Strix Options

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Green day. Everyone suddenly comfortable again. That’s usually when risk is highest. After panic -> squeeze -> optimism… market loves one more rug. Breadth improved, but VIX not confirming. Positioning still fragile. And we’re pushing into supply. This is where late calls get trapped. Up days in unstable regimes = liquidity events, not trend confirmation. I’d be careful chasing strength here.

WEDNESDAY MARKET UPDATE: 🟢 Nasdaq +1.69% 🟢 S&P 500 +1.11% 🟢 Dow Jones +0.86%

@MichaelPBento VIX refusing to stay down after a squeeze is usually warning. Dealers not comfortable selling vol here.

This is not the sign of a VIX that is ready to stay down. If anything this is the sign of a VIX that is ready to spike again.

@Mr_Derivatives “Leaps and chill” only works when vol is low and positioning washed out. If everyone copies it, you’re just buying expensive time.

There’s $NFLX and chill. There’s $VOO and chill. There’s $META leaps and chill. And now I believe you can $NKE leaps and chill. Starting today.

@Zac_Markovich Channels like this usually break the opposite way once everyone sees them. Clean patterns rarely resolve cleanly.

$TSLA Still channeling down. Waiting for breakout of channel; before doing anything here. If we make a higher low and hold may jump in earlier.

@StockSavvyShay Straight line weeks in META usually end with vol crush. Great for longs, terrible for late call buyers.

$META has been an absolute monster this week

@colin_gladman First bounce into stacked MAs usually rejects. That zone is where trapped longs finally get out.

Between here and 590 is where I expect rejections as per my video.

@NoLimitGains Fast sentiment flips usually come from short gamma. Down hard, up fast, nobody positioned right.

Markets down 9%, Jumps 4% on fake news, And suddenly everyone’s calling for new highs again. Sentiment has never flipped this fast. Humans are a very interesting species. It’s about to get real funny.

@IncomeSharks 2022 fractal assumes clean bounces. This tape looks more like positioning squeezes. Hard to map one to one.

$SPY - 2022 fractal already still playing out perfectly. Even a bounce to 670 still on the table before a retrace. Bear markets are intentionally difficult to short for this reason.

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@Mr_Derivatives Seasonality works… until everyone leans on it. After a -5% March, first move in April is often squeeze - then the real trend shows.

$SPX Goodbye March. Closed the month down 5.05%. Worst month since, well, last March. Hellllllo April. I predict…… April will be a green month. Why? April closed green 10 of the last 13 times. Also April closed green 6 of the last 7 times when March was a red month. Will be volatile akin to, well, last April. But we will finish up by eom imho. -Heis

@TradingThomas3 200D overhead + failed reclaim = rallies likely sold. If it can’t get back above that zone, this looks like lower high setup.

$SPX now retesting prior demand turned supply, with the 200D sitting just overhead, key spot for potential rejection.

@growthrapidly Conviction is great - adding after a big run is how you end up sizing the top. Position size should grow at value, not just confidence.

One of my biggest investing lessons: When conviction is high, position size matters. I’ve underbought too many winners: $PLTR, $RKLB, $NBIS. I am not making that mistake again. Even though I already have a well built position in $HIMS, at the current price now, $19-$20, I couldn’t ignore it. So, I added 250 shares this morning.

@AndrewHiesinger Calls chasing into the close - not exactly what you want to see for a sustainable move. Could just be late hedging, not fresh conviction.

$116M Calls on Mag 7 today 👀

@itsCblast Everyone’s a genius on ODT when the move already happened. Show entries before the rip, not after the prints.

The best part of the day is seeing Trade Echo members printing. +950% on $SPX 0DTE +850% +700% Kari stacking over $30K in profit today.

@unusual_whales If true, that’s a bigger issue than people realize. Logging prompts = logging intent. Also “unconfirmed reports” doing a lot of heavy lifting here.

JUST IN: A leaked codebase reportedly shows Claude Code flags profanity in user prompts and quietly records it in a database, per unconfirmed reports.

@TheProfInvestor Works when vol is peaking, not just elevated. VIX 30 during trend down can still bleed equities. You want panic + vol spike + reversal - not just a number.

VIX above 30- you buy stocks VIX above 50- you buy all the stocks investors who do this, make it to the top

@SeaKingOptions Exactly - bottoms usually come with panic selling and negative gamma, not controlled grind + strong PA. This looks more like positioning unwind than capitulation.

This is not the type of PA you see at a “bottom” $SPX

@johanndizon Nice - but remember those yields are mostly return of capital. Great for cash flow, not the same as organic dividend growth.

Red or Green we getting paid!! This weeks dividend/distributions brought to me by $AVGO $BLOX $STRC $TSLW & $HOOW I am going to start doubling down and rotating into more $BLOX at these levels. 91 of 100k goal!!

@TradingThomas3 Biggest up day usually happens inside volatile ranges - not at the start of clean trends. Follow-through > headline.

$SPX on track for biggest one day gain since May of last year