Devil lover

1.3K posts

Devil lover

Devil lover

@Devil_in_making

Learning new technology is my passion

Sumali Ağustos 2021
525 Sinusundan288 Mga Tagasunod
Devil lover
Devil lover@Devil_in_making·
@XPredicter Congratulations on being someone's exit liquidity. So many preachings with own posts but unable to follow on own. Was bound to happen
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X@XPredicter·
i cant breath
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Matys
Matys@herman_m8·
One of the best and safe strategy on Polymarket Why it works? > Markets often underprice overlapping ranges > People trade single outcomes, not distributions > You’re exploiting probability fragmentation Control total cost The key rule: Total cost of all positions must stay below <$1 • One range settles at $1 • The rest go to $0 • Net profit = $1 - total cost That’s how you lock in 5-30% returns without precision guessing Instead of betting on one range, you buy several neighboring ranges around the estimate Example from the screenshot: • 320-339 → 21% • 340-359 → 34% • 360-379 → 25% • 380-399 → 12% Total implied probability ≈ 90% But markets are different, so the profit can be higher You’re not picking "the winner" This is elementary-school math
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shtanga0x
shtanga0x@shtanga0x·
Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years - the most pessimistic scenario came true. Still not strict enough in my opinion. Right before the decision @Polymarket showed a spike of optimism for <5 years imprisonment, however reality is 15 years under bars. Let me remind you Do Kwon is responsible for massive fraud tied to the 2022 collapse of TerraUSD (UST) and Luna, wiping out ~$40 billion in investor value and sparking a broader crypto market crisis. His sentences are : - Misleading Investors on Stability - Ponzi-like High-Yield Deception - Fleeing Accountability (forged passports, fraud and conspiracy). Crypto markets are still the Wild West, but the regulators and gendarmes have arrived. In the end he got 1 year for each $3 billion lost of investments. Sounds fair for you? Still too soft IMHO
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Alwarez
Alwarez@AlwarezIvan·
The result of enjoying the matches with guaranteed profit Yesterday I used my tactic on two matches and got the following numbers: Costs: $81 + $126 + $100 + $128 = $435 Profit: $443.5 Is this kind of profit worth the near-zero risk or not? Maybe not, but this approach definitely has the right to exist
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Danko
Danko@DankoWeb3·
A no-loss betting strategy on Polymarket: Google’s top search of the year #1 Searched Person on Google this year? Polymarket has an open market titled “#1 Searched Person on Google this year?” The winner will be whoever tops the official Google Year in Search 2025 rankings Originally, the prediction focused on five key candidates – Pope Leo XIV (56%), Bianca Censori (13%), Donald Trump (9%), Jimmy Kimmel (6.8%), and Zohran Mamdani (4.6%) It makes no sense to consider others since their percentages are even lower The initial strategy involved betting on all of them to cover all possible outcomes, hedge the risk, and maximize odds of landing on the profitable scenario Profit/loss calculations for a $1000 total position split across the five candidates: - If Pope Leo XIV wins: payout = $520/0.51 ≈ $1020, profit ≈ +$20 - If Bianca Censori wins: payout = $200/0.13 ≈ $1538, profit ≈ +$538 - If Donald Trump wins: payout = $90/0.10 = $900, profit = $900–1000 = –$100 - If Jimmy Kimmel wins: payout = $90/0.068 ≈ $1324, profit ≈ +$324 - If Zohran Mamdani wins: payout = $100/0.046 ≈ $2165, profit ≈ +$1165 So in four out of five scenarios you end up in profit – especially strong if Bianca, Kimmel or Mamdani win. The only small loss is around –$100 if Trump takes it It’s more profitable to focus on three top candidates – for example Leo XIV, Trump and Bianca Let’s run sample numbers for a $1500 total bet across these three - $1000 on Pope (at 52¢) gives ~1923 shares at $1; if he wins the net profit is ≈$993 at a 0.52 probability - $300 on Trump (at 10¢) buys 3000 shares, potential profit $3000 at p ≈ 0.10 - $200 on Bianca (at 13¢) = 1538 shares, profit $1538 at p ≈ 0.03 Expected values (EV) vary: Trump gives EV ≈ $1500, Leo XIV ≈ $443, Bianca ≈ $38 (all approximate) It’s clear Trump and Pope offer the most upside under this allocation. So the optimal move is to concentrate on the three most favorable candidates by price vs odds and avoid spreading capital too thin on unlikely picks Google Trends data: candidate check Analysis of Google search trends (via Glimpse) shows a dominant leader and weak contenders Donald Trump – 110.6M searches (rank 1), clearly leads on Google Trends. Polymarket gives him just 10%, which seems undervalued Pope Leo XIV – ~1.03M searches (rank 55), yet he holds 52% on Polymarket. His search popularity is far below the real top names Kendrick Lamar – 3.24M searches (rank 25), Polymarket gives just 3%, even though his search volume is mid-tier Taylor Swift – 43.1M (rank 2), almost completely ignored on the Polymarket #1 board, which looks like an oversight Bad Bunny – 37.0M (rank 3), top 3 popularity but not in the Polymarket leaderboard Bianca Censori, Zohran Mamdani, Jimmy Kimmel – not even in the top search rankings, which means their real influence on the result is negligible So real search data confirms that Donald Trump is the clear favorite That’s why instead of picking one favorite, I chose a set of credible contenders and reduced bet risk by hedging across multiple likely names
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Devil lover
Devil lover@Devil_in_making·
Keep BONDMaxxing #BONDSQUARES #DEFISHARDS Old follower of this project and they are building
DeFiShards (Jpeg/acc)@DeFiShardsxyz

🚨 BOND SQUARES GIVEAWAY 🎁✨ [2 FREE MINTS] It’ time to ACT fast To celebrate the end of our first mint on DeFiShards, we’re giving away 2 BOND SQUARES to 2 lucky winners 🎉 Thank you for riding with us every single day HOW TO ENTER: 1️⃣ Follow @DeFiShardsxyz 2️⃣ Retweet the quoted post 3️⃣ Comment “Keep BONDMaxxing” in the quoted post 4️⃣ Add tags: #BONDSQUARES #DEFISHARDS ⏳ Winner announced after the end of the mint, 4 PM UTC today Let’s make JPEGs liquid again💧🔳🔥

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lunatik
lunatik@lunatik_corp·
$1.1M providing liquidity on Polymarket He earned over 30% of his total PnL from this. Here are the rules he followed: – Don’t enter markets with low volume. If your order fills, there might be no one to sell your position to. – Don’t stick to a single market. You can open as many orders as you want. – Avoid wide spreads. You’ll end up selling at a loss. – Stay away from highly volatile markets, like the “# of Elon Musk tweets” market. To estimate your rewards in advance, use the Telegram bot: t.me/polymarket_liq… Good luck!
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Devil lover
Devil lover@Devil_in_making·
@0xGarci We are just getting started with so many possibilities
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dextrabot
dextrabot@dextrabot·
Extended grid style trading & airdrop farming is live as beta on Dextrabot @extendedapp
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Devil lover
Devil lover@Devil_in_making·
@GrowiHF What happened to vault in last few days? Looks like constant loss making vault in last 7 days.. backtest failing and constant losses
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Devil lover nag-retweet
INTEAR 💦
INTEAR 💦@intea_rs·
im. raid bot release today?
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NEAR Protocol
NEAR Protocol@NEARProtocol·
NEAR🤝 Zcash🤝 Solana is happening tomorrow morning! The wait for the much anticipated ZOLANEAR space is almost over 🚨
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