Bryce Mayer

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's own statement reveals the problem: he admits he "complicated things" by killing Iran's leaders... This inside account of Tuesday's White House national security meeting paints the picture clearly. Trump sat with Vance, Rubio, Hegseth, Caine, and Ratcliffe while Air Force Two sat on the tarmac waiting to fly Vance to Pakistan. The U.S. had sent Iran a list of broad deal points days earlier. They got no response. Pakistani mediators were pushing Tehran to reply. Still nothing. The assessment from Trump's top aides is that Iran's leadership is too fractured to respond. Part of the problem: they don't know if Mojtaba Khamenei is giving clear directions or if his subordinates are guessing what he wants. The Supreme Leader's decision to stay hidden has disrupted the very decision-making process needed to end this war. Trump: "We've taken out their navy, we've taken out their air force, we've taken out their leaders, frankly, which does complicate things in one way." Read that again. The president acknowledged that killing Iran's leadership has "complicated" the ability to negotiate with Iran. Once you remove the people who can make decisions, you're stuck waiting for whoever replaces them to consolidate enough authority to negotiate. And the replacements are typically worse. The leaders Trump is now trying to deal with aren't the pragmatic nuclear negotiators who crafted the JCPOA. They're the IRGC hardliners who opposed every previous deal, a wounded Supreme Leader running the country from a hospital bed, and a fractured executive branch whose own foreign minister can't get the navy to follow his orders.

Iran cancelling peace talks and claiming they won't abide by the ceasefire means Trump's blockade IS WORKING Iran will blink soon Let me explain why: Their onshore storage tanks will fill up in 4-8 weeks, meaning they will have shut down their wells and production. This risks permanent reservoir damage (water influx, paraffin buildup, pressure loss), making restart difficult, expensive, and potentially unable to reach prior output levels. I know you're all sick of me saying this, but the war is over and Trump is doing all he can to ensure Iran concede more in the negotiations. Military pressure failed to yield results, and instead resulted in catastrophic failure, so Trump's strategy now is economic pressure until Iran soften their stance The big question is: Will Trump blink first (the global economy NEEDS the Strait), or will Iran?