Matt Crawford

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Matt Crawford

Matt Crawford

@mcrawf115

Lancaster, PA Sumali Aralık 2009
2.1K Sinusundan236 Mga Tagasunod
Wave 3 Trades
Wave 3 Trades@wave3trades·
You wake up one day and see this What’s the first thing you’re doing?
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Matt Crawford
Matt Crawford@mcrawf115·
@XRPathologist Fair enough. I’m kinda surprised it’s held up so well after that news broke.
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Eric Van Tassel (Not a Financial Advisor!)
#ZEC Update: Why I Think More Base Building Is Needed A lot of traders are asking whether Zcash is ready to resume its uptrend. My view is that price likely needs more time. The reason isn't bearishness. It's structure. When ZEC exploded from the $170 area to over $700, it moved through the $300-$350 region so quickly that very little true price discovery occurred there. The market never really accepted that area as fair value. The longest consolidation around that zone was only about 12 days. Since then, price has also fallen back through the same region just as quickly. This creates what I consider "unfinished business" on the chart. Strong bull markets are often built on solid foundations. The healthiest scenario may not be an immediate rally back to new highs, but rather a period of consolidation around the $300 level where: • Weak hands exit • Strong hands accumulate • Momentum resets • Moving averages catch up • The market establishes a new base I'm also watching the daily RSI, which continues to show bearish divergence. Momentum has been making lower highs even as price attempted to recover. Could ZEC move higher immediately? Of course. But from a structural standpoint, several weeks or even months of base building around the $300 region would create a much healthier foundation for a sustainable advance later. Remember: The strongest bull markets are usually built during the periods that feel the most boring. #Crypto #Zcash #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartAnalysis #Investing #Markets #Altcoins #PriceAction
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mert
mert@mert·
btw you can buy everything from hype to zec to near directly on solana with CEX-like execution now lighter, monad, strk etc; it's all here
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architectrade
architectrade@architectrade·
$MON & lowcap altcoins my reasons for accumulating monad and some altcoins of my choosing; 1) i simply refuse to believe that $BTC bottom will be below 60k (we may have a wick below this level but a weekly close will stay above) thus my thesis that we are closer to the bottom than we think. 2) below is the othersbtc chart where we can see a resistance breakout which we’ve been waiting for 4 long years. could it retest it and come back? sure. could is retest it, reject it and powder the altseason we all have been waiting for? also possible. im gonna take this trade cause the R/R just screams to go with most of my port. afterall, winners are known for taking risks!
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Ddogalt 🎀
Ddogalt 🎀@DDog27028713·
Thinking I might be very early to $MON & the Monad memes play Gonna suck for a while But I think they sooner or later just insta 10-100x so not going to bother touching them The smart play probably would be to just hold $MON and rotate as soon as you see activity & price pump
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
This announcement is the most bullish catalyst for $HIMS revenue re-acceleration to date. This is amid: - 30%+ of the float sold short - new $NVO partnership/lawsuit dropped - new global acquisitions - recovering macro climate. The share price is still $25, down from $70 last year. Short sellers are likely in trouble: $HIMS can capture market share at the ~70%-80% gross margins typical of their compounded products for the holy grail of the "Grey Market" TAM for peptides. - EG. Healing: BPC-157 and Thymosin beta-4 - Hair & Skin: GHK-Cu - Weight Loss & Muscle: MOTS-c and Ibutamoren And now they're probably the world's largest independent DTC distribution network to date from their new acquisitions... So just running a peptide protocol subscription between $150 to $300, for 200k subscribers is $360M+ in high-margin ARR. As just one example, but now they have a worldwide net of customers. They burned through capex last year to acquire peptide manufacturing facilities too... so now that's turned into a massive cash-cow business. I said $HIMS would need fundamental changes in order to force shorts to cover, and this is probably that signal as seen with market data. And $HIMS is turning into a fundamentally sound company after regulatory de-risking.
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Secretary Kennedy@SecKennedy

Today, we took long-overdue action to restore science, accountability, and the rule of law. In September 2023, the Biden FDA pushed a number of peptides into Category 2 — “Bulk Drug Substances that Raise Significant Safety Risks” — driving a dangerous black market that puts Americans at risk. Now, after nominators withdrew 12 peptides, the FDA will remove them from Category 2 and will bring them to PCAC at its next two meetings, beginning in July—where independent experts will rigorously evaluate each substance on its scientific merits using full clinical, pharmacological, and safety evidence. • BPC-157 • Thymosin beta-4 fragment (LKKTETQ) • Epitalon • GHK-Cu (injectable) • MOTS-c • DSIP (Emideltide) • Dihexa Acetate • Ibutamoren Mesylate • Melanotan II • KPV • Semax (heptapeptide) • Cathelicidin LL-37 This action begins to restore regulated access and will immediately begin shifting demand away from the black market. We will follow the science, enforce the law, and deliver the clarity patients, providers, and pharmacies deserve.

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Jake Wujastyk
Jake Wujastyk@Jake__Wujastyk·
$ASTS #ASTS Testing the S/R flip zone today which acted as short-term support.
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PhotonBull
PhotonBull@PhotonBull·
My current view on $ASTS AST SpaceMobile: $ASTS is my core space holding and the purest direct to device bet I own, building a constellation that connects ordinary phones straight to satellites with no special hardware. The stock has been a good and volatile performer over the past year but it just pulled back hard, sitting around $80, down roughly 40 percent from its May all time high near $133 and still down 3% YTD. Here is why I think the performance has weakened recently: - The space group got hit with broad profit taking after the SpaceX IPO. - Worries about not being able to stack satellites, launch on a Falcon 9 or manufacture batches fast enough. - Then there are also the short/hedge dynamics of SpaceX holders, who are probably shorting a space basket to secure unrealized SpaceX gains. And here is why I think $ASTS might be a good entry to pick up at this price and time: - The first batch concern just got answered, because BlueBird 8, 9 and 10 launched successfully on a Falcon 9 on June 17 - The second batch is right behind it and about to be shipped soon, with BlueBird 11 onward in advanced production and arrays already built well past BB28, targeting around 45 satellites in orbit by year end. - They hold FCC commercial authorization, nearly 60 carrier partners including AT&T, Verizon and Vodafone, over $1.2B in contracted commitments, and roughly $3.5B in cash to fund the buildout. They previously stated in an earnings call that they expect no more dilution. - The value of their IP and spectrum rights is incredible. This, and the network of partners is why I think the downside is minimal here. - As the SpaceX IPO lockup period ends, I am expecting those insiders to cash out and unwind their short space basket hedges. This should provide a lot of buying pressure on $ASTS - Japan is looking to fund $1B for a D2D constellation, if $ASTS wins this it could be huge for them Disclosure: I am long $ASTS and this is not financial advice
PhotonBull@PhotonBull

Some of my favorite names are currently underperforming for different reasons that are not bad fundamentals and that is exactly why I am interested. $ASTS is AST SpaceMobile, building the first space based cellular broadband network designed to connect ordinary smartphones directly to satellites with no special hardware. The BlueBird constellation aims to deliver true direct to device coverage across dead zones worldwide, with carrier partnerships already in place. The weakness is mechanical not fundamental. Since the SpaceX IPO, space names have been bundled into a basket that insiders are shorting to lock in gains, and ASTS gets dragged down with the group regardless of its own progress. That dislocation is the opportunity. $AAOI is Applied Optoelectronics, a vertically integrated maker of optical transceivers and networking components for hyperscale data centers, cable broadband, and telecom. As AI buildouts push bandwidth demand higher, its optics sit directly in the path of that spend. The overhang here is the roughly 600M ATM facility weighing on the stock as the market braces for dilution. That pressure should clear once the raise runs its course, and I expect the supply side drag to be largely finished soon, leaving the fundamentals to reassert. $ONDS, $KRKNF / $PNG.V and $EOS.AX span autonomous drone platforms, marine robotics and directed energy counter UAS systems, three corners of a defense complex being rearmed for a more contested world. Each occupies a real niche rather than chasing a crowded category. Defense simply is not a hot sector for capital right now, which is precisely why these are cheap. The fundamentals are sound and the positioning is strong for where spending is headed, so the patience tax today looks like a discount rather than a warning. I see all of those as very attractive entries here Will revisit in a month

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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$ASTS $104’s in after hrs. Front running the $SPCX ipo I see…
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Reformed Tr🅰️der
Reformed Tr🅰️der@Reformed_Trader·
$ASTS a clear pattern of OPEX creating additional selling pressure. This is the 4th consecutive Friday with some of the largest declines at the first hour of trading. Option dealers must feel lucky
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Ran Mat
Ran Mat@WatsItMataRelli·
$ASTS This morning's drop made yesterday a failed breakout of green line and ended at the usual place - retesting log wedge breakout (again). It's on notice of failing as future support if more tests. Added some new yellow support / resistance lines for a fresh perspective.
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Ran Mat@WatsItMataRelli

$ASTS rejected from the final Log downtrend line yesterday and again this morning (red circles) after breaking out and retesting the original log wedge (green circle) Also, yesterday and today's rejection lined up with 5 and 50D SMA. 10 and 100D at $90.5. Big upside above $91!

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Benny The Bull
Benny The Bull@bennybigbull·
$ASTS back below downtrend resistance, and now sitting below the 200sma...
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$ASTS: Kook and I discussed this spike and I think we have an answer for the increased short interest which makes total sense. There is a big setup going into end of July for this trade to completely unwind. I’ll discuss it in a space soon.
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman

$ASTS: It definitely looks like hedge funds are going long $SPCX and shorting $ASTS and other space names. Real-time short interest has hit an all-time high at 72.2M. These guys are going to be our rocket fuel for the next big leg higher. 6/16: 72.2M 6/15: 71.4M 6/12: 66.5M 6/11: 64.8M 6/10: 64.1M

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Matt Crawford
Matt Crawford@mcrawf115·
@Reformed_Trader What are your thoughts on a possible time table? Do we see liquidity return to the space sector before $SPACX corrects?
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Reformed Tr🅰️der
Reformed Tr🅰️der@Reformed_Trader·
$ASTS has traded back to the same levels as when $VZ announced their DA with ASTS. It's gone nowhere for 8 months while reaching significant milestones, the latest being a successful stacking configuration for block 2 sats. It's also finding support off its 175ema and just above its 200sma. The fact this has consolidated for 8 months means that a new base has formed over this time period. The average range of this base that is forming is about 50%. So when it breaks away from this range it should have a steady and sustainable move. *NFA
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HENNY
HENNY@hennycapital·
The rotation back into space stocks, $ASTS, $PL, $RKLB is going to melt faces
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