senator penny wrong

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senator penny wrong

senator penny wrong

@tomorrowsashes

everything is connected to everything else /// 🌱 ☘️ 🇵🇸

landlord nation Sumali Mart 2019
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𝙂𝙐𝙈𝘽𝙔
𝙂𝙐𝙈𝘽𝙔@gumby4christ·
"Just want to write to my Mom & tell her that I’m witnessing this chronic, insidious genocide & I’m really scared, and questioning my fundamental belief in the goodness of human nature. This has to stop." —Rachel Corrie, letter from Gaza (2/27/03), killed by IDF 18 days later
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senator penny wrong
senator penny wrong@tomorrowsashes·
@SamZawsum almost nobody in "public life" has a real job, serving the public in the way you do is the province of ordinary workers no matter their age
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senator penny wrong@tomorrowsashes·
time to bar everyone over the age of 50 from public life
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Ronni🧂Salt NowOnBlueSkySocial
Footage from @abcnews this morning shows Anthony Albanese and Tony Burke booed & heckled in a western Sydney mosque. As organisers tried to keep calm, people heckled the two over their involvement in Gaza, screaming: "You don't even represent us" "What are you doing here?" .
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Ian Gordicans
Ian Gordicans@Gordicans·
Australia must be making a fortune out of the surging gas prices via development in Iran right? Oh I forgot, we give it away for free. The gas companies are making a fortune, Australia gets almost nothing. Meanwhile the Labor party is paid to turn a blind eye
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Adrian
Adrian@blagojevism·
It's sort of funny that we are headed towards an even poorer and worse future than we had imagined. And we were not optimistic!
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Anthony Albanese
Anthony Albanese@AlboMP·
Eid Mubarak. An honour join thousands for Eid al-Fitr at Lakemba Mosque this morning.
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Sean Khozin, MD, MPH
Sean Khozin, MD, MPH@SeanKhozin·
Mr. Parsi, a thousand words of conflict choreography, and still the same foundational error: treating the Islamist regime in Iran as a rational strategic actor with legitimate leverage rather than a decaying theocratic apparatus in terminal crisis, lashing out precisely because its internal collapse is accelerating. The regime’s “leverage” is the leverage of a cornered institution willing to immiserate its own population and destabilize energy markets because it has no other remaining instrument of survival. That is not strength. That is the final stage of a failure mode. Your framework also requires us to ignore what is happening inside Iran right now, which is convenient, because acknowledging it would collapse the entire analytical edifice you have spent decades constructing for audiences who no longer have the patience for it. Those audiences have changed. The world has changed. The Iranians documenting atrocities in real time from inside the country, the diaspora cross-referencing your claims within minutes of posting, the information ecosystem that has made the traditional intermediary role structurally redundant: none of this features in your analysis, and that absence is itself the most important data point here. The occupying Islamist regime in Iran is not going to survive this in any form that resembles its current architecture. The question of whether Trump miscalculates his exit timing is a secondary drama. The primary one is that the Iranian people are watching, counting, and will not accept a negotiated return to the status quo any more than Tehran will. That variable does not appear in your model, which tells us everything we need to know about the model.
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Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
The developments of the past 24h may prove a turning point in this war: Israel and the US's escalation by striking the Qatari-Iranian Pars field, the strikes against Asaluyeh, Iran's massive retaliation against oil and gas installations in Saudi, Qatar and beyond, which shot up oil prices, the near downing of a F35 by Iran and Secretary Bessent's revelations that the US may unsanction Iranian oil on the waters to bring down oil prices. As I said already on the fourth day, the US has lost control of this war. It had a Plan A, but no Plan B. Plan A came crashing down after it became clear that the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei neither brought the implosion of the theocracy nor their surrender. As a result, the US is increasingly letting the Israelis drive the bus, by virtue of them having a plan, even though their plan does not serve US interests (the Israelis want to prolong the war to degrade Iran's entire industrial base, regardless of what happens to energy markets, Trump's presidency, and security in the region as a whole.) The Israeli strike against the Pars field, coordinated with the US, is particularly important because it violated a promise Trump made to Qatar back in September 2025 - Israel would no longer be allowed to strike Qatar. But that gas field is shared by both Iran and Qatar, hence it was an attack on Qatar as well as on Iran. With US coordination. This - and the impact on energy markets - may explain why Trump took to social media to blame Israel for the attack and publicly forbade them from striking further energy fields. But Bessent's comments about unsanctioning Iranian oil on the waters are the most important. Though it's primarily done to push down oil prices, it appears that we may have nevertheless entered sanctions relief territory out of necessity. I wrote several days ago that Tehran is very unlikely to end the war even if the US pulls out and declares victory. Iran has leverage for the first time in years and will seek to trade it in. It has publicly demanded a closing of US bases, reparations, and sanctions relief in order to stop shooting at Israel and open the Straits. The first may happen over time anyway, the second is highly unlikely, but the third - sanctions relief - may become more plausible as the cost of the war rises, and escalation strategies become increasingly suicidal for Trump. As I have explained, a return to the pre-war status quo is unacceptable to Tehran because it will not only be in a degraded state, but also in a continuously weakening state because its pathways to sanctions relief have been blown up. If Iran weakens further, it will only invite further American and Israeli aggression, Tehran believes, because it was the false perception of Iranian weakness that created the "window of opportunity" to attack Iran in the first place. Sanctions relief is, as a result, a necessity to ensure that the war doesn't restart. But here is where Iran may miscalculate. Trump may not yet have reached the point at which the cost of continuing the war is so high that he opts to offer sanctions exemptions to select countries to get Iran's agreement to open the straits and end the war. He will likely only reach that point once it's clear that his base is starting to turn against the war in a serious manner. At that point, Trump will face a time crunch. He will need a narrative in which he declares himself a victor - with his base believing it. Absent the ability to convince his base that he has won, the benefit of ending the war may not outweigh the cost of continuing it. And as soon as his base starts turning against the war, his ability to convince them of his victory starts to wane. Mindful of the fact that negotiating this end may take an estimated 7-10 days at best, which is different from the 24 hours or so it took to negotiate the unconditional ceasefire in June, Tehran may overplay its hand and only agree to enter these negotiations at a point at which the length of the negotiations may exceed the time Trump has left to convincingly declare victory and provide himself a face saving exit. Getting the timing of this right will be very difficult for both the US and Iran. Israel will do all it can to sabotage any such off-ramp, including by killing Iranian's negotiatiors. But it will become increasingly clear - if it hasn't already - to Trump that all his escalatory options only deepen the lose-lose situation he has put himself in. That's why Trump should never have listened to Netanyahu in the first place.
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Peter Cronau
Peter Cronau@PeterCronau·
Truth-bombs for the PM. After publicly expressing support for the US-Israel war against Iran and the war on Gaza — in which tens of thousands have been killed — PM Albanese walks into the Muslim community in Sydney’s Lakemba. “Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke have been booed and heckled at a mosque in Western Sydney. “Worshippers could be heard shouting "genocide supporters", "get them out of here" and "go home" before Albanese was led out of the mosque.” #live-blog-post-273556" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">abc.net.au/news/2026-03-2…
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Leigh Beadon
Leigh Beadon@leighbeadon·
If you trap a boomer in a one-on-one argument for an entire afternoon you can eventually get them to acknowledge how crazy the cost of housing is now. However the effects only last for ~12 hours and the next morning they will text you "why don't you just find a cheap apartment?"
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Sam Haselby
Sam Haselby@samhaselby·
Germany: Our anti-semitic crimes were so vast that the Palestinians, Lebanese, and Iranians have not yet finished paying the price.
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Seth Harp
Seth Harp@sethharpesq·
The war on Iran is a school shooting raised to the level of official US foreign policy. No pretense of a rational goal. Just murdering children for lulz and then committing suicide in hopes of going to Hell. Pete Hegseth is the same person as Dylan Klebold, just on a bigger stage
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Joel Jenkins
Joel Jenkins@boganintel·
'As Palantir gain laminated keypass access to our defence offices, Tony Burke has agreed to sell off our biometric data to ICE and DHS in America—US defence contractors are given top secret status, US bases are being expanded, and US interests are being ensured even when they defy the laws that govern us'
Joel Jenkins@boganintel

“This could be the thin end of the wedge" The @AlboMP gov decision to send Australian military assistance to the UAE is as open ended as the objectives of the architects of the war, highlighting the potential for further involvement. My latest👇 open.substack.com/pub/joeljenkin…

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