bianca Censori, Zohran Mamdani, Jimmy Kimmel – not even in the top search rankings, which means their real influence on the result is negligible
So real search data confirms that Donald Trump is the clear favorite
That’s why instead of picking one favorite, I chose a set of credible contenders and reduced bet risk by hedging across multiple likely names

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Keep BONDMaxxing
#BONDSQUARES #DEFISHARDS
Old follower of this project and they are building
DeFiShards (Jpeg/acc)@DeFiShardsxyz
🚨 BOND SQUARES GIVEAWAY 🎁✨ [2 FREE MINTS] It’ time to ACT fast To celebrate the end of our first mint on DeFiShards, we’re giving away 2 BOND SQUARES to 2 lucky winners 🎉 Thank you for riding with us every single day HOW TO ENTER: 1️⃣ Follow @DeFiShardsxyz 2️⃣ Retweet the quoted post 3️⃣ Comment “Keep BONDMaxxing” in the quoted post 4️⃣ Add tags: #BONDSQUARES #DEFISHARDS ⏳ Winner announced after the end of the mint, 4 PM UTC today Let’s make JPEGs liquid again💧🔳🔥
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Link to Hyperliquid vault below👇
#DeFi #tradingstrategy #InvestmentStrategy #Quant #CryptoTrading #BITCOINHYPER #Hyperliquid
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@n0rulesnvr @DankoWeb3 @lunatik_corp @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade See the sign in profile. Paid shilling campaign
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@DankoWeb3 @lunatik_corp @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Because you can get absolutely wrecked with sudden odds changes
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$1.1M providing liquidity on Polymarket
He earned over 30% of his total PnL from this.
Here are the rules he followed:
– Don’t enter markets with low volume. If your order fills, there might be no one to sell your position to.
– Don’t stick to a single market. You can open as many orders as you want.
– Avoid wide spreads. You’ll end up selling at a loss.
– Stay away from highly volatile markets, like the “# of Elon Musk tweets” market.
To estimate your rewards in advance, use the Telegram bot: t.me/polymarket_liq…
Good luck!

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@0xGarci We are just getting started with so many possibilities
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would you buy over this chart?

Nillions@Nilllions
WAGMI means "WE'RE GONNA MAKE IT", NGMI means "NILLIONS GONNA MAKE IT" CA: n-1813.meme-cooking.near
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@dextrabot @extendedapp It's asking for 0.12 eth when my pf is only 80$. Lol
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@GrowiHF What happened to vault in last few days?
Looks like constant loss making vault in last 7 days.. backtest failing and constant losses

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Link to Hyperliquid vault below👇
#DeFi #hedgefund #YieldToYou #profit #WealthBuilding #WealthManagement
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Devil lover nag-retweet

@NEARProtocol How did you come with the name #ZOLANEAR? Looks unique.
Also can you tell us some of the possibilities with zcash near and solana.
#near #solana #zcash
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